Philadelphia Phillies

2nd in National League East (21 - 23)

Next Game

Fri, May 15 18:40 ET
GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI +122 moneyline
PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI +122 moneyline

PROJECTION

PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.74% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+122
Caesars logo
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Over 8.0 Total
9.59 PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
9.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Over 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

9.59 PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
9.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -110
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI +1.5 spread
0.07 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
1.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
1.44% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.58% EV

ANALYSIS

This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.. Over the past week, Brandon Marsh's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 91.1 mph to 88.3 mph.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In today's matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (92nd percentile).. Spencer Horwitz has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 8.4% rate last year has decreased to 3.1% this year.. Spencer Horwitz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 20.2% to 11.2%.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Schwarber's true offensive talent to be a .368, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .036 deviation between that figure and his actual .404 wOBA.. Kyle Schwarber has recorded a .249 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 6th percentile.

u0.5 +125
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.54% EV

ANALYSIS

This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryan Reynolds has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Bryan Reynolds has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.32% EV

ANALYSIS

This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper in today's matchup.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Aaron Nola will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup.. Placing in the 14th percentile, Marcell Ozuna sports a .257 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

u0.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.92% EV

ANALYSIS

This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ryan O'Hearn has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Ryan O'Hearn has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 14 days.. In the last two weeks, Ryan O'Hearn's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 92.1 mph to 85.8 mph.. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

u0.5 +177
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Henry Davis is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Henry Davis today.. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today.

u0.5 +106
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 4th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o0.5 -150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.5% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Adolis Garcia faces a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adolis Garcia in today's game.. Adolis Garcia has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

u0.5 +156
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. There has been a decrease in Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity this year, from 91 mph last year to 88.2 mph now. Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, compiling a .385 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .052 difference.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.38% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Braxton Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto today.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today's matchup.

u0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Alec Bohm has a tough challenge today.. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 +179
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.62% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Over the past two weeks, Oneil Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 100.1 mph to 96.8 mph.. Oneil Cruz's launch angle lately (1° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 6.8° seasonal figure.. With a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oneil Cruz is positioned in the 18th percentile.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o0.5 -155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.89% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

o0.5 -275
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.75 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.93% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Schwarber's true offensive talent to be a .368, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .036 deviation between that figure and his actual .404 wOBA.

u1.5 -170
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +120
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.57% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.74% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph over the last 14 days.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.

o1.5 +217
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +130
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.48% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Adolis Garcia faces a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adolis Garcia in today's game.

u1.5 -188
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.39% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .064 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.. With a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto is ranked in the 79th percentile.

o1.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Henry Davis is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Henry Davis today.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u1.5 -245
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Alec Bohm has a tough challenge today.

u1.5 -197
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
0.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
0.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Crawford in today's matchup.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.86% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +146
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.4° mark in the past 7 days.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.97% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.

u0.5 -319
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph over the last 14 days.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.2°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.3° angle over the past week.

o0.5 +840
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game.. Bryson Stott has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph EV.. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (21.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal figure.. Bryson Stott has been unlucky this year, posting a .273 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .042 discrepancy.

o0.5 +1250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Justin Crawford ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryan Reynolds has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Bryan Reynolds has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

u0.5 -847
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper in today's matchup.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In today's matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (92nd percentile).

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.53% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. There has been a decrease in Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity this year, from 91 mph last year to 88.2 mph now

u0.5 -549
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.6% to 18.8%.. In the last two weeks, Alec Bohm's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, putting up a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .082 disparity.

o0.5 +1360
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Henry Davis is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 2nd-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Henry Davis today.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 2nd-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 2nd-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup today.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.. This season, Oneil Cruz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.1 mph compared to last year's 97.3 mph mark.

o0.5 +390
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-11.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-11.57% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan O'Hearn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +760
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Braxton Ashcraft logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Ashcraft (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Braxton Ashcraft logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Ashcraft (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.18% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park profiles as the #25 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

u5.5 +103
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Aaron Nola logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Nola (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Aaron Nola logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Nola (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park profiles as the #25 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Aaron Nola will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

u5.5 -120
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
18.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
18.14% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.4° mark in the past 7 days.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o0.5 +175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

o0.5 +208
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.77% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph over the last 14 days.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

o0.5 +181
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, putting up a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .082 disparity.

o0.5 +238
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (21.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

o0.5 +232
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Henry Davis has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.. In terms of his batting average, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .163 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .064 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.. With a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto is ranked in the 79th percentile.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +222
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.76% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +240
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.6% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

o0.5 +221
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 4th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o0.5 +290
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o1.5 -105
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.27% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 -103
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.4° mark in the past 7 days.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.47 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
13.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.47 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
13.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -128
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph over the last 14 days.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
12.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
12.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 -113
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

o1.5 -104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, putting up a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .082 disparity.

o1.5 +100
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

o1.5 -118
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.84% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

o1.5 -137
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (21.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

o1.5 +115
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 4th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o1.5 +120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .064 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.. With a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto is ranked in the 79th percentile.

o1.5 +105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Henry Davis has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.. In terms of his batting average, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .163 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.53% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +114
DraftKings logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI +122 moneyline
PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI +122 moneyline

PROJECTION

PHI PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.74% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+122
Caesars logo
TOTAL
Philadelphia Phillies logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Over 8.0 Total
9.59 PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
9.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Over 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

9.59 PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
9.08% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.0 -110
bet365 logo
SPREAD
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI +1.5 spread
0.07 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
1.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies logo
PHI +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-1.4 DIFFERENCE
1.44% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
3.58% EV

ANALYSIS

This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.. Over the past week, Brandon Marsh's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 91.1 mph to 88.3 mph.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.31% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In today's matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (92nd percentile).. Spencer Horwitz has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 8.4% rate last year has decreased to 3.1% this year.. Spencer Horwitz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 20.2% to 11.2%.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Schwarber's true offensive talent to be a .368, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .036 deviation between that figure and his actual .404 wOBA.. Kyle Schwarber has recorded a .249 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 6th percentile.

u0.5 +125
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.54% EV

ANALYSIS

This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryan Reynolds has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Bryan Reynolds has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.32% EV

ANALYSIS

This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper in today's matchup.

u0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Aaron Nola will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup.. Placing in the 14th percentile, Marcell Ozuna sports a .257 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

u0.5 +130
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-1.92% EV

ANALYSIS

This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ryan O'Hearn has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Ryan O'Hearn has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 14 days.. In the last two weeks, Ryan O'Hearn's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 92.1 mph to 85.8 mph.. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 11.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

u0.5 +177
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.45% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Henry Davis is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Henry Davis today.. Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today.

u0.5 +106
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.29% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 4th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o0.5 -150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.5% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Adolis Garcia faces a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adolis Garcia in today's game.. Adolis Garcia has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

u0.5 +156
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.87% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. There has been a decrease in Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity this year, from 91 mph last year to 88.2 mph now. Brandon Lowe has been lucky this year, compiling a .385 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .052 difference.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.38% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Braxton Ashcraft will hold the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto today.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today's matchup.

u0.5 +155
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Alec Bohm has a tough challenge today.. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u0.5 +179
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.62% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Over the past two weeks, Oneil Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 100.1 mph to 96.8 mph.. Oneil Cruz's launch angle lately (1° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 6.8° seasonal figure.. With a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oneil Cruz is positioned in the 18th percentile.

u0.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o0.5 -155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.21 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.89% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

o0.5 -275
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.75 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
14.93% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Schwarber's true offensive talent to be a .368, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .036 deviation between that figure and his actual .404 wOBA.

u1.5 -170
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +120
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
11.57% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.74% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph over the last 14 days.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.

o1.5 +217
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
10.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +130
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.48% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Adolis Garcia faces a tough challenge today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adolis Garcia in today's game.

u1.5 -188
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

o1.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.39% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .064 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.. With a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto is ranked in the 79th percentile.

o1.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.31% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

o1.5 +140
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Henry Davis is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Henry Davis today.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
4.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

u1.5 -245
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.05 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Alec Bohm has a tough challenge today.

u1.5 -197
Caesars logo
TOTAL BASES
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
1% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
0.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
0.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Crawford in today's matchup.

u1.5 -270
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.86% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +146
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.13 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.46% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.4° mark in the past 7 days.

o0.5 +800
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.97% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.

u0.5 -319
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.86% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph over the last 14 days.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.2°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.3° angle over the past week.

o0.5 +840
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.23% EV

ANALYSIS

Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game.. Bryson Stott has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph EV.. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (21.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal figure.. Bryson Stott has been unlucky this year, posting a .273 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .042 discrepancy.

o0.5 +1250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-2.74% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Justin Crawford ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.

u0.5 -2381
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.07% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryan Reynolds has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Bryan Reynolds has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

u0.5 -847
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.16% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.24% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Bryce Harper has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryce Harper in today's matchup.

u0.5 -649
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In today's matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (92nd percentile).

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.53% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park grades out as the #29 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. There has been a decrease in Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity this year, from 91 mph last year to 88.2 mph now

u0.5 -549
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.6% to 18.8%.. In the last two weeks, Alec Bohm's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, putting up a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .082 disparity.

o0.5 +1360
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Henry Davis is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 2nd-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Henry Davis today.

u0.5 -1299
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 2nd-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 2nd-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.. In the league, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for dingers.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup today.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.22 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.. This season, Oneil Cruz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.1 mph compared to last year's 97.3 mph mark.

o0.5 +390
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-11.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-11.57% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan O'Hearn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +760
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Braxton Ashcraft logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Ashcraft (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Braxton Ashcraft logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Ashcraft (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.18% EV

ANALYSIS

PNC Park profiles as the #25 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

u5.5 +103
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Aaron Nola logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Nola (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Aaron Nola logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Nola (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-4.19% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park profiles as the #25 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Aaron Nola will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

u5.5 -120
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
18.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
18.14% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +196
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.4° mark in the past 7 days.

o0.5 +205
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
15.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o0.5 +175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

o0.5 +208
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.77% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph over the last 14 days.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.

o0.5 +250
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

o0.5 +181
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, putting up a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .082 disparity.

o0.5 +238
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (21.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

o0.5 +232
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Henry Davis has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.. In terms of his batting average, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .163 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .064 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.. With a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto is ranked in the 79th percentile.

o0.5 +230
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 +222
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.76% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +240
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.6% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

o0.5 +221
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
4.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 4th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o0.5 +290
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o1.5 -105
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.31 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.27% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 -103
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Adolis Garcia logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Garcia (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.08 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
13.11% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Adolis Garcia has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.4° mark in the past 7 days.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.47 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
13.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Oneil Cruz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
O. Cruz (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.47 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
13.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 11th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -128
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcell Ozuna logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
M. Ozuna (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage in today's game.. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph over the last 14 days.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (24.2°) is significantly better than his 14.6° mark last year.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
12.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Lowe logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Lowe (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
12.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Brandon Lowe will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 -113
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.27% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryan Reynolds logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
B. Reynolds (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
11.27% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Aaron Nola.

o1.5 -104
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, putting up a .237 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .082 disparity.

o1.5 +100
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
R. O'Hearn (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.12 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

o1.5 -118
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.84% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Trea Turner has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

o1.5 -137
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (21.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.2° seasonal figure.

o1.5 +115
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 4th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Braxton Ashcraft today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

o1.5 +120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
6.36% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck given the .064 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.. With a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, J.T. Realmuto is ranked in the 79th percentile.

o1.5 +105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Henry Davis logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
H. Davis (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best venue in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Henry Davis has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.. In terms of his batting average, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .163 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today.

o1.5 +100
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Spencer Horwitz logo
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
S. Horwitz (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.53% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for lefty BABIP.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +114
DraftKings logo

Pages Related to This Topic