San Diego Padres

2nd in National League West (82 - 68)

Next Game

Tue, Sep 16 19:10 ET

SD @ NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Clay Holmes logo
Clay Holmes u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-165)
Projection 2.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Clay Holmes to throw 85 pitches in this outing (14th-most on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The San Diego Padres (19.5 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of all teams today.. Placing in the 21st percentile, Clay Holmes posted an 8.9% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael King logo
Michael King u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 4.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Michael King to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 77 pitches.. With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Michael King will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.. Michael King will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Michael King's 91.9-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1.1-mph fall off from last year's 93-mph figure.. Michael King's high utilization percentage of his fastball (53% this year) is likely harming his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Clay Holmes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Ramon Laureano logo
Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Clay Holmes will have the handedness advantage against Ramon Laureano in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Clay Holmes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's game.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Pete Alonso projects as the 11th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 18.6% this season.
Total RBIs
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Mark Vientos will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. In the past week, Mark Vientos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 23.1%.
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.. Jackson Merrill has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the last week.
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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

60% picking San Diego vs NY Mets to go Over

60%
40%

Total PicksSD 21, NYM 14

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Over
Under

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Moneyline

'BundiniBrown' picks San Diego at (110)

BundiniBrown is #4 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +15235 units on the season.

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SD
NYM
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