NY 1.5 o214.5
DET -1.5 u214.5
DEN 6.0 o212.5
LAC -6.0 u212.5
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Golden State 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE47-36

Dallas @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Under
-120

The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.8). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 16.2 free throws per game. Andrew Wiggins stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

The matchup against Dallas is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.8). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 16.2 free throws per game. Andrew Wiggins stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington measures in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+104

Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. measures in the 96th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 7.8 per game this year. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made a terrific 86.2% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 77.0 mark last year.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Out of all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. measures in the 96th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 7.8 per game this year. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made a terrific 86.2% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 77.0 mark last year.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trayce Jackson-Davis Points Scored Props • Golden State

T. Jackson-Davis
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
+105

Trayce Jackson-Davis has successfully made 74.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The matchup with Daniel Gafford slots into only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs posting a whopping 16.1 points per game this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Trayce Jackson-Davis

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Trayce Jackson-Davis has successfully made 74.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Trayce Jackson-Davis has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The matchup with Daniel Gafford slots into only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs posting a whopping 16.1 points per game this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Daniel Gafford has made 77.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.7% more than he's made overall this year. The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.4 3-point shots per game (93rd percentile). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Daniel Gafford has made 77.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.7% more than he's made overall this year. The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.4 3-point shots per game (93rd percentile). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-127
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-127
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Klay Thompson has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 79th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Klay Thompson has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 79th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 2.8 three-pointers per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, labeling this as a good matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jonathan Kuminga has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted overall this year. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 58.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 24.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing away from home. Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Jonathan Kuminga has made 8.0 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted overall this year. Jonathan Kuminga has successfully made 58.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 24.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season while playing away from home. Jonathan Kuminga has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Luka Doncic has put up 34.0 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile. In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have spiked this season to 10.4 per game. Luka Doncic has played 37.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have compiled 24.4 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a good matchup for offensive production. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.8
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.8

Luka Doncic has put up 34.0 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 100th percentile. In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's three-point attempts have spiked this season to 10.4 per game. Luka Doncic has played 37.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 99th percentile. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have compiled 24.4 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, designating this as a good matchup for offensive production. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

Stephen Curry has attempted 12.0 threes per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Stephen Curry has attempted 12.0 threes per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry places in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Warriors will likely see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Mavericks). The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving comes in at the 98th percentile for field goal attempts, averaging 19.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving measures in the 96th percentile for three-pointers sunk, registering 3.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game this year. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.7
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.7

Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving comes in at the 98th percentile for field goal attempts, averaging 19.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving measures in the 96th percentile for three-pointers sunk, registering 3.0 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.5 minutes per game this year. The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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