Philadelphia Phillies Picks
2nd in National League East
(63 - 56)
Next Game
Mon, Aug 10
19:45 ET
PHI @ STL Picks
MLB PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's matchup.. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Ivan Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (44.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Painter throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and JJ Wetherholt will hold that advantage today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Justin Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's matchup.. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Justin Crawford can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Consensus Picks
More ConsensusPHI @ STL · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MONEYLINE
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL
|
|||||||
|
SPREAD
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
I. Herrera
(DH)
0.5 Total Hits
1.05
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
A. Burleson
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
1.11
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
B. Torres
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.84
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Walker
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
1.13
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
B. Marsh
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-7.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
L. Arraez
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
1.29
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-7.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
B. Harper
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
11.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. Crooks
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
0.84
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
7.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
I. Herrera
(DH)
1.5 Total Bases
1.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Crawford
(CF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Walker
(RF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.31%
EV
|
|||||||
|
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
A. Painter
(SP)
3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
B. Harper
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.80
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
15.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
B. Stott
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.60
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
14.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
I. Herrera
(DH)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Walker
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
11.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Wetherholt
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
A. Burleson
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
6.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
L. Arraez
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
K. Schwarber
(DH)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.62
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Crawford
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.86
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
11.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
L. Arraez
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.23
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
1.68%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
SPREAD
TOTAL HITS
I. Herrera
(DH)
0.5 Total Hits
1.05
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.79%
EV
TOTAL HITS
A. Burleson
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
1.11
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.42%
EV
TOTAL HITS
B. Torres
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.84
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.57%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Walker
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
1.13
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-5.97%
EV
TOTAL HITS
B. Marsh
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-7.02%
EV
TOTAL HITS
L. Arraez
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
1.29
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
-7.89%
EV
TOTAL BASES
B. Harper
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.94
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
11.09%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. Crooks
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
0.84
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
7.69%
EV
TOTAL BASES
I. Herrera
(DH)
1.5 Total Bases
1.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.99%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Crawford
(CF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.12%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Walker
(RF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.31%
EV
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
A. Painter
(SP)
3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
3.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.03%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
B. Harper
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.80
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
15.22%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
B. Stott
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.60
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
14.02%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
I. Herrera
(DH)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.9%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Walker
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
11.44%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Wetherholt
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.59%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
A. Burleson
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
6.11%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
L. Arraez
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.50
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.37%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
K. Schwarber
(DH)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.62
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.75%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Crawford
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.86
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
11.43%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
L. Arraez
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.23
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
1.68%
EV