Utah 12th Western Conference31-51
Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25
BSN, NBALP, KJZZ

Utah @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler has sunk 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 68.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year away from home. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Walker Kessler has sunk a whopping 58.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly more than his 51.0 rate last year.

Walker Kessler

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Walker Kessler has sunk 100.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 68.8% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year away from home. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Walker Kessler has sunk a whopping 58.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly more than his 51.0 rate last year.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 84th percentile for shooting prowess playing at home with an exceptional 55.0% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game at home this year. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.7 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 84th percentile for shooting prowess playing at home with an exceptional 55.0% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game at home this year. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.7 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward has made 57.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 18.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.7 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 20 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Thunder are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Jazz). Gordon Hayward ought to see an increase in performance across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.5

Gordon Hayward has made 57.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 18.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.7 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 20 games. The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games. The Thunder are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Jazz). Gordon Hayward ought to see an increase in performance across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Keyonte George Points Scored Props • Utah

K. George
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-130

Keyonte George has attempted 8.0 treys per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Keyonte George has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a strong matchup. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz.

Keyonte George

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Keyonte George has attempted 8.0 treys per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Keyonte George has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 8.7 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a strong matchup. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-134

Luguentz Dort has sunk 57.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Luguentz Dort has converted 51.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.7 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Luguentz Dort has sunk 57.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year. Luguentz Dort has converted 51.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.7 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a good one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has sunk 52.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 11 games on the road, 14.0% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year while playing away from home. Kris Dunn has tallied 25.4 minutes per game over the last 11 games when playing away from home, 6.4 more than he's tallied overall this year on the road. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Thunder, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz.

Kris Dunn

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Kris Dunn has sunk 52.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 11 games on the road, 14.0% higher than he's converted from three in all games this year while playing away from home. Kris Dunn has tallied 25.4 minutes per game over the last 11 games when playing away from home, 6.4 more than he's tallied overall this year on the road. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 44.1% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Thunder, marking this as a favorable matchup. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz.

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%). Relative to last year's 5.3 mark, Lauri Markkanen's free throws made have declined this year to 4.4 per game. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-least in the league). Lauri Markkanen figures to see a decline in output for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (25.5%). Relative to last year's 5.3 mark, Lauri Markkanen's free throws made have declined this year to 4.4 per game. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-least in the league). Lauri Markkanen figures to see a decline in output for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jalen Williams has sunk 45.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.2 minutes per game on his home court this year. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.7 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Jalen Williams has sunk 45.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.2 minutes per game on his home court this year. With respect to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.7 points per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

Taylor Hendricks Points Scored Props • Utah

T. Hendricks
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-114

Taylor Hendricks has converted 55.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 14.2% more than he's made over the course of the year. Taylor Hendricks has been on the court for 24.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Taylor Hendricks

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Taylor Hendricks has converted 55.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 14.2% more than he's made over the course of the year. Taylor Hendricks has been on the court for 24.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Under
-127

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.5 fouls per game playing at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted a mere 7.8 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 9.8 rate last season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.5 fouls per game playing at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has converted a mere 7.8 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 9.8 rate last season.

Brice Sensabaugh Points Scored Props • Utah

B. Sensabaugh
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+100

Brice Sensabaugh has attempted 8.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Brice Sensabaugh has attempted 3.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Brice Sensabaugh has played 25.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Brice Sensabaugh slots into the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz.

Brice Sensabaugh

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Brice Sensabaugh has attempted 8.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Brice Sensabaugh has attempted 3.5 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Brice Sensabaugh has played 25.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Brice Sensabaugh slots into the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The 8th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-102

Compared to last year's 31.3 mark, Josh Giddey's playing time has regressed this year to 24.5 minutes per game. The matchup vs. the Jazz is a difficult one for threes; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (26.5%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Utah is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are the visiting squad (4th-least in the league).

Josh Giddey

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Compared to last year's 31.3 mark, Josh Giddey's playing time has regressed this year to 24.5 minutes per game. The matchup vs. the Jazz is a difficult one for threes; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (26.5%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Utah is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are the visiting squad (4th-least in the league).

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

John Collins has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (94th percentile). The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. John Collins will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

John Collins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

John Collins has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (94th percentile). The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team. John Collins will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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