San Diego Padres

2nd in National League West (91 - 71)

Next Game

Tue, Sep 29 22:00 ET

CHC @ SD Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'd recommend this Over for Crow-Armstrong to +100 because he sports an elite .407 wOBA and .322 ISO against right-handed pitchers. While I do expect San Diego starter Michael King to pitch well, his 2.93 ERA in the second half is miles below his 4.12 xERA and 4.24 xFIP, so a splash of statistical correction is coming in Game 1.

Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Tatis Jr. has teed off on lefties to the tune of a .421 wOBA, .273 ISO, 50.0% hard-hit rate and 24.3% blast contact rate, and he sports a .500 slugging percentage against Cubs southpaw Matthew Boyd. Of course, Boyd also sports a ho-hum 4.52 xERA and 4.45 xFIP against right-handed hitters, so this Tatis prop is in play to +100 in Game 1.

Strikeouts Thrown
Michael King logo Michael King o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Chicago lineup will be facing King for the first time, and the go-to righty has fanned five or more batters in four of his past six starts while holding opposing hitters to a minuscule .295 wOBA and 7.0 barrel percentage. As a result, I’m anticipating King pitching deep enough into the series opener to pick up at least five strikeouts tonight and recommend this prop to -135.

Total
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail o7.5 (+107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

San Diego ranks second in OPS over the past two weeks and first against lefties. The Padres have a combined .839 OPS in 108 at-bats against Matthew Boyd and smacked him around him for eight earned runs in two games this season. Chicago’s lineup has a combined .906 OPS against Michael King, and the Cubs have been especially dangerous on the road and against righties. Both bullpens have been average at best lately, and the Over hit in five of six regular-season meetings.

Total Home Runs
Jackson Merrill logo Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Jackson Merrill  leads the Padres in almost every major category in September, most notably barreling the ball at a 19.6% clip while generating hard contact 59.7% of the time.

His xSLG is above .600 against both lefties and righties so it’ll be difficult for Craig Counsell to find a matchup that really neutralizes his power.

The Cubs bullpen also sits 22nd in HR/FB in September. 

Total
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail u7.5 (-129)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Under is appealing up to 57%.

Michael King’s ability to limit runs has led to plenty of low scoring games in San Diego. The Padres posted an 11-3-1 record to the Under in home starts, and were 6-0-1 when isolating opponents over .500. 

Chicago's bullpen quietly ranks 13th in average allowed and second in hard hit rate in September.

Moneyline
San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD (-129)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

I’m on the San Diego Padres to 56%.

Michael King ranks in the 93rd percentile in Pitching Run Value and has suppressed runs especially well at home.

The Padres lead the majors with a wRC+ of 127 in September and rank inside the Top-5 against pitchers of both handedness. They’re well equipped to support King no matter who is on the mound.

Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total Bases
Austin Hays logo
Austin Hays o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.
Total Bases
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Michael Conforto logo
Michael Conforto o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.18
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

43% picking Chi. Cubs

43%
57%

Total PicksCHC 323, SD 428

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

66% picking Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksCHC 357, SD 187

Total
Over
Under

CHC @ SD · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
TOTAL
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total
9.36 PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
19.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.36 PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
19.7% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 +105
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
CHC +1.5 spread
-0.32 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
6.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
CHC +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.32 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
6.52% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -180
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Matthew Boyd will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's skill is quite weak, sporting a 3.84 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 11th percentile.

u0.5 +165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. In the past week, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
2.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
2.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Chicago (#1-best of the day).. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this season (5.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.6° angle last season.

u0.5 +220
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Today, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (86th percentile).. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Ty France has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o0.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a southpaw this year, Samad Taylor has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.

u0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Austin Hays will have an advantage in today's game.

o0.5 -135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Today, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.8% rate (99th percentile).. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 +175
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Matthew Boyd will have the handedness advantage over Jake Cronenworth today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.

u0.5 +100
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.72% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Using Statcast data, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384.

o0.5 -165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.94% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o0.5 -125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Manny Machado's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 46.6% to 41.1%.

u0.5 +161
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Luis Campusano is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.. Luis Campusano has been pinch hit for 12% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

u0.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Nico Hoerner encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Nico Hoerner has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

u0.5 +170
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.. In the past two weeks, Ian Happ's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.9%.

o0.5 -120
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Alex Bregman has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.1% seasonal rate to 13.6% over the last 14 days.

o0.5 -165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.68% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 -150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.81% EV

ANALYSIS

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.

o0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o1.5 +250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +180
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.54% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.

o1.5 +220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.14% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.85% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.

o1.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.82% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o1.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. In the past week, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 12% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

u1.5 -198
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Alex Bregman will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Bregman's true offensive ability to be a .336, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .018 gap between that figure and his actual .354 wOBA.

u1.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
2.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
2.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Matthew Boyd will have the handedness advantage over Jake Cronenworth today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle this season (11.2°) is significantly worse than his 14.5° angle last year.

u1.5 -400
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Nico Hoerner encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.

u1.5 -213
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-7.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-7.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +250
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Pedro Ramirez logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Ramirez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.89 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Pedro Ramirez logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Ramirez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Pedro Ramirez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +170
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.98% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.. Jake Cronenworth has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4.1% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the past two weeks.

o0.5 +1500
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o0.5 +950
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.7% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +750
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +475
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 +800
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Austin Hays will have an advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +950
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o0.5 +950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ty France ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +640
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +660
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +800
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samad Taylor in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Samad Taylor is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a southpaw this year, Samad Taylor has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In the past 7 days, Samad Taylor's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.8%.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

o0.5 +400
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.67% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 +350
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

o0.5 +1600
Hard Rock Bet logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Matthew Boyd logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Boyd (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Matthew Boyd logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Boyd (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The San Diego Padres (21.8 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of the day.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In his last game started, Matthew Boyd was rolling and posted 7 strikeouts.. With a 1.01 discrepancy between Matthew Boyd's 6.82 K/9 and his 7.83 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see better results going forward.

o3.5 -105
BetMGM logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Michael King logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. King (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-22.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Michael King logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. King (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-22.85% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Michael King will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.. Michael King's change-up usage has spiked by 5% from last year to this one (21.4% to 26.4%) .. Considering the 0.77 discrepancy between Michael King's 7.74 K/9 and his 8.51 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better in future games.

o4.5 +102
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +306
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
21.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
21.39% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +240
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o0.5 +300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.61% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +230
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
18.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
18.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 +270
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.68% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o0.5 +280
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +170
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +275
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +260
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.37% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +211
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.51% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

o0.5 +190
BetRivers logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.83% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.. In the past week's worth of games, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 103.4-mph in recent games.

o0.5 +340
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TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.48% EV

ANALYSIS

Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +330
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. By putting up a .310 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner is positioned in the 99th percentile.. In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

o0.5 +310
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HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
18.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
18.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
17.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
17.64% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
16.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
16.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +130
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
16.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
16.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +100
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o1.5 +170
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.30 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
12.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.30 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
12.72% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o1.5 -110
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
12.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
12.57% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.39 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.39 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

o1.5 -150
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +116
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HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3% EV

ANALYSIS

Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +100
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. By putting up a .310 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner is positioned in the 99th percentile.. In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.44% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.. In the past week's worth of games, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 103.4-mph in recent games.

o1.5 +172
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +165
Hard Rock Bet logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
TOTAL
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total
9.36 PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
19.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.36 PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
19.7% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 +105
BetMGM logo
SPREAD
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
CHC +1.5 spread
-0.32 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
6.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
CHC +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.32 PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
6.52% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -180
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Matthew Boyd will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's skill is quite weak, sporting a 3.84 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 11th percentile.

u0.5 +165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. In the past week, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
2.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
2.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Chicago (#1-best of the day).. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this season (5.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.6° angle last season.

u0.5 +220
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Today, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (86th percentile).. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Ty France has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o0.5 -105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a southpaw this year, Samad Taylor has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.

u0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Austin Hays will have an advantage in today's game.

o0.5 -135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Today, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.8% rate (99th percentile).. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 +175
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Matthew Boyd will have the handedness advantage over Jake Cronenworth today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.

u0.5 +100
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.72% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Using Statcast data, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .384.

o0.5 -165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.94% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o0.5 -125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Manny Machado's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 46.6% to 41.1%.

u0.5 +161
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Luis Campusano is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.. Luis Campusano has been pinch hit for 12% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher this year.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

u0.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Nico Hoerner encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Nico Hoerner has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences today.

u0.5 +170
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.. In the past two weeks, Ian Happ's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.9%.

o0.5 -120
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Alex Bregman has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.1% seasonal rate to 13.6% over the last 14 days.

o0.5 -165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.68% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 -150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.81% EV

ANALYSIS

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.

o0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o1.5 +250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
17% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +180
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.54% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
16.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.

o1.5 +220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.14% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.85% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.

o1.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.82% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o1.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.17% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. In the past week, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 12% on the season to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

u1.5 -198
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.15% EV

ANALYSIS

Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Alex Bregman will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Bregman's true offensive ability to be a .336, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .018 gap between that figure and his actual .354 wOBA.

u1.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.12% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
2.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
2.95% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Matthew Boyd will have the handedness advantage over Jake Cronenworth today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle this season (11.2°) is significantly worse than his 14.5° angle last year.

u1.5 -400
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Nico Hoerner is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park profiles as the #26 park in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Nico Hoerner encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.

u1.5 -213
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-7.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-7.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +250
FanDuel logo
TOTAL BASES
Pedro Ramirez logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Ramirez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.89 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Pedro Ramirez logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Ramirez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Pedro Ramirez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +170
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.98% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.. Jake Cronenworth has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 4.1% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the past two weeks.

o0.5 +1500
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o0.5 +950
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.7% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +750
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +475
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.02% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 +800
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
9.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Austin Hays will have an advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +950
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o0.5 +950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.37% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ty France ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +640
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +660
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +800
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samad Taylor in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Samad Taylor is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a southpaw this year, Samad Taylor has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In the past 7 days, Samad Taylor's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.8%.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

o0.5 +400
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.67% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 +350
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

o0.5 +1600
Hard Rock Bet logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Matthew Boyd logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Boyd (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Matthew Boyd logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Boyd (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The San Diego Padres (21.8 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of the day.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In his last game started, Matthew Boyd was rolling and posted 7 strikeouts.. With a 1.01 discrepancy between Matthew Boyd's 6.82 K/9 and his 7.83 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see better results going forward.

o3.5 -105
BetMGM logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Michael King logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. King (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-22.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Michael King logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. King (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-22.85% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Michael King will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.. Michael King's change-up usage has spiked by 5% from last year to this one (21.4% to 26.4%) .. Considering the 0.77 discrepancy between Michael King's 7.74 K/9 and his 8.51 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better in future games.

o4.5 +102
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +306
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
21.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
21.39% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +240
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o0.5 +300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.61% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +230
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
18.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
18.33% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 +270
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.68% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o0.5 +280
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +170
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.

o0.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +275
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +260
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.37% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +211
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.51% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

o0.5 +190
BetRivers logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.83% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.. In the past week's worth of games, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 103.4-mph in recent games.

o0.5 +340
BetRivers logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
3.48% EV

ANALYSIS

Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +330
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.05% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. By putting up a .310 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner is positioned in the 99th percentile.. In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

o0.5 +310
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
18.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Michael Conforto logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Conforto (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
18.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage in today's game.. Michael Conforto has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. In the last 14 days, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph lately.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
17.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Seiya Suzuki logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
S. Suzuki (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
17.64% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
16.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Michael Busch logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
M. Busch (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
16.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +130
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
16.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ian Happ logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
I. Happ (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
16.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Michael King in today's game.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
A. Hays (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.03% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Hays in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Austin Hays is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +100
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dansby Swanson logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
D. Swanson (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, compiling a .303 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .030 gap.

o1.5 +170
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Kelly logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
C. Kelly (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.7% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Carson Kelly has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Carson Kelly has shown impressive plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

o1.5 +160
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.30 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
12.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
P. Crow-Armstrong (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.30 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
12.72% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

o1.5 -110
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
12.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alex Bregman logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
A. Bregman (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
12.57% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
11.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ty France is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.39 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.39 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge today.

o1.5 -150
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Luis Campusano will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Luis Campusano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +116
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3% EV

ANALYSIS

Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

o1.5 +100
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nico Hoerner logo
Chicago Cubs image thumbnail
N. Hoerner (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.84% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. By putting up a .310 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nico Hoerner is positioned in the 99th percentile.. In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile.

o1.5 +110
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.44% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today.. In the past week's worth of games, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 103.4-mph in recent games.

o1.5 +172
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +165
Hard Rock Bet logo

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Moneyline

'glen2003' picks San Diego at (-127)

glen2003 is #1 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (73-68-6) and +19845 units on the season.

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CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'glen2003' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Under (7.0)

glen2003 is #1 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (73-68-6) and +19845 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'VenezUtah' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.5)

VenezUtah is #1 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (73-65-8) and +20770 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'VenezUtah' picks San Diego at (-124)

VenezUtah is #1 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (73-65-8) and +20770 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'tonloc4554' picks Chi. Cubs at (106)

tonloc4554 is #10 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (31-20-1) and +10765 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'jktheoneandonly' picks San Diego at (-130)

jktheoneandonly is #10 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (47-33-3) and +12265 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'jktheoneandonly' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

jktheoneandonly is #10 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (47-33-3) and +12265 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'MatroxSD' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.5)

MatroxSD is #2 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (45-32-5) and +16630 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'MatroxSD' picks San Diego at (-122)

MatroxSD is #2 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (45-32-5) and +16630 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'2YELLOWDOGS' picks San Diego at (-127)

2YELLOWDOGS is #3 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (62-51-6) and +16540 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'2YELLOWDOGS' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Under (7.0)

2YELLOWDOGS is #3 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (62-51-6) and +16540 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'billdo' picks Chi. Cubs at (106)

billdo is #3 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (46-25-4) and +12955 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'billdo' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

billdo is #3 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (46-25-4) and +12955 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'DavePaliwoda' picks San Diego at (-127)

DavePaliwoda is #4 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (77-62-5) and +15790 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'DavePaliwoda' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Under (7.0)

DavePaliwoda is #4 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (77-62-5) and +15790 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'FRANKYFUGAZI1' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

FRANKYFUGAZI1 is #5 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (65-54-4) and +12213 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'FRANKYFUGAZI1' picks Chi. Cubs at (106)

FRANKYFUGAZI1 is #5 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (65-54-4) and +12213 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'RedskinsWoman' picks San Diego at (-130)

RedskinsWoman is #5 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (40-24-3) and +14995 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'RedskinsWoman' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

RedskinsWoman is #5 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (40-24-3) and +14995 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'DarthRaider27' picks San Diego at (-127)

DarthRaider27 is #6 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (35-29-1) and +14975 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'BigmoneyLee' picks Chi. Cubs at (106)

BigmoneyLee is #6 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (56-43-5) and +11874 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'BigmoneyLee' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

BigmoneyLee is #6 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (56-43-5) and +11874 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'DarthRaider27' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

DarthRaider27 is #6 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (35-29-1) and +14975 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'SPLASH666' picks San Diego at (-127)

SPLASH666 is #7 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (34-40-4) and +11195 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'fleterod' picks San Diego at (-130)

fleterod is #7 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (78-62-6) and +13240 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'fleterod' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Under (7.0)

fleterod is #7 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (78-62-6) and +13240 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'Gary64' picks Chi. Cubs at (106)

Gary64 is #8 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (89-55-7) and +12470 units on the season.

Moneyline
CHC
SD
Moneyline
Total

'Gary64' picks Chi. Cubs vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

Gary64 is #8 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (89-55-7) and +12470 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

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