Houston Astros Picks
3rd in American League West
(47 - 51)
Next Game
Fri, Jul 17
20:10 ET
BAL @ HOU Picks
MLB PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among every team today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Hitting from the opposite that Peter Lambert throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's game.. Jackson Holliday has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's game.. Among every team today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dylan Beavers today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among every team today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.
Consensus Picks
More ConsensusBAL @ HOU · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MONEYLINE
|
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|
TOTAL
|
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|
SPREAD
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.91
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Holliday
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.75
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Pena
(SS)
0.5 Total Hits
1.09
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
Y. Alvarez
(DH)
1.5 Total Bases
2.29
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
14.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. Holliday
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.28
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
14.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. Pena
(SS)
1.5 Total Bases
1.79
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. Altuve
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
12.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
G. Henderson
(SS)
1.5 Total Bases
1.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
12.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
D. Beavers
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
T. Ward
(LF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-25.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
S. Basallo
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
0.86
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
C. Cowser
(CF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.66
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
T. Ward
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Pena
(SS)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
I. Paredes
(3B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.71%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Y. Alvarez
(DH)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
P. Lambert
(SP)
5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
T. Ward
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.62
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
18.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Mayo
(3B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
15.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Cowser
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
14.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
Y. Alvarez
(DH)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.80
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Pena
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
11.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
S. Basallo
(C)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
D. Beavers
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.38
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
G. Henderson
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.51
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
T. Ward
(LF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Holliday
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Altuve
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
G. Henderson
(SS)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
S. Basallo
(C)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.95
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
8.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Cowser
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Pena
(SS)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
D. Beavers
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
2.36%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
SPREAD
TOTAL HITS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.91
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.28%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Holliday
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.75
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.91%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Pena
(SS)
0.5 Total Hits
1.09
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.17%
EV
TOTAL BASES
Y. Alvarez
(DH)
1.5 Total Bases
2.29
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
14.57%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. Holliday
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.28
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
14.5%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. Pena
(SS)
1.5 Total Bases
1.79
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.89%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. Altuve
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
12.78%
EV
TOTAL BASES
G. Henderson
(SS)
1.5 Total Bases
1.89
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
12.25%
EV
TOTAL BASES
D. Beavers
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.08%
EV
TOTAL BASES
T. Ward
(LF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-25.53%
EV
TOTAL BASES
S. Basallo
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
0.86
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
TOTAL BASES
C. Cowser
(CF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.66
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
T. Ward
(LF)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.41%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Pena
(SS)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.28%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.64%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
I. Paredes
(3B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.71%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Y. Alvarez
(DH)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.35
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.84%
EV
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
P. Lambert
(SP)
5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.5%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
T. Ward
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.62
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
18.5%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Mayo
(3B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.52
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
15.72%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Cowser
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
14.62%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
Y. Alvarez
(DH)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.80
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
13.73%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Pena
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.44
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.36%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Altuve
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.48
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
11.24%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
S. Basallo
(C)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.54
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.75%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
D. Beavers
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.38
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.96%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
G. Henderson
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.51
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
7.66%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
T. Ward
(LF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.13%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Holliday
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.93%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Altuve
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.61%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
G. Henderson
(SS)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.48%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
S. Basallo
(C)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.95
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
8.78%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Cowser
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
8.59%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Pena
(SS)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.69%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
D. Beavers
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
2.36%
EV
BAL @ HOU · Trends
Over
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BAL
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