Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26
Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32

Minnesota @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has averaged 31.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (40.8%). The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Relative to last year's 4.1 clip, Anthony Edwards's foul shots sunk have jumped this year to 5.1 per game.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Anthony Edwards has averaged 31.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA since the start of last season (40.8%). The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Relative to last year's 4.1 clip, Anthony Edwards's foul shots sunk have jumped this year to 5.1 per game.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Relative to last year's 7.1 rate, Karl-Anthony Towns's field goals sunk have jumped this year to 8.8 per game. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.7 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.9 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a strong matchup. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Relative to last year's 7.1 rate, Karl-Anthony Towns's field goals sunk have jumped this year to 8.8 per game. Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 32.7 minutes per game away from home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.9 shot attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a strong matchup. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

Relative to last season's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shots from behind the three-point arc have spiked this season to 9.1 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 16th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Relative to last season's 7.8 rate, Tim Hardaway Jr.'s shots from behind the three-point arc have spiked this season to 9.1 per game. Tim Hardaway Jr. has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 16th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-117

In comparison to last year's 3.5 mark, Grant Williams's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this year to 5.7 per game. In comparison to last season's 24.1 mark, Grant Williams's playing time has increased this season to 29.0 minutes per game. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

In comparison to last year's 3.5 mark, Grant Williams's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this year to 5.7 per game. In comparison to last season's 24.1 mark, Grant Williams's playing time has increased this season to 29.0 minutes per game. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
34.5
Points Scored
Projection
33.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
34.5 Points Scored
Projection
33.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The matchup against Minnesota is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (39.0%). The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). In comparison to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has been reduced this season to 8.1 free throws per game. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Luka Doncic

Prop: 34.5 Points Scored
Projection: 33.3
Prop:
34.5 Points Scored
Projection:
33.3

The matchup against Minnesota is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (39.0%). The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a decline in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). In comparison to last season's 10.5 clip, Luka Doncic's number of free throws has been reduced this season to 8.1 free throws per game. The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 3.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made a whopping 57.4% of his shots from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 50.2 rate last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made a whopping 57.4% of his shots from the field this season, a sizeable increase from his 50.2 rate last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has scored 16.4 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 9.1 higher than he's scored overall this season at home. Dante Exum has sunk 54.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 25.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home. Dante Exum has been on the court for 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 14.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Dante Exum

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Dante Exum has scored 16.4 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 9.1 higher than he's scored overall this season at home. Dante Exum has sunk 54.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 25.3% more than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home. Dante Exum has been on the court for 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 14.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied an impressive 9.9 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 4.8 points per game last season. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 4.2 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 rate last season. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied an impressive 9.9 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 4.8 points per game last season. Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 4.2 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.2 rate last season. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 6.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Dereck Lively II has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Dereck Lively II has sunk 6.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Dereck Lively II has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road. The Mavericks have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks grade out 5thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. While playing on the road, the Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-115

Rudy Gobert has sunk 71.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.6). The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Rudy Gobert has sunk 71.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 9.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for 3-point attempts; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.6). The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 33.1% clip, Kyle Anderson's 3-point prowess has decreased this year to 0.0%. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. When playing at home, the Mavericks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Anderson will likely suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

In contrast to last year's 33.1% clip, Kyle Anderson's 3-point prowess has decreased this year to 0.0%. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year. When playing at home, the Mavericks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Anderson will likely suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 3.2 clip, Naz Reid's three-point attempts have jumped this year to 4.5 per game. In contrast to last year's 2.6 mark, Naz Reid's personal fouls per game have tailed off this year to 1.6. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Naz Reid has made a whopping 87.5% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly more than his 66.9 mark last year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Compared to last year's 3.2 clip, Naz Reid's three-point attempts have jumped this year to 4.5 per game. In contrast to last year's 2.6 mark, Naz Reid's personal fouls per game have tailed off this year to 1.6. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Naz Reid has made a whopping 87.5% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly more than his 66.9 mark last year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Mike Conley has successfully made a terrific 94.3% of his free throws this season, a significant increase from his 82.8 mark last season.

Mike Conley

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Mike Conley has attempted 6.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA as the away team this year. The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 7th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Mike Conley has successfully made a terrific 94.3% of his free throws this season, a significant increase from his 82.8 mark last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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