Washington Nationals

3rd in National League East (20 - 22)

Next Game

Wed, May 13 18:40 ET
GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -158 moneyline
CIN PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -158 moneyline

PROJECTION

CIN PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2.28% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-158
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Washington Nationals logo Cincinnati Reds logo
Over 9.0 Total
9.71 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Washington Nationals logo Cincinnati Reds logo
Over 9.0 Total

PROJECTION

9.71 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o9.0 -120
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -1.5 spread
-1.09 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
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Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-1.09 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.36% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
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Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Spencer Steer is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer today.. Spencer Steer has put up a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Spencer Steer ranks in the 12th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .218.

u0.5 +166
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Tyler Stephenson encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.. In the last week, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.. Over the past two weeks, Tyler Stephenson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.3%.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Jake Irvin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt McLain in today's matchup.. Matt McLain's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.1-mph figure last season has decreased to 89.2-mph.. Matt McLain has notched a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, TJ Friedl has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.4°, TJ Friedl has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.7°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.. TJ Friedl has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 7 days.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, CJ Abrams faces a tough challenge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .065 disparity.

u0.5 +182
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TOTAL HITS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u0.5 +125
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nick Lodolo will hold the platoon advantage against Daylen Lile in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Daylen Lile will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.44% EV

ANALYSIS

11% of the time that Nathaniel Lowe has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nathaniel Lowe has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 79.6-mph in the last 7 days.. Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .058 deviation.. Nathaniel Lowe has notched a .285 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Will Benson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Will Benson has been pinch hit for 42% of the time.. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. Over the last week, Will Benson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 23.1%.

u0.5 +110
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TOTAL HITS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Ke'Bryan Hayes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

u0.5 +131
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.62% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Curtis Mead today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Curtis Mead's true offensive talent to be a .314, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .026 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.

u0.5 +170
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TOTAL HITS
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 12th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.

u0.5 +150
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TOTAL HITS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Sal Stewart will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Sal Stewart has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 19.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 12.8% in the past two weeks.. With a .249 BABIP since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 25th percentile.

u0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #8 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

o0.5 -165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wiemer in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Joey Wiemer is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Joey Wiemer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

u0.5 +104
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 -200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. JJ Bleday has been pulled from the game early 27% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.263) implies that JJ Bleday has been lucky since the start of last season with his .318 actual wOBA.. Ranking in the 15th percentile, JJ Bleday has put up a .219 batting average since the start of last season.

u0.5 +132
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TOTAL HITS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.65% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz's true offensive skill to be a .331, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .043 deviation between that figure and his actual .374 wOBA.

u0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.31% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +160
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +115
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

o1.5 +105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, CJ Abrams faces a tough challenge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .065 disparity.

u1.5 -170
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.98 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.9% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Brady House will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Brady House's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 49.7% to 37.9%.. When it comes to his home runs, Brady House has been lucky since the start of last season. His 12.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 5.1.

u1.5 -190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.4%.

o1.5 +175
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wiemer in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Joey Wiemer is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Joey Wiemer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

u1.5 -290
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

u1.5 -290
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.13% EV

ANALYSIS

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Daylen Lile has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Cincinnati's 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Daylen Lile, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.. The Barrel% of Spencer Steer has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.8% last year to 16.8% this season.

o1.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.00 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.. Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.

u1.5 -250
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 22%.

o1.5 +185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +760
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.07% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, JJ Bleday ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

o0.5 +360
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.. Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (0.0) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Young has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 5.9 actual HR/600.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.32% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Daylen Lile ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. Nick Lodolo will hold the platoon advantage against Daylen Lile in today's matchup.. Daylen Lile will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.4%.

o0.5 +730
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Nasim Nunez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 16.5% on the season to 8.7% over the past 14 days.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +540
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.47% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nick Lodolo will have the handedness advantage against James Wood in today's game.. James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Over the past two weeks, James Wood's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 27.1% down to 20.7%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates James Wood's true offensive talent to be a .364, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .022 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .386 wOBA.

u0.5 -450
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Brady House will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. When it comes to his home runs, Brady House has been lucky since the start of last season. His 12.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 5.1.. Brady House has recorded a .271 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile.. As it relates to plate discipline, Brady House's ability is quite poor, posting a 6.3 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 3rd percentile.

u0.5 -847
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.32% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, CJ Abrams faces a tough challenge in today's game.. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .065 disparity.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

11% of the time that Nathaniel Lowe has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nathaniel Lowe has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 79.6-mph in the last 7 days.. When it comes to his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 20.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.3.. Nathaniel Lowe has notched a .285 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Steer is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer today.. Spencer Steer has put up a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Sal Stewart will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Sal Stewart has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 19.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 12.8% in the past two weeks.

u0.5 -426
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 18th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today's game.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 16th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, TJ Friedl has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.4°, TJ Friedl has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.7°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.. TJ Friedl has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 7 days.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Joey Wiemer is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Joey Wiemer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Joey Wiemer has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .347 mark is a fair amount higher than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 -901
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.45% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Elly De La Cruz's launch angle in recent games (7.8° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 11.8° seasonal angle.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz's true offensive skill to be a .331, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .043 deviation between that figure and his actual .374 wOBA.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-17.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-17.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

o0.5 +350
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-19.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-19.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 22%.

o0.5 +920
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Jake Irvin logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Irvin (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Irvin logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Irvin (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.33% EV

ANALYSIS

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dexter Kelley) calling pitches today.. Projected catcher Keibert Ruiz projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. Jake Irvin's 91.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 17th percentile out of all starters.

u4.5 -105
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Nick Lodolo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lodolo (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Lodolo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lodolo (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Lodolo in the 79th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.. The Washington Nationals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Wiemer, Brady House, James Wood).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nick Lodolo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Nick Lodolo recorded a 12.4% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

o5.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +253
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

o0.5 +206
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.56% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +158
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.87% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

o0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.. Joey Wiemer's quickness has increased this season. His 28.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.83 ft/sec now.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +120
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.43% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

o0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.4%.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV

ANALYSIS

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
1.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
1.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.. The Barrel% of Spencer Steer has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.8% last year to 16.8% this season.

o0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +254
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.. Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.

u0.5 -319
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u0.5 -365
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nick Lodolo will hold the platoon advantage against Daylen Lile in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Daylen Lile will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 -250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 22%.

o0.5 +230
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.29 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
14.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.29 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
14.57% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
12.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
12.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 -127
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

o1.5 -102
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.51 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.51 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -150
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.51 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.51 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.08% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

o1.5 -150
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.94% EV

ANALYSIS

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 -113
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.. Joey Wiemer's quickness has increased this season. His 28.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.83 ft/sec now.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 -106
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.11% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.4%.

o1.5 +100
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.66% EV

ANALYSIS

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u1.5 -160
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.. The Barrel% of Spencer Steer has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.8% last year to 16.8% this season.

o1.5 -130
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Daylen Lile has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Cincinnati's 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Daylen Lile, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 -114
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.. Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.

u1.5 -135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

u1.5 -159
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-8.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-8.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Ke'Bryan Hayes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.

u1.5 -143
Caesars logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -158 moneyline
CIN PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -158 moneyline

PROJECTION

CIN PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
2.28% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-158
FanDuel logo
TOTAL
Washington Nationals logo Cincinnati Reds logo
Over 9.0 Total
9.71 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Washington Nationals logo Cincinnati Reds logo
Over 9.0 Total

PROJECTION

9.71 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o9.0 -120
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -1.5 spread
-1.09 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN -1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-1.09 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.36% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.76% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 23rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Spencer Steer is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer today.. Spencer Steer has put up a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Spencer Steer ranks in the 12th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .218.

u0.5 +166
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Tyler Stephenson encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.. In the last week, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.. Over the past two weeks, Tyler Stephenson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.3%.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Jake Irvin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt McLain in today's matchup.. Matt McLain's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.1-mph figure last season has decreased to 89.2-mph.. Matt McLain has notched a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, TJ Friedl has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.4°, TJ Friedl has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.7°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.. TJ Friedl has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 7 days.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, CJ Abrams faces a tough challenge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .065 disparity.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u0.5 +125
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nick Lodolo will hold the platoon advantage against Daylen Lile in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Daylen Lile will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.44% EV

ANALYSIS

11% of the time that Nathaniel Lowe has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nathaniel Lowe has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 79.6-mph in the last 7 days.. Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky this year, compiling a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .058 deviation.. Nathaniel Lowe has notched a .285 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Will Benson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Will Benson has been pinch hit for 42% of the time.. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.. Over the last week, Will Benson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 23.1%.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Ke'Bryan Hayes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

u0.5 +131
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.62% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Curtis Mead today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Curtis Mead's true offensive talent to be a .314, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .026 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .340 wOBA.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 12th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-1.94% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Sal Stewart will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Sal Stewart has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 19.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 12.8% in the past two weeks.. With a .249 BABIP since the start of last season, Sal Stewart is positioned in the 25th percentile.

u0.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #8 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

o0.5 -165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wiemer in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Joey Wiemer is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Joey Wiemer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

u0.5 +104
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #8 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 -200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. JJ Bleday has been pulled from the game early 27% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.263) implies that JJ Bleday has been lucky since the start of last season with his .318 actual wOBA.. Ranking in the 15th percentile, JJ Bleday has put up a .219 batting average since the start of last season.

u0.5 +132
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.65% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz's true offensive skill to be a .331, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .043 deviation between that figure and his actual .374 wOBA.

u0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.31% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.79% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +160
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +115
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

o1.5 +105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.09% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, CJ Abrams faces a tough challenge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .065 disparity.

u1.5 -170
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.98 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
6.9% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Brady House will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Brady House's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 49.7% to 37.9%.. When it comes to his home runs, Brady House has been lucky since the start of last season. His 12.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 5.1.

u1.5 -190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.4%.

o1.5 +175
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wiemer in the 11th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Joey Wiemer is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Joey Wiemer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

u1.5 -290
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

u1.5 -290
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.13% EV

ANALYSIS

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Daylen Lile has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Cincinnati's 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Daylen Lile, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-2.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.. The Barrel% of Spencer Steer has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.8% last year to 16.8% this season.

o1.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.00 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u1.5 -310
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.. Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.

u1.5 -250
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-8.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 22%.

o1.5 +185
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +760
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.07% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, JJ Bleday ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

o0.5 +360
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.. Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (0.0) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Young has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his 5.9 actual HR/600.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.32% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his home run skill, Daylen Lile ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. Nick Lodolo will hold the platoon advantage against Daylen Lile in today's matchup.. Daylen Lile will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.4%.

o0.5 +730
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Nasim Nunez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 16.5% on the season to 8.7% over the past 14 days.

u0.5 -2222
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +540
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.47% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nick Lodolo will have the handedness advantage against James Wood in today's game.. James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Over the past two weeks, James Wood's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 27.1% down to 20.7%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates James Wood's true offensive talent to be a .364, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .022 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .386 wOBA.

u0.5 -450
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Brady House will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. When it comes to his home runs, Brady House has been lucky since the start of last season. His 12.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 5.1.. Brady House has recorded a .271 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile.. As it relates to plate discipline, Brady House's ability is quite poor, posting a 6.3 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 3rd percentile.

u0.5 -847
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.32% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, CJ Abrams faces a tough challenge in today's game.. CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .388 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .065 disparity.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

11% of the time that Nathaniel Lowe has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nathaniel Lowe has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 79.6-mph in the last 7 days.. When it comes to his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 20.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.3.. Nathaniel Lowe has notched a .285 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Steer is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Steer today.. Spencer Steer has put up a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.01% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Sal Stewart will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Sal Stewart has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 19.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 12.8% in the past two weeks.

u0.5 -426
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 18th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today's game.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 16th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, TJ Friedl has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.4°, TJ Friedl has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.7°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.. TJ Friedl has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the past 7 days.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Joey Wiemer is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Joey Wiemer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Joey Wiemer has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .347 mark is a fair amount higher than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

u0.5 -901
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.45% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Elly De La Cruz's launch angle in recent games (7.8° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 11.8° seasonal angle.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Elly De La Cruz's true offensive skill to be a .331, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .043 deviation between that figure and his actual .374 wOBA.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-17.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-17.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

o0.5 +350
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-19.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-19.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 22%.

o0.5 +920
FanDuel logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Jake Irvin logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Irvin (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Irvin logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Irvin (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.33% EV

ANALYSIS

It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dexter Kelley) calling pitches today.. Projected catcher Keibert Ruiz projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. Jake Irvin's 91.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 17th percentile out of all starters.

u4.5 -105
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Nick Lodolo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lodolo (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nick Lodolo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lodolo (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nick Lodolo in the 79th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.. The Washington Nationals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Wiemer, Brady House, James Wood).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nick Lodolo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Nick Lodolo recorded a 12.4% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

o5.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +253
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

o0.5 +206
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.56% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +158
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.87% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

o0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.. Joey Wiemer's quickness has increased this season. His 28.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.83 ft/sec now.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.73% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +120
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.43% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Will Benson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
W. Benson (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup.

o0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.4%.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV

ANALYSIS

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
1.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
1.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.. The Barrel% of Spencer Steer has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.8% last year to 16.8% this season.

o0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +254
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.. Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.

u0.5 -319
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u0.5 -365
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Daylen Lile has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Nick Lodolo will hold the platoon advantage against Daylen Lile in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Daylen Lile will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 -250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 12.4% to 22%.

o0.5 +230
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.29 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
14.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.29 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
14.57% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. JJ Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
12.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
James Wood logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wood (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.41 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
12.26% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. James Wood has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 -127
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Brady House logo
Washington Nationals logo
B. House (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Brady House is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Brady House will have the handedness advantage against Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

o1.5 -102
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.51 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.51 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -150
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.51 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.51 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
10.08% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin.

o1.5 -150
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Curtis Mead logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Mead (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.94% EV

ANALYSIS

Curtis Mead is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Curtis Mead will have the upper hand in today's game.. Curtis Mead has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 -113
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Wiemer logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Wiemer (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all major league stadiums, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Joey Wiemer will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.. Joey Wiemer's quickness has increased this season. His 28.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.83 ft/sec now.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -110
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 -106
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
CJ Abrams logo
Washington Nationals logo
C. Abrams (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.11% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 -120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Matt McLain logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
M. McLain (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Matt McLain has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Matt McLain will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21.4%.

o1.5 +100
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.66% EV

ANALYSIS

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, TJ Friedl will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nasim Nunez logo
Washington Nationals logo
N. Nunez (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Nasim Nunez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Nasim Nunez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u1.5 -160
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Spencer Steer logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Steer (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.. The Barrel% of Spencer Steer has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.8% last year to 16.8% this season.

o1.5 -130
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Daylen Lile logo
Washington Nationals logo
D. Lile (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Daylen Lile has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Cincinnati's 2nd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Daylen Lile, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 -114
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jacob Young logo
Washington Nationals logo
J. Young (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-6.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today's matchup.. Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.

u1.5 -135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Keibert Ruiz logo
Washington Nationals logo
K. Ruiz (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today.

u1.5 -159
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-8.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
K. Hayes (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-8.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.. When starting against a northpaw this year, Ke'Bryan Hayes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the slate today.. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.

u1.5 -143
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