Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
New York 2nd Eastern Conference50-32
TNT

Dallas @ New York props

Madison Square Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 4.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shots scored have increased this season to 6.1 per game. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road. This year, the other team has come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense). Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing on the road.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Compared to last season's 4.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shots scored have increased this season to 6.1 per game. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road. This year, the other team has come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense). Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing on the road.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • New York

I. Hartenstein
center C • New York
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Hartenstein slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year. In regard to scoring, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 47.0% field goal rate while at home ranks 6th-lowest in the NBA this year. The faceoff with Maxi Kleber ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring only 11.3 points per game this year. The least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks. The Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Hartenstein slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year. In regard to scoring, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 47.0% field goal rate while at home ranks 6th-lowest in the NBA this year. The faceoff with Maxi Kleber ranks in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring only 11.3 points per game this year. The least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks. The Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.9
Best Odds
Under
-124

The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks). The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are playing at home (13th-least in the NBA). Kyrie Irving will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production across the board.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.9
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.9

The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks). The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are playing at home (13th-least in the NBA). Kyrie Irving will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production across the board.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied an impressive 9.8 points per game this season, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last season. In contrast to last year's 1.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 3.8 per game. Compared to last season's 13.7 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has risen this season to 25.6 minutes per game. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied an impressive 9.8 points per game this season, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last season. In contrast to last year's 1.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s shot attempts from downtown have surged this year to 3.8 per game. Compared to last season's 13.7 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s playing time has risen this season to 25.6 minutes per game. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.

Miles McBride Points Scored Props • New York

M. McBride
point guard PG • New York
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-102

Miles McBride has attempted 9.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Miles McBride has successfully made a whopping 39.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a significant increase from his 24.8 rate last season. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 22nd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Knicks will likely see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Miles McBride

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Miles McBride has attempted 9.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Miles McBride has successfully made a whopping 39.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a significant increase from his 24.8 rate last season. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 22nd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Knicks will likely see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks). Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 15thbest in in the league on their home court with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Under
-115

In contrast to last season's 52.8% rate, Josh Hart's shooting efficiency has been reduced this season to 41.0%. In regard to scoring, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 47.0% field goal rate while at home ranks 6th-lowest in the NBA this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have registered 11.4 points per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks. The Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Hart

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

In contrast to last season's 52.8% rate, Josh Hart's shooting efficiency has been reduced this season to 41.0%. In regard to scoring, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 47.0% field goal rate while at home ranks 6th-lowest in the NBA this year. Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have registered 11.4 points per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency. The least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks. The Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.8
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.8
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 11.1 mark, Luka Doncic's bricked shots have surged this season to 12.3 per game. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.8 three attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the New York Knicks, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks). The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has dropped this year to 9.4 foul shot attempts per game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.8
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.8

Compared to last season's 11.1 mark, Luka Doncic's bricked shots have surged this season to 12.3 per game. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.8 three attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the New York Knicks, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Mavericks are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest tempo home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks). The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has dropped this year to 9.4 foul shot attempts per game.

Maxi Kleber Points Scored Props • Dallas

M. Kleber
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-103

Maxi Kleber has converted 3.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's made in all games this year. Maxi Kleber has sunk 1.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Maxi Kleber has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.

Maxi Kleber

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Maxi Kleber has converted 3.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's made in all games this year. Maxi Kleber has sunk 1.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Maxi Kleber has been on the court for 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.

Precious Achiuwa Points Scored Props • New York

P. Achiuwa
power forward PF • New York
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-105

Precious Achiuwa has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed overall this season. In regard to scoring, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 47.0% field goal rate while at home ranks 6th-lowest in the NBA this year. The least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks. The Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 19 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Precious Achiuwa

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Precious Achiuwa has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's committed overall this season. In regard to scoring, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 47.0% field goal rate while at home ranks 6th-lowest in the NBA this year. The least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks. The Mavericks have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 19 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Donte DiVincenzo Points Scored Props • New York

D. DiVincenzo
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Over
-108

Donte DiVincenzo has attempted 22.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 12.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Donte DiVincenzo has attempted 14.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Donte DiVincenzo has been on the court for 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The rate of shots drained against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (47.2%) when facing other starting SGs this year (83rd percentile).

Donte DiVincenzo

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

Donte DiVincenzo has attempted 22.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 12.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Donte DiVincenzo has attempted 14.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Donte DiVincenzo has been on the court for 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The rate of shots drained against Kyrie Irving has been remarkably high (47.2%) when facing other starting SGs this year (83rd percentile).

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jalen Brunson has registered 32.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 higher than he's registered over the course of the season. Compared to last year's 2.0 clip, Jalen Brunson's 3-point shots made have spiked this year to 2.7 per game. Jalen Brunson has played 35.8 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 22nd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Knicks will likely see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.6
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.6

Jalen Brunson has registered 32.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 higher than he's registered over the course of the season. Compared to last year's 2.0 clip, Jalen Brunson's 3-point shots made have spiked this year to 2.7 per game. Jalen Brunson has played 35.8 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 22nd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Knicks will likely see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Josh Green has sunk 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's made overall this year. Josh Green has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.8 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road. This year, the other team has come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense).

Josh Green

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Josh Green has sunk 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's made overall this year. Josh Green has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.8 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The Mavericks check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road. This year, the other team has come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (7th-fewest in the league) against the New York Knicks (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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