Washington Nationals Expert Picks & Predictions Today

Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.6 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +185

-

o0.5 +190

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season.. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark.. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph.. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

+190 at BetMGM

Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +210

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +205

-

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +202

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

+210 at BetMGM

Total RBIs

Nathaniel Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)

Projection 0.5 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +196

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

-

o0.5 +195

o0.5 +196

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

+196 at Caesars

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)

Projection 2.2 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -105

-

o1.5 +100

-

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season.. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark.. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph.. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

+100 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Alex Verdugo o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.8 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +140

-

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +126

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 mark is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

+140 at bet365

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Josh Bell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)

Projection 1.8 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

-

o1.5 +125

-

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

+125 at BetMGM

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nathaniel Lowe o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)

Projection 1.9 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +105

-

o1.5 +110

-

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

+110 at BetMGM

Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)

Projection 2.4 (Over)

Best Odds

o1.5 -140

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -145

-

o1.5 -140

-

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure.. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph.. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%.. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

-140 at BetMGM

Outs Recorded

AJ Smith-Shawver u16.5 Outs Recorded (-120)

Projection 15.2 (Under)

Best Odds

u16.5 -120

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

u16.5 -120

-

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for walks.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.. Among all SPs, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball spin rate of 2101 rpm grades out in the 4th percentile this year.. AJ Smith-Shawver has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.33 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.75 — a 2.42 difference.. AJ Smith-Shawver has displayed weak control this year, putting up a 11th percentile BB% of 11.2%.

-120 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Keibert Ruiz o0.5 Total Bases (-180)

Projection 1.4 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 -180

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 -190

o0.5 -180

-

o0.5 -190

o0.5 -192

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

-180 at bet365

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