Philadelphia Phillies Picks
2nd in National League East
(25 - 26)
Next Game
Sat, May 23
16:05 ET
CLE @ PHI Picks
MLB PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the lowest level on the schedule today at 54°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Brandon Marsh's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86-mph over the last week.. Brandon Marsh's launch angle in recent games (5.3° over the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 10.8° seasonal mark.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Chase DeLauter will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Chase DeLauter has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 19.9% underlying K%.. Jordan Baker projects as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone today.. Due to his large platoon split, Zack Wheeler will have a tough matchup being matched up with 8 batters in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side in this outing.. Zack Wheeler's fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this season (94.4 mph) below where it was last year (95.4 mph).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Chase DeLauter will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Chase DeLauter has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi today.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game.. Adolis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 45.8% on the season to 62.5% in the past 7 days.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Rhys Hoskins has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.1% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.. Rhys Hoskins has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 94.3-mph.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The Barrel% of Angel Martinez has significantly improved, with an increase from 3.7% last year to 9.8% this season.. Angel Martinez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 92.2-mph.. Placing in the 90th percentile, Angel Martinez has put up a .350 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Travis Bazzana is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Travis Bazzana will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Travis Bazzana has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .356.