Houston Astros

4th in American League West (40 - 44)

Next Game

Sat, Jun 27 13:10 ET

HOU @ DET Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Over the last week, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.. Kerry Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.4-mph average last season has fallen off to 93.3-mph.. In the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.7%.
Total RBIs
James Outman logo
James Outman o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 47 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 47 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

71% picking Detroit

29%
71%

Total PicksHOU 74, DET 180

Moneyline
HOU
DET
Moneyline
Total

60% picking Houston vs Detroit to go Under

40%
60%

Total PicksHOU 56, DET 85

Total
Over
Under

HOU @ DET · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
MONEYLINE
Houston Astros logo
HOU +115 moneyline
HOU PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-4.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Houston Astros logo
HOU +115 moneyline

PROJECTION

HOU PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-4.96% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+115
BetMGM logo
TOTAL
Houston Astros logo Detroit Tigers logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Houston Astros logo Detroit Tigers logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.5 -115
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Houston Astros logo
HOU +1.5 spread
0.26 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Houston Astros logo
HOU +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.8% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Colt Keith is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 43% of the time.. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Colt Keith has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.. Colt Keith has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 14th percentile with a 3.96 K/BB rate.

u0.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 21.1% to 13.9%.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Over the last week, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.. Kerry Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.4-mph average last season has fallen off to 93.3-mph.. In the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.7%.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Walker today.. Christian Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Christian Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.3-mph over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. Kevin McGonigle has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.. In the last week, Kevin McGonigle's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 92.7 mph to 73.4 mph.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 21.4°, Kevin McGonigle has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.5°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Hitting from the same side that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Spencer Torkelson will not have the upper hand today.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. There has been a significant decline in Spencer Torkelson's launch angle from last year's 23.4° to 20.3° this year.. Over the last week, Spencer Torkelson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 22.3%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .223.

u0.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 17th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Brice Matthews is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Brice Matthews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Brice Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Posting a .166 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brice Matthews is ranked in the 9th percentile.

u0.5 +100
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Isaac Paredes logo
Houston Astros logo
I. Paredes (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isaac Paredes logo
Houston Astros logo
I. Paredes (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (47.7% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Isaac Paredes has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games.. In the past week's worth of games, Isaac Paredes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 87.1 mph.

u0.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Outman in the 1st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. James Outman is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, James Outman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 28% of the time.. In today's matchup, James Outman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (84th percentile).. Sporting a .160 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , James Outman has performed in the 8th percentile.

u0.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Kai-Wei Teng will hold the platoon advantage against Hao Yu Lee in today's game.. Hao Yu Lee has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Hao Yu Lee has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jake Rogers is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jake Rogers has been pinch hit for 16% of the time.. Kai-Wei Teng will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Rogers today.. Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

u0.5 -135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck given the .051 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.. Jake Meyers has put up a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 -160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Yordan Alvarez logo
Houston Astros logo
Y. Alvarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-8.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Yordan Alvarez logo
Houston Astros logo
Y. Alvarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-8.17% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball bats like Yordan Alvarez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. The Barrel% of Yordan Alvarez has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.8% last year to 19% this year.

o0.5 -275
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-11.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-11.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Jeremy Pena has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.9-mph figure.

o0.5 -280
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-12.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-12.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .244 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

o0.5 -140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.75 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.59% EV

ANALYSIS

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Over the last week, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.. Kerry Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.4-mph average last season has fallen off to 93.3-mph.. In the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.7%.

u1.5 -185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin McGonigle will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 17th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Brice Matthews is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Brice Matthews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Brice Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Brice Matthews has notched a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 8th percentile.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.93% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. 18% of the time that Zach McKinstry has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. In the past two weeks, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 88.1 mph to 85.4 mph.

u1.5 -290
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Kai-Wei Teng will hold the platoon advantage against Hao Yu Lee in today's game.. Hao Yu Lee has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Hao Yu Lee has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

u1.5 -319
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

o1.5 +125
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.53 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +265
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Walker today.. Christian Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Christian Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.3-mph over the past two weeks.. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 14.5% on the season to 6.7% in the past two weeks.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Brice Matthews is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Brice Matthews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Brice Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Brice Matthews has notched a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 8th percentile.. In terms of plate discipline, Brice Matthews's skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.76 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 7th percentile.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.4-mph figure last season has fallen to 86.7-mph.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jeremy Pena's 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. 18% of the time that Zach McKinstry has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. In the past two weeks, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 88.1 mph to 85.4 mph.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. In today's game, Jake Meyers is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile).. Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Jake Meyers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.2-mph average last season has lowered to 86.8-mph.. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 11.6%.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Kai-Wei Teng will hold the platoon advantage against Hao Yu Lee in today's game.. Hao Yu Lee has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Hao Yu Lee has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +425
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-14.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-14.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.

o0.5 +460
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-16.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-16.58% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph average.

o0.5 +460
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-17.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-17.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +800
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-26.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-26.58% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Colt Keith ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Framber Valdez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
F. Valdez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Framber Valdez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
F. Valdez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Due to his reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will benefit from facing 8 bats in the projected lineup of opposing handedness in today's outing.. Framber Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.. With a 0.73 gap between Framber Valdez's 7.53 K/9 and his 8.26 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform better going forward.

o4.5 -130
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.56% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.

o0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.88% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hao Yu Lee in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hao Yu Lee will hold that advantage today.. Hao Yu Lee has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 91.6-mph in the past 7 days.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin McGonigle will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +230
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 2.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 2.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph average.

o0.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

o0.5 +220
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Brice Matthews will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Brice Matthews has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.7% to 26.7%.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Brice Matthews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.

o0.5 +275
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck given the .051 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .244 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +240
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.

o1.5 +120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.5% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 -127
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin McGonigle will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 -125
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
1.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
1.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Colt Keith is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 43% of the time.. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Colt Keith has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.. Colt Keith has averaged 10.3 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 20th percentile for power.

u1.5 -129
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

o1.5 -135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck given the .051 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

o1.5 +125
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Brice Matthews will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Brice Matthews has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.7% to 26.7%.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Brice Matthews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.

o1.5 +145
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.8% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .244 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
Houston Astros logo
HOU +115 moneyline
HOU PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-4.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Houston Astros logo
HOU +115 moneyline

PROJECTION

HOU PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-4.96% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+115
BetMGM logo
TOTAL
Houston Astros logo Detroit Tigers logo
Over 8.5 Total
9.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Houston Astros logo Detroit Tigers logo
Over 8.5 Total

PROJECTION

9.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.25% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o8.5 -115
FanDuel logo
SPREAD
Houston Astros logo
HOU +1.5 spread
0.26 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Houston Astros logo
HOU +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.8% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -180
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Colt Keith is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 43% of the time.. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Colt Keith has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.. Colt Keith has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 14th percentile with a 3.96 K/BB rate.

u0.5 +155
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.37% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 21.1% to 13.9%.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.85% EV

ANALYSIS

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Over the last week, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.. Kerry Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.4-mph average last season has fallen off to 93.3-mph.. In the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.7%.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Walker today.. Christian Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Christian Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.3-mph over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +155
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.95 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. Kevin McGonigle has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.. In the last week, Kevin McGonigle's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 92.7 mph to 73.4 mph.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 21.4°, Kevin McGonigle has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.5°) in the past two weeks' worth of games.

u0.5 +165
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Hitting from the same side that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Spencer Torkelson will not have the upper hand today.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. There has been a significant decline in Spencer Torkelson's launch angle from last year's 23.4° to 20.3° this year.. Over the last week, Spencer Torkelson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 22.3%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .223.

u0.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.77% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 17th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Brice Matthews is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Brice Matthews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Brice Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Posting a .166 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brice Matthews is ranked in the 9th percentile.

u0.5 +100
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Isaac Paredes logo
Houston Astros logo
I. Paredes (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Isaac Paredes logo
Houston Astros logo
I. Paredes (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (47.7% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Isaac Paredes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Isaac Paredes has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games.. In the past week's worth of games, Isaac Paredes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 87.1 mph.

u0.5 +150
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Outman in the 1st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. James Outman is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today's game.. When starting against a northpaw this year, James Outman has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 28% of the time.. In today's matchup, James Outman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (84th percentile).. Sporting a .160 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , James Outman has performed in the 8th percentile.

u0.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Kai-Wei Teng will hold the platoon advantage against Hao Yu Lee in today's game.. Hao Yu Lee has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Hao Yu Lee has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

u0.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Rogers logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Rogers (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jake Rogers is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jake Rogers has been pinch hit for 16% of the time.. Kai-Wei Teng will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Rogers today.. Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

u0.5 -135
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.11% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.11% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck given the .051 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.. Jake Meyers has put up a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 -160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Yordan Alvarez logo
Houston Astros logo
Y. Alvarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-8.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Yordan Alvarez logo
Houston Astros logo
Y. Alvarez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.17 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-8.17% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Extreme groundball bats like Yordan Alvarez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. The Barrel% of Yordan Alvarez has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.8% last year to 19% this year.

o0.5 -275
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-11.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-11.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Jeremy Pena has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.9-mph figure.

o0.5 -280
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-12.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-12.18% EV

ANALYSIS

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .244 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

o0.5 -140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.75 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.75 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
13.59% EV

ANALYSIS

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Over the last week, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%.. Kerry Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.4-mph average last season has fallen off to 93.3-mph.. In the past 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's 18.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.7%.

u1.5 -185
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin McGonigle will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 17th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Brice Matthews is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Brice Matthews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Brice Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Brice Matthews has notched a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 8th percentile.

u1.5 -330
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.71 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
4.93% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. 18% of the time that Zach McKinstry has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. In the past two weeks, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 88.1 mph to 85.4 mph.

u1.5 -290
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.81 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Kai-Wei Teng will hold the platoon advantage against Hao Yu Lee in today's game.. Hao Yu Lee has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Hao Yu Lee has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

u1.5 -319
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.52% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

o1.5 +125
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.45 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.78% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

o1.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +170
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.53 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +265
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Walker today.. Christian Walker has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Christian Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 88.3-mph over the past two weeks.. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 14.5% on the season to 6.7% in the past two weeks.

u0.5 -752
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Brice Matthews is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Brice Matthews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Brice Matthews will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Brice Matthews has notched a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 8th percentile.. In terms of plate discipline, Brice Matthews's skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.76 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 7th percentile.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.4-mph figure last season has fallen to 86.7-mph.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jeremy Pena's 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

u0.5 -1408
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.52% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.. 18% of the time that Zach McKinstry has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. In the past two weeks, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 88.1 mph to 85.4 mph.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. In today's game, Jake Meyers is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.7% rate (89th percentile).. Jake Meyers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Jake Meyers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.2-mph average last season has lowered to 86.8-mph.. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 11.6%.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Hao Yu Lee is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Kai-Wei Teng will hold the platoon advantage against Hao Yu Lee in today's game.. Hao Yu Lee has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Hao Yu Lee has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.

u0.5 -1695
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.85% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +425
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-14.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-14.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.

o0.5 +460
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-16.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-16.58% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph average.

o0.5 +460
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-17.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-17.97% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +800
FanDuel logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-26.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-26.58% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Colt Keith ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +750
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Framber Valdez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
F. Valdez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Framber Valdez logo
Detroit Tigers logo
F. Valdez (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Due to his reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will benefit from facing 8 bats in the projected lineup of opposing handedness in today's outing.. Framber Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his metrics across the board.. With a 0.73 gap between Framber Valdez's 7.53 K/9 and his 8.26 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform better going forward.

o4.5 -130
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.56% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o0.5 +300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.

o0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.88% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.05% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
HL
Detroit Tigers logo
H. Lee (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hao Yu Lee in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hao Yu Lee will hold that advantage today.. Hao Yu Lee has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 91.6-mph in the past 7 days.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
5.09% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin McGonigle will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +230
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 2.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dillon Dingler logo
Detroit Tigers logo
D. Dingler (C) 2.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
4.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph average.

o0.5 +150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
2.08% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

o0.5 +220
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.88% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Brice Matthews will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Brice Matthews has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.7% to 26.7%.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Brice Matthews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.

o0.5 +275
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck given the .051 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

o0.5 +255
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .244 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.69% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +240
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kerry Carpenter logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. Carpenter (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Kerry Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.

o1.5 +120
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Spencer Torkelson logo
Detroit Tigers logo
S. Torkelson (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.5% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Walker logo
Houston Astros logo
C. Walker (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
7.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.

o1.5 -105
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Riley Greene logo
Detroit Tigers logo
R. Greene (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
5.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 -127
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kevin McGonigle logo
Detroit Tigers logo
K. McGonigle (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin McGonigle will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 -125
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
1.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Colt Keith logo
Detroit Tigers logo
C. Keith (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
1.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Colt Keith is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 43% of the time.. Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Colt Keith has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.. Colt Keith has averaged 10.3 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 20th percentile for power.

u1.5 -129
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremy Pena logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Pena (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.04 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
0.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

o1.5 -135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Meyers logo
Houston Astros logo
J. Meyers (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-0.89% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Meyers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Jake Meyers will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game.. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck given the .051 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

o1.5 +125
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
James Outman logo
Detroit Tigers logo
J. Outman (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.25 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, James Outman will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Outman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. James Outman has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 17.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 27.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +200
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Matthews logo
Houston Astros logo
B. Matthews (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Brice Matthews will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Brice Matthews has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 9.7% to 26.7%.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Brice Matthews's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.

o1.5 +145
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Zach McKinstry logo
Detroit Tigers logo
Z. McKinstry (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.39 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.8% EV

ANALYSIS

Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all stadiums.. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .244 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Moneyline

'rinv49' picks Houston at (113)

rinv49 is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (30-17-1) and +13530 units on the season.

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DET
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'chuluckus' picks Houston vs Detroit to go Over (8.5)

chuluckus is #2 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (39-29-1) and +12675 units on the season.

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'chuluckus' picks Detroit at (-136)

chuluckus is #2 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (39-29-1) and +12675 units on the season.

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HOU
DET
Moneyline
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'EiffelTower' picks Houston at (113)

EiffelTower is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (46-30-2) and +9415 units on the season.

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HOU
DET
Moneyline
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'EiffelTower' picks Houston vs Detroit to go Over (8.5)

EiffelTower is #5 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (46-30-2) and +9415 units on the season.

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'fras' picks Houston vs Detroit to go Under (8.5)

fras is #6 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (43-25-3) and +9895 units on the season.

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'Jerrybook' picks Houston at (113)

Jerrybook is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (40-34-2) and +9355 units on the season.

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HOU
DET
Moneyline
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'Jerrybook' picks Houston vs Detroit to go Over (8.5)

Jerrybook is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (40-34-2) and +9355 units on the season.

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Over
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Moneyline

'funaki' picks Detroit at (-136)

funaki is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (33-33-2) and +8860 units on the season.

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HOU
DET
Moneyline
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'funaki' picks Houston vs Detroit to go Under (8.5)

funaki is #8 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (33-33-2) and +8860 units on the season.

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Under
Moneyline

'Suzguy123' picks Houston at (113)

Suzguy123 is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (24-14-1) and +9330 units on the season.

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HOU
DET
Moneyline
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'Suzguy123' picks Houston vs Detroit to go Over (8.5)

Suzguy123 is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (24-14-1) and +9330 units on the season.

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'tgajtka' picks Detroit at (-136)

tgajtka is #9 on picking games that Detroit is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +8500 units on the season.

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HOU
DET
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'ciarajo' picks Detroit at (-136)

ciarajo is #9 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (39-31-3) and +8530 units on the season.

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HOU
DET
Moneyline
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'ciarajo' picks Houston vs Detroit to go Over (8.5)

ciarajo is #9 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (39-31-3) and +8530 units on the season.

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Over
Under

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