Philadelphia Phillies

2nd in National League East (6 - 4)

Next Game

PHIPhiladelphia Philadelphia
at
San Francisco SFSan Francisco
Tue, Apr 7 21:45 ET

PHI @ SF Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo San Francisco Giants logo u7.0 (-105)
Best Odds
u7.5 -115 BetMGM
Pick made: 12 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
u7.5  -122
u7.5  -120
u7.5  -125
u7.5  -115
u7.5  -120
u7.5  -120

These are two quality starting pitchers, facing two lineups that have had their fair share of troubles — Philadelphia against lefties and San Francisco in general. The Giants have plated four or fewer runs in nine of their 11 games. 


Although the surface-level statistics may not show it, these are two quality bullpens. The Phillies have the best SIERA in relief (2.69), but a 4.17 ERA, and the Giants have a quality 3.81 SIERA but a grotesque 4.93 ERA.


Both of those bullpen ERAs are due for positive regression, creating value in the Under in the meantime.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+132)
Best Odds
 +132 FanDuel
Pick made: 12 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
 +123
 +130
 +132
 +130
 +130
 +125

Philadelphia has been anemic against left-handed pitching, posting a measly 59 wRC+ and .165 AVG in 112 at-bats. 


Robbie Ray performed admirably at Oracle Park last year (3.50 FIP) and has had plenty of juice in his first two starts (108 Stuff+), so he forecasts for a strong outing. 


Facing Christopher Sanchez is never fun, but he’s down one mph on his fastball and has been hittable (10th percentile average exit velocity, 14th percentile hard-hit rate). For as bad as San Francisco has been against RHP, the lineup is close to league-average against southpaws.

Read Full Analysis
Total RBIs
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +185 bet365
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +165
o0.5  +185
o0.5  +175
o0.5  +175
o0.5  +113
o0.5  +160
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Adolis Garcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game.. Adolis Garcia has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
+185 at bet365
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +181 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +181
o0.5  +175
o0.5  +170
o0.5  +175
o0.5  +113
o0.5  +165
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 18.9% to 22.2%.. Bryce Harper has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, striking balls between 23° and 34° 26.3% of the time over the past week.
+181 at DraftKings
Total RBIs
Alec Bohm logo
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.58 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +191 DraftKings
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +191
o0.5  +165
o0.5  +175
o0.5  +165
o0.5  +112
o0.5  +175
As it relates to his batting average ability, Alec Bohm is projected as the 20th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray today.. Alec Bohm has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
+191 at DraftKings
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Dylan Moore logo
Dylan Moore o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 1.29 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +100 bet365
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -129
o0.5  +100
o0.5  -195
o0.5  -150
o0.5  -134
o0.5  -125
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Dylan Moore will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Dylan Moore ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).. Checking in at the 83rd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Dylan Moore demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important ability for achieving a high batting average.. Ranking in the 90th percentile for power, Dylan Moore has paced 28.4 dingers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
+100 at bet365
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-240)
Projection 2.05 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -225 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -274
o0.5  -240
o0.5  -290
o0.5  -225
o1.5  -112
o0.5  -240
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 4th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
-225 at BetMGM
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-240)
Projection 2.04 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -235 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -256
o0.5  -240
o0.5  -280
o0.5  -235
o1.5  -102
o0.5  -240
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Adolis Garcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game.. Adolis Garcia has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
-235 at BetMGM
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Otto Kemp logo
Otto Kemp o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.44 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -160 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -189
o0.5  -165
o0.5  -260
o0.5  -220
o0.5  -170
o0.5  -160
Otto Kemp's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Otto Kemp will have an edge in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) implies that Otto Kemp has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .230 actual batting average.
-160 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Justin Crawford logo
Justin Crawford o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-180)
Projection 1.48 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -175 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -198
o0.5  -180
o0.5  -240
o0.5  -200
o1.5  +119
o0.5  -175
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Hitters such as Justin Crawford with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Robbie Ray who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.14 ft/sec this year, Justin Crawford is notably athletic.
-175 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-280)
Projection 2.14 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -275 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -284
o0.5  -280
o0.5  -300
o0.5  -275
o1.5  -109
o0.5  -285
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF fences among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
-275 at BetMGM
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 1.65 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -200 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +129
o0.5  -210
o1.5  +125
o0.5  -200
o1.5  +129
o0.5  -215
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 18.9% to 22.2%.. Bryce Harper has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, striking balls between 23° and 34° 26.3% of the time over the past week.
-200 at BetMGM

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Moneyline

60% picking Philadelphia

60%
40%

Total PicksPHI 484, SF 318

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

43% picking Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Under

57%
43%

Total PicksPHI 298, SF 225

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'cashbb1030' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

cashbb1030 is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-1-1) and +5050 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Total

'jr5601' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

jr5601 is #1 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-0-2) and +6925 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'cashbb1030' picks San Francisco at (125)

cashbb1030 is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-1-1) and +5050 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Moneyline

'jr5601' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

jr5601 is #1 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-0-2) and +6925 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'CitoGMoney' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

CitoGMoney is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (3-2-0) and +3400 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'CitoGMoney' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

CitoGMoney is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (3-2-0) and +3400 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'BillyJack' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

BillyJack is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'BillyJack' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

BillyJack is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4450 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'bluetide007' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Under (7.0)

bluetide007 is #3 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +3725 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'bluetide007' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

bluetide007 is #3 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +3725 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Moneyline

'AMERSPORTSREPORT' picks Philadelphia at (-155)

AMERSPORTSREPORT is #3 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-2-2) and +5825 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Moneyline

'kenpitch' picks San Francisco at (125)

kenpitch is #4 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-1-2) and +4875 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'kenpitch' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Under (7.0)

kenpitch is #4 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (8-1-2) and +4875 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Total

'ASkinsFanInDixi' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Under (7.0)

ASkinsFanInDixi is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'ASkinsFanInDixi' picks San Francisco at (130)

ASkinsFanInDixi is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3650 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Moneyline

'Mod2323' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

Mod2323 is #5 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-3-2) and +4775 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'Mod2323' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

Mod2323 is #5 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-3-2) and +4775 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'greenhouse12' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

greenhouse12 is #6 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-2-2) and +4675 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'greenhouse12' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

greenhouse12 is #6 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-2-2) and +4675 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Total

'PSUman19' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

PSUman19 is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +3475 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'PSUman19' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

PSUman19 is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (7-4-0) and +3475 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'STEINWAYSTACKS' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

STEINWAYSTACKS is #7 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-2-2) and +4525 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'STEINWAYSTACKS' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

STEINWAYSTACKS is #7 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-2-2) and +4525 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'Bill_Bear' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

Bill_Bear is #8 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (4-1-1) and +4450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'Bill_Bear' picks San Francisco at (125)

Bill_Bear is #8 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (4-1-1) and +4450 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Moneyline

'SamGiancano' picks San Francisco at (125)

SamGiancano is #9 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +3425 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138
Total

'SamGiancano' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

SamGiancano is #9 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +3425 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Total

'Haloman' picks Philadelphia vs San Francisco to go Over (7.0)

Haloman is #9 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-2) and +4325 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
7.5 +102
8.5 -156
Moneyline

'Haloman' picks Philadelphia at (-150)

Haloman is #9 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-2) and +4325 units on the season.

Moneyline
PHI
SF
Moneyline
-144
+138

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