Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25
Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32

Oklahoma City @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
+1000
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Over
+1000
Projection Rating

Josh Giddey has sunk 46.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 13.1% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year away from home. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

Josh Giddey has sunk 46.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 13.1% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year away from home. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
+100

P.J. Washington has successfully made 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. P.J. Washington has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting squad (7th-most in the NBA).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

P.J. Washington has successfully made 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. P.J. Washington has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Thunder are the visiting squad (7th-most in the NBA).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-139
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds
Under
-139
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (25.5%). The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. rates in the 22nd percentile for foul-shot proficiency with the home court advantage with a subpar 66.4% rate this year.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Derrick Jones Jr. has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (25.5%). The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Among all players in the league, Derrick Jones Jr. rates in the 22nd percentile for foul-shot proficiency with the home court advantage with a subpar 66.4% rate this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
35.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.6
Best Odds
Under
-103

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. In contrast to last year's 10.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's number of free throws has dropped this year to 8.6 free throws per game. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 35.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.6
Prop:
35.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.6

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year. In contrast to last year's 10.8 clip, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's number of free throws has dropped this year to 8.6 free throws per game. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Chet Holmgren has compiled 16.4 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 84th percentile. Chet Holmgren has sunk 50.4% of his field goal attempts while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Chet Holmgren has tallied 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The showdown with Daniel Gafford lands in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs scoring a colossal 57.1% of their shots from the field this year.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Chet Holmgren has compiled 16.4 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 84th percentile. Chet Holmgren has sunk 50.4% of his field goal attempts while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league. Chet Holmgren has tallied 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The showdown with Daniel Gafford lands in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs scoring a colossal 57.1% of their shots from the field this year.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Isaiah Joe lands in the 81st percentile for three-point shots drained, tallying 1.8 per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a positive matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Isaiah Joe has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 13.1% higher than he's made overall this season.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Among all players in the league, Isaiah Joe lands in the 81st percentile for three-point shots drained, tallying 1.8 per game this year. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a positive matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Isaiah Joe has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 13.1% higher than he's made overall this season.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing on the road. Luguentz Dort has played 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 8.4 more than he's played overall this year on the road. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing on the road. Luguentz Dort has played 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 8.4 more than he's played overall this year on the road. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (8th-highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-161

Kyrie Irving has successfully made 9.4 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 96th percentile for three-pointers scored, registering 2.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.8 minutes per game this year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Kyrie Irving has successfully made 9.4 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 96th percentile for three-pointers scored, registering 2.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.8 minutes per game this year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams comes in at the 91st percentile for field goals hit, averaging a whopping 7.5 per game this year. Jalen Williams has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams comes in at the 91st percentile for field goals hit, averaging a whopping 7.5 per game this year. Jalen Williams has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. In regard to scoring, the Thunder's exceptional 118.6 points per game places 3rd-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 100th percentile, totaling a monstrous 32.9 points per game this year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 3-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 8.2 mark last season. Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 38.1 minutes per game this year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.4

Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 100th percentile, totaling a monstrous 32.9 points per game this year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 3-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 8.2 mark last season. Among all players in the league, Luka Doncic lands in the 100th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 38.1 minutes per game this year. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.7).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a favorable one for scoring; when Holmgren is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a colossal 58.2% of their field goals (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The faceoff with Chet Holmgren when it comes to getting to the charity stripe places in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a colossal 4.6 free throws per game this year.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a favorable one for scoring; when Holmgren is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a colossal 58.2% of their field goals (100th percentile). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Daniel Gafford has attempted 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The faceoff with Chet Holmgren when it comes to getting to the charity stripe places in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a colossal 4.6 free throws per game this year.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 69.3% of his shot attempts from the field with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Dereck Lively II has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Dereck Lively II will likely see an increase in production in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Dereck Lively II has sunk 69.3% of his shot attempts from the field with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league. With respect to offense, the Dallas Mavericks's outstanding 116.4 points per game ranks 8th-highest in the NBA this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games on the road, which should increase possessions for the Dallas Mavericks. Dereck Lively II has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Dereck Lively II will likely see an increase in production in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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