San Diego Padres

2nd in National League West (72 - 62)

Next Game

Fri, Aug 28 19:10 ET

SD @ TB Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Freddy Fermin logo
Freddy Fermin o1.5 Total Bases (+241)
Projection 1.2
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Freddy Fermin will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Ty France logo
Ty France o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ty France is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.. Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Liam Hicks logo
Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.. Liam Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-127)
Projection 2.36
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

41% picking San Diego

41%
59%

Total PicksSD 39, TB 56

Moneyline
SD
TB
Moneyline
Total

52% picking San Diego vs Tampa Bay to go Under

48%
52%

Total PicksSD 32, TB 34

Total
Over
Under

SD @ TB · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
San Diego Padres logo
SD +120 moneyline
SD PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
San Diego Padres logo
SD +120 moneyline

PROJECTION

SD PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.43% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+120
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL
San Diego Padres logo Tampa Bay Rays logo
Over 7.5 Total
8.33 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
San Diego Padres logo Tampa Bay Rays logo
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.33 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.71% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 +100
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
San Diego Padres logo
SD +1.5 spread
-0.25 PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
6.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
San Diego Padres logo
SD +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.25 PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
6.93% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -180
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Jonny DeLuca is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Jonny DeLuca has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Jonny DeLuca will be at a disadvantage today.. In the last 7 days, Jonny DeLuca's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage over Junior Caminero in today's game.. From last season to this one, Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.3% to 10.6%.. Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 10.6% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Junior Caminero's true offensive skill to be a .351, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Richie Palacios logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Palacios (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Richie Palacios logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Palacios (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Richie Palacios is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. Richie Palacios has been pulled from the game early 26% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Over the past two weeks, Richie Palacios's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 88.2 mph to 81 mph.

u0.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Shane McClanahan throws from, Jackson Merrill faces a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's ability is quite weak, sporting a 3.91 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 12th percentile.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks.. Luis Rengifo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 47.3% to 40.7%.. Posting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Luis Rengifo is ranked in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability.

u0.5 +170
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France today.. Despite posting a .368 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ty France has experienced some positive variance given the .046 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.64% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 -188
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Cronenworth has had bad variance on his side given the .026 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

o0.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.01% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.7% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +110
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Freddy Fermin will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 9th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today.. Jonathan Aranda has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.56% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u1.5 -200
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Rengifo will get to bat from his strong side against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +154
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ty France is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.. Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +158
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +290
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks.. Luis Rengifo has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonathan Aranda has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.. Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 93.1-mph EV last season has decreased to 91-mph.

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage over Junior Caminero in today's game.. From last season to this one, Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.3% to 10.6%.. Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 10.6% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Junior Caminero's true offensive skill to be a .351, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.

u0.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 9.6° to 5.7° this year.

u0.5 -575
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Shane McClanahan throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have a tough matchup today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's game.

u0.5 -3000
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres logo
A. Hays (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres logo
A. Hays (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.57% EV

ANALYSIS

Austin Hays is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Austin Hays has been pinch hit for 10% of the time.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Austin Hays will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Austin Hays has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.3% rate last year has dropped to 4.3% this season.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France today.. Despite posting a .368 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ty France has experienced some positive variance given the .046 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Cedric Mullins logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Mullins (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Cedric Mullins logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Mullins (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. With a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Cedric Mullins has performed in the 17th percentile for hitting ability.. Cedric Mullins has notched a .287 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 14th percentile.. Checking in at the 21st percentile, Cedric Mullins has posted a .362 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

u0.5 -1200
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Yandy Diaz will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Over the past two weeks, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 3.4%.. Manny Machado's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 92.9-mph mark last season has dropped to 90.6-mph.. Over the last 14 days, Manny Machado's 6.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Casey Mize logo
San Diego Padres logo
C. Mize (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Casey Mize logo
San Diego Padres logo
C. Mize (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The #6 venue in the league for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. In his previous start, Casey Mize was on point and notched 9 strikeouts.. Casey Mize's slider utilization has spiked by 11.9% from last season to this one (15.3% to 27.2%) .

o3.5 -120
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.13% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +185
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.17% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +150
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ty France is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.. Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +206
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +225
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.. Liam Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +228
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.78% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.38% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Rengifo will get to bat from his strong side against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +260
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Cedric Mullins logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Mullins (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cedric Mullins logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Mullins (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the past week, Cedric Mullins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 10%.

o0.5 +226
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today.. Jonathan Aranda has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.94% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 -300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.36 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.36 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.24% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 -127
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Freddy Fermin will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres logo
A. Hays (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres logo
A. Hays (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Austin Hays will have the upper hand in today's game.. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Austin Hays has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Rengifo will get to bat from his strong side against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 -104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.. Liam Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.09% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u1.5 -115
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
San Diego Padres logo
SD +120 moneyline
SD PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
San Diego Padres logo
SD +120 moneyline

PROJECTION

SD PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
8.43% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+120
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL
San Diego Padres logo Tampa Bay Rays logo
Over 7.5 Total
8.33 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
San Diego Padres logo Tampa Bay Rays logo
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.33 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.71% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 +100
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
San Diego Padres logo
SD +1.5 spread
-0.25 PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
6.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
San Diego Padres logo
SD +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.25 PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
6.93% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -180
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
5.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.95% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonny DeLuca logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. DeLuca (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Jonny DeLuca is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Jonny DeLuca has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Jonny DeLuca will be at a disadvantage today.. In the last 7 days, Jonny DeLuca's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage over Junior Caminero in today's game.. From last season to this one, Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.3% to 10.6%.. Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 10.6% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Junior Caminero's true offensive skill to be a .351, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Richie Palacios logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Palacios (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Richie Palacios logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
R. Palacios (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richie Palacios in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Richie Palacios is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. Richie Palacios has been pulled from the game early 26% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Over the past two weeks, Richie Palacios's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 88.2 mph to 81 mph.

u0.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Shane McClanahan throws from, Jackson Merrill faces a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's ability is quite weak, sporting a 3.91 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 12th percentile.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks.. Luis Rengifo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 47.3% to 40.7%.. Posting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Luis Rengifo is ranked in the 23rd percentile for offensive ability.

u0.5 +170
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-3.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France today.. Despite posting a .368 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ty France has experienced some positive variance given the .046 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.64% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 -188
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Cronenworth has had bad variance on his side given the .026 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

o0.5 -115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.01% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +141
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
8.7% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +110
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Freddy Fermin will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +280
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.5% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 9th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Yandy Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today.. Jonathan Aranda has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.56% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u1.5 -200
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Rengifo will get to bat from his strong side against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +154
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ty France is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.. Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +158
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +290
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 83.9-mph in the last two weeks.. Luis Rengifo has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jonathan Aranda has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.. Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 93.1-mph EV last season has decreased to 91-mph.

u0.5 -800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage over Junior Caminero in today's game.. From last season to this one, Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.3% to 10.6%.. Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 10.6% on the season to 0% over the past 14 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Junior Caminero's true offensive skill to be a .351, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.

u0.5 -380
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 9.6° to 5.7° this year.

u0.5 -575
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Hitting from the same side that Shane McClanahan throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have a tough matchup today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's game.

u0.5 -3000
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 -1587
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres logo
A. Hays (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres logo
A. Hays (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.57% EV

ANALYSIS

Austin Hays is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Austin Hays has been pinch hit for 10% of the time.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Austin Hays will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Austin Hays has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.3% rate last year has dropped to 4.3% this season.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ty France today.. Despite posting a .368 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ty France has experienced some positive variance given the .046 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Cedric Mullins logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Mullins (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Cedric Mullins logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Mullins (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. With a .290 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Cedric Mullins has performed in the 17th percentile for hitting ability.. Cedric Mullins has notched a .287 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 14th percentile.. Checking in at the 21st percentile, Cedric Mullins has posted a .362 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

u0.5 -1200
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Yandy Diaz logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
Y. Diaz (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-7.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Yandy Diaz will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.

u0.5 -952
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Over the past two weeks, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 3.4%.. Manny Machado's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 92.9-mph mark last season has dropped to 90.6-mph.. Over the last 14 days, Manny Machado's 6.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Casey Mize logo
San Diego Padres logo
C. Mize (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Casey Mize logo
San Diego Padres logo
C. Mize (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

3.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The #6 venue in the league for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. In his previous start, Casey Mize was on point and notched 9 strikeouts.. Casey Mize's slider utilization has spiked by 11.9% from last season to this one (15.3% to 27.2%) .

o3.5 -120
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres logo
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.13% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +185
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.17% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +150
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres logo
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ty France is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand today.. Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +206
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres logo
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Jackson Merrill has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +225
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.29% EV

ANALYSIS

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.. Liam Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +228
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.78% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.38% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Rengifo will get to bat from his strong side against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o0.5 +260
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Cedric Mullins logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Mullins (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cedric Mullins logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Mullins (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the past week, Cedric Mullins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 10%.

o0.5 +226
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jonathan Aranda logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Aranda (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today.. Jonathan Aranda has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.94% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u0.5 -300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.36 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Junior Caminero logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
J. Caminero (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.36 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.24% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 -127
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Freddy Fermin logo
San Diego Padres logo
F. Fermin (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Freddy Fermin will hold the platoon advantage over Shane McClanahan today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres logo
A. Hays (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Austin Hays logo
San Diego Padres logo
A. Hays (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Austin Hays will have the upper hand in today's game.. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Austin Hays has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luis Rengifo logo
San Diego Padres logo
L. Rengifo (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Luis Rengifo will get to bat from his strong side against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Luis Rengifo has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.

o1.5 -104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Liam Hicks logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
L. Hicks (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize in today's game.. Liam Hicks pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Chandler Simpson logo
Tampa Bay Rays logo
C. Simpson (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.09% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -7° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

u1.5 -115
bet365 logo

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'MatroxSD' picks San Diego at (105)

MatroxSD is #2 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (38-29-4) and +14230 units on the season.

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'MatroxSD' picks San Diego vs Tampa Bay to go Over (7.5)

MatroxSD is #2 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (38-29-4) and +14230 units on the season.

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'forkball' picks San Diego vs Tampa Bay to go Under (7.5)

forkball is #2 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (42-30-0) and +13590 units on the season.

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'Bondsman' picks Tampa Bay at (-139)

Bondsman is #6 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (9-8-1) and +11934 units on the season.

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