Philadelphia Phillies

2nd in National League East (50 - 41)

Next Game

Tue, Jul 7 19:10 ET

PHI @ CIN Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Noelvi Marte logo
Noelvi Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Alec Bohm logo
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Edmundo Sosa logo
Edmundo Sosa o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Derek Hill logo
Derek Hill o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

57% picking Philadelphia

57%
43%

Total PicksPHI 107, CIN 80

Moneyline
PHI
CIN
Moneyline
Total

52% picking Philadelphia vs Cincinnati to go Under

48%
52%

Total PicksPHI 58, CIN 63

Total
Over
Under

PHI @ CIN · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -170 moneyline
PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -170 moneyline

PROJECTION

PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.53% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-170
Caesars logo
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies logo Cincinnati Reds logo
Over 9.0 Total
10.80 PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo Cincinnati Reds logo
Over 9.0 Total

PROJECTION

10.80 PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o9.0 -102
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN +1.5 spread
1.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

1.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.25% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -114
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Edmundo Sosa is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Edmundo Sosa has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 38% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Edmundo Sosa in today's matchup.. Edmundo Sosa's footspeed has declined this year. His 29.43 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.72 ft/sec now.

u0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The #10 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Kyle Schwarber's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.8% down to 0%.. Kyle Schwarber's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.3-mph over the past 7 days.

u0.5 +175
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Elly De La Cruz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 -197
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Derek Hill is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Derek Hill has been pulled from the game early 38% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Derek Hill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Derek Hill has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile with a 5.53 K/BB rate.

u0.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. In the past 7 days, TJ Friedl's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.7% up to 33.3%.

o0.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-3.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-3.48% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

o0.5 -230
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 17.6% on the season to 23.3% in the last 14 days.

o0.5 -185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Tyler Stephenson has recorded a .225 batting average this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.

u0.5 +115
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.05% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.. J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.6-mph in the past week.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.. Noelvi Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph mark.

o0.5 -150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Eugenio Suarez's BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle this year (18.5°) is significantly lower than his 22° mark last season.. Based on Statcast metrics, Eugenio Suarez is in the 4th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .201.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV

ANALYSIS

25% of the time that Nathaniel Lowe has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #10 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Over the past 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.. Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 72-mph in the past two weeks.. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

o0.5 -195
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.. Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o0.5 -275
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.4% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday's BABIP skill is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #10 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. In the past 14 days, JJ Bleday's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.. JJ Bleday has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 80.1-mph in the past week.. JJ Bleday has been lucky this year, compiling a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .021 discrepancy.

u0.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Sal Stewart will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 -205
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Edwin Arroyo pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Edwin Arroyo will hold that advantage today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.9°, Edwin Arroyo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30.3° angle over the last two weeks.

o0.5 -147
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
18.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
18.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
17.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
17.09% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
2.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.54% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
15.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
15.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +202
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.

o1.5 +115
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +163
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.

o1.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.06% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o1.5 +143
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Bryson Stott faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryson Stott in today's game.. Bryson Stott has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.. In the past week's worth of games, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 92.2 mph to 74 mph.

u1.5 -203
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. TJ Friedl has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. 25% of the time that TJ Friedl has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. TJ Friedl has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 80-mph over the last 7 days.. Based on Statcast data, TJ Friedl is in the 10th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 6.300.

u1.5 -441
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.. Noelvi Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph mark.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +475
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.08% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

o0.5 +390
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, JJ Bleday ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.

o0.5 +350
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.66% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +425
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.. Using Statcast metrics, Derek Hill ranks in the 91st percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .350.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 17.6% on the season to 23.3% in the last 14 days.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +870
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +582
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Kyle Schwarber's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.8% down to 0%.. Kyle Schwarber's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.3-mph over the past 7 days.. In the last 14 days, Kyle Schwarber's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

u0.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Marsh today.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Marsh in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Marsh's true offensive ability to be a .322, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .042 deviation between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.. When it comes to plate discipline, Brandon Marsh's ability is quite weak, sporting a 5.53 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 5th percentile.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.5°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.5°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.. In notching a 8.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 13th percentile for power.. Alec Bohm has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 7.5° angle is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (13th percentile).. Checking in at the 17th percentile, Alec Bohm has notched a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

u0.5 -549
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.44% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o0.5 +500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Bryce Harper has a tough challenge in today's game.. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 18% on the season to 12.5% over the last two weeks.

u0.5 -370
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

25% of the time that Nathaniel Lowe has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Over the past 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.. Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 72-mph in the past two weeks.. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.6%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nathaniel Lowe's true offensive skill to be a .316, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .028 gap between that mark and his actual .344 wOBA.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.. J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.6-mph in the past week.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.9°, J.T. Realmuto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-12°) over the past two weeks.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.. Edmundo Sosa has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph EV.

o0.5 +550
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Andrew Abbott logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
A. Abbott (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Andrew Abbott logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
A. Abbott (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.31% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Tyler Stephenson (the Reds's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Out of all SPs, Andrew Abbott's fastball velocity of 92.1 mph is in the 16th percentile this year.. Ranking in the 20th percentile, Andrew Abbott has compiled a 17.6% K% this year.

u5.5 -140
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +290
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.2% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +180
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +272
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
16.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
16.93% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +146
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
14.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
14.76% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.

o0.5 +156
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

o0.5 +200
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TOTAL RBIS
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.38% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +211
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +330
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.96% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. J.T. Realmuto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.. J.T. Realmuto has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.5% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Edwin Arroyo pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Edwin Arroyo will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +310
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.61% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o0.5 +169
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.82 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
17.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.82 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
17.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -135
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.20 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.20 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +111
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
16.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
16.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.73 PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
16.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.73 PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
16.15% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -134
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
15.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
15.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +148
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.64% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.45 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.45 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.

o1.5 -140
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.99% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. J.T. Realmuto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.. J.T. Realmuto has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -106
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

o1.5 +100
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o1.5 -108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Edwin Arroyo pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Edwin Arroyo will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +140
DraftKings logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -170 moneyline
PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI -170 moneyline

PROJECTION

PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.53% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-170
Caesars logo
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies logo Cincinnati Reds logo
Over 9.0 Total
10.80 PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo Cincinnati Reds logo
Over 9.0 Total

PROJECTION

10.80 PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o9.0 -102
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN +1.5 spread
1.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Cincinnati Reds logo
CIN +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

1.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.25% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -114
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Edmundo Sosa is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Edmundo Sosa has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 38% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Edmundo Sosa in today's matchup.. Edmundo Sosa's footspeed has declined this year. His 29.43 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.72 ft/sec now.

u0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The #10 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Kyle Schwarber's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.8% down to 0%.. Kyle Schwarber's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.3-mph over the past 7 days.

u0.5 +175
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Elly De La Cruz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 -197
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.76 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.06% EV

ANALYSIS

Derek Hill is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Derek Hill has been pulled from the game early 38% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Derek Hill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Derek Hill has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile with a 5.53 K/BB rate.

u0.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. In the past 7 days, TJ Friedl's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.7% up to 33.3%.

o0.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-3.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-3.48% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

o0.5 -230
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 17.6% on the season to 23.3% in the last 14 days.

o0.5 -185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup.. Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Tyler Stephenson has recorded a .225 batting average this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.

u0.5 +115
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.05% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.. J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.6-mph in the past week.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.. Noelvi Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph mark.

o0.5 -150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Eugenio Suarez's BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Eugenio Suarez will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle this year (18.5°) is significantly lower than his 22° mark last season.. Based on Statcast metrics, Eugenio Suarez is in the 4th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .201.

u0.5 +120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.45% EV

ANALYSIS

25% of the time that Nathaniel Lowe has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #10 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Over the past 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.. Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 72-mph in the past two weeks.. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.68% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

o0.5 -195
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.. Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

o0.5 -275
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.4% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday's BABIP skill is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #10 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. In the past 14 days, JJ Bleday's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.. JJ Bleday has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 80.1-mph in the past week.. JJ Bleday has been lucky this year, compiling a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .021 discrepancy.

u0.5 +130
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Sal Stewart will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 -205
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Edwin Arroyo pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Edwin Arroyo will hold that advantage today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.9°, Edwin Arroyo has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30.3° angle over the last two weeks.

o0.5 -147
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
18.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
18.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
17.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
17.09% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
2.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

2.16 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.54% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
15.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
15.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +202
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.

o1.5 +115
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.75% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +163
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.

o1.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.06% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o1.5 +143
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.14% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Bryson Stott faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryson Stott in today's game.. Bryson Stott has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.. In the past week's worth of games, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 92.2 mph to 74 mph.

u1.5 -203
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.67 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
1.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. TJ Friedl has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. 25% of the time that TJ Friedl has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. TJ Friedl has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 80-mph over the last 7 days.. Based on Statcast data, TJ Friedl is in the 10th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 6.300.

u1.5 -441
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.. Noelvi Marte has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph mark.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.97% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +475
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
5.08% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

o0.5 +390
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.76% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, JJ Bleday ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.

o0.5 +350
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.66% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +425
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.. Using Statcast metrics, Derek Hill ranks in the 91st percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .350.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 17.6% on the season to 23.3% in the last 14 days.

o0.5 +700
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +870
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +582
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Hitting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Kyle Schwarber will be in a tough position in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Kyle Schwarber's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.8% down to 0%.. Kyle Schwarber's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 87.3-mph over the past 7 days.. In the last 14 days, Kyle Schwarber's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

u0.5 -220
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Andrew Abbott will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Marsh today.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Marsh in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Marsh's true offensive ability to be a .322, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .042 deviation between that figure and his actual .364 wOBA.. When it comes to plate discipline, Brandon Marsh's ability is quite weak, sporting a 5.53 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 5th percentile.

u0.5 -649
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.73% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.5°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.5°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.. In notching a 8.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 13th percentile for power.. Alec Bohm has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 7.5° angle is among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season (13th percentile).. Checking in at the 17th percentile, Alec Bohm has notched a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

u0.5 -549
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.44% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o0.5 +500
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Batting from the same side that Andrew Abbott throws from, Bryce Harper has a tough challenge in today's game.. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 18% on the season to 12.5% over the last two weeks.

u0.5 -370
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.84% EV

ANALYSIS

25% of the time that Nathaniel Lowe has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Over the past 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.. Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 72-mph in the past two weeks.. Over the past two weeks, Nathaniel Lowe's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.6%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nathaniel Lowe's true offensive skill to be a .316, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .028 gap between that mark and his actual .344 wOBA.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.. J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.6-mph in the past week.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.9°, J.T. Realmuto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-12°) over the past two weeks.

u0.5 -752
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TOTAL HOME RUNS
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.. Edmundo Sosa has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph EV.

o0.5 +550
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STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Andrew Abbott logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
A. Abbott (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Andrew Abbott logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
A. Abbott (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.31% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Tyler Stephenson (the Reds's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Out of all SPs, Andrew Abbott's fastball velocity of 92.1 mph is in the 16th percentile this year.. Ranking in the 20th percentile, Andrew Abbott has compiled a 17.6% K% this year.

u5.5 -140
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TOTAL RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
19.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Noelvi Marte logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Marte (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
17.45% EV

ANALYSIS

Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +290
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TOTAL RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
17.2% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o0.5 +180
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +272
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
16.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
16.93% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +146
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
14.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
14.76% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.

o0.5 +156
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

o0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.38% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +211
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +330
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

o0.5 +202
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.96% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. J.T. Realmuto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.. J.T. Realmuto has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.5% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Edwin Arroyo pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Edwin Arroyo will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +310
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.61% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 19th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o0.5 +169
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.82 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
17.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.82 PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
17.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -135
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.20 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
JJ Bleday logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
J. Bleday (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.20 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.76% EV

ANALYSIS

JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Considering Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

o1.5 +111
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
16.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Eugenio Suarez logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Suarez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
16.51% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.73 PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
16.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.73 PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
16.15% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -134
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
15.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Elly De La Cruz logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. De La Cruz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
15.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP skill.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Wheeler... and even better, Wheeler has a large platoon split.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Sal Stewart logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
S. Stewart (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Stephenson logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Stephenson (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
13.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +148
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nathaniel Lowe logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
N. Lowe (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
12.64% EV

ANALYSIS

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.45 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.45 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.

o1.5 -140
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.11 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.99% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. J.T. Realmuto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game.. J.T. Realmuto has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 -106
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.03 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Bryson Stott has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

o1.5 +100
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edmundo Sosa logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
E. Sosa (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

o1.5 -108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Derek Hill logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
D. Hill (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the best field in the league for righty home runs.. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Derek Hill will have an edge today.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
TJ Friedl logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
T. Friedl (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, TJ Friedl will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. TJ Friedl will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Edwin Arroyo logo
Cincinnati Reds logo
E. Arroyo (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Edwin Arroyo pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Edwin Arroyo will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +140
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Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Moneyline

'shuu' picks Cincinnati at (135)

shuu is #1 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (52-26-0) and +11890 units on the season.

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'Rads5777' picks Philadelphia at (-179)

Rads5777 is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (24-20-1) and +8655 units on the season.

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'Rads5777' picks Philadelphia vs Cincinnati to go Under (8.5)

Rads5777 is #10 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (24-20-1) and +8655 units on the season.

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'Jerrybook' picks Cincinnati at (140)

Jerrybook is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (45-33-2) and +9425 units on the season.

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PHI
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'Jerrybook' picks Philadelphia vs Cincinnati to go Over (9.0)

Jerrybook is #6 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (45-33-2) and +9425 units on the season.

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'dawgs91' picks Philadelphia at (-179)

dawgs91 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (37-20-1) and +8875 units on the season.

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CIN
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'dawgs91' picks Philadelphia vs Cincinnati to go Over (9.0)

dawgs91 is #8 on picking games that Cincinnati is in with a record of (37-20-1) and +8875 units on the season.

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