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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 5, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.92 |
+210 
|
o8.0 -114 
|
+1.5 -105 
|
|
4.53 |
-203
|
u8.5 -121 
|
-1.5 -104 
|
Toronto
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 games following a loss.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
Houston
- Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5 +226
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.32 |
+111
|
o9.5 -114
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.74 |
-118
|
u10.0 -108
|
-1.5 +160
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Lauers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League West.
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games following a win.
Top Projection
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5 +170
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+148
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
4.42 |
-155
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +132
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Bradfords last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradfords last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradfords last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradfords last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Willy Adames u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5 -190
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.92 |
-157
|
o11.5 +105
|
-1.5 -107
|
|
5.99 |
+148
|
u11.5 -115
|
+1.5 -105
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 interleague starts.
Colorado
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Rockies are 5-0 in Suganos last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+128)
o0.5 +128
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+111
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.48 |
-116
|
u8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +165
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Detmers' last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Detmers' last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Rogers' last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+104
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.64 |
-106
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -183
|
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Bibees last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cecconis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Bibees last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5 +177
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.28 |
+137
|
o9.5 -112
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
5.91 |
-145
|
u9.5 -103
|
-1.5 +134
|
Athletics
- are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 overall.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)
o0.5 +157
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+175
|
o9.5 -107
|
+1.5 -121
|
|
5.62 |
-183
|
u10.0 -125
|
-1.5 +109
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 road games.
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 overall.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Jose Tena o0.5 Total RBIs (+253)
o0.5 +253
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+144
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.75 |
-153
|
u8.5 -106
|
-1.5 +134
|
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Pallantes last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Pallantes last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Top Projection
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5 +240
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.97 |
+120
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.90 |
-126
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +158
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Grays last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5 +275
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 |
+116
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.07 |
-121
|
u8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +168
|
Miami
- Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+110
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.77 |
-114
|
u9.0 -125
|
-1.5 +165
|
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 road games.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Camerons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Camerons last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 9-0 in Camerons last 9 home starts.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5 +165
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+118
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
3.73 |
-122
|
u7.5 -131
|
-1.5 +180
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Harrisons last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+282)
o0.5 +282
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
+143
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.04 |
-140
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +147
|
Detroit
- Over is 7-0-1 in Tigers last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Tigers last 8 on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Woos last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Woos last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
o1.5 +270
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.98 |
-118
|
o8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +134
|
|
4.77 |
+115
|
u9.0 -118
|
+1.5 -148
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
o0.5 +212
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.87 |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.52 |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.86 |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.50 |
-200
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in last 4 vs. National League Central.
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0-1 in Greenes last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Greenes last 4 interleague starts.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.29 |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.22 |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in McLeans last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.22 |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.18 |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.48 |
+101
|
o5.5 -220
|
+1.5 -245
|
|
|
4.32 |
-105
|
u7.5 -252
|
-1.5 +210
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.43 |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.91 |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 7-0-1 in Tigers last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Tigers last 8 on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games.
- Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.13 |
+226
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.91 |
-293
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in Sanchezs last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 overall.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.29 |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.38 |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.00 |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.27 |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 7-0 in Marlins last 7 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.92 |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.25 |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0 in Wachas last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
TOR
@
HOU
Wed, Aug 5 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+262)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Yordan Alvarez finds himself in one of the premier home run spots on Wednesday's slate against Jameson Taillon. The Blue Jays right hander has struggled badly against left handed hitters, allowing plenty of barrels, elevated contact, and elite expected numbers. Alvarez enters with one of the highest Batters-Box matchup ratings of the day while covering Taillon's entire pitch mix. His long term trends are just as impressive, homering in nearly 30% of his elite rated games this season and almost 40% of those at home. Sometimes the obvious play is the right one, and this is one of those spots.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
George Springer o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
LAD
@
CHC
Wed, Aug 5 • 2:20 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (+109)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
How can you not be romantic about baseball? Yesterday, with Tarik Skubal on the mound, we faded the Dodgers and backed the Cubs at +190. Today, with Eric Lauer starting for Los Angeles, we're backing the Dodgers. That's sports betting—it's all about price. Shota Imanaga gets the ball for Chicago, and while a left-handed starter may seem like a tough matchup for Shohei Ohtani, Freddie Freeman, and Kyle Tucker, his pitch sequencing tells a different story. Imanaga relies on elevating his four-seam fastball to set up his splitter, but the Dodgers' left-handed bats have the bat control to handle pitches at the top of the zone. Polymarket has Los Angeles as a 48-cent underdog, but I make the Dodgers a 52-cent favorite, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total
o9.5 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Isolating home games in hitter-friendly conditions, Shota Imanaga owns a 5.0 ERA and has allowed 2.26 HR/9 through six starts this season.
Eric Lauer has allowed 2.05 HR/9 this season, and it’ll be difficult to tighten the screws at Wrigley. Even more so given the Chicago Cubs rank first in wOBA and OPS vs. lefties over the last month.
Play the Over to -112.
SF
@
TEX
Wed, Aug 5 • 2:35 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (+101)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over has a path because neither starter brings much certainty. Whisenhunt has struggled to keep the ball in the yard lately, while Bradford is returning from elbow surgery and should be limited. If both managers need early bullpen outs, this game can find enough late scoring to clear 8.5.
Moneyline
SF (+152)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
San Francisco has a clear underdog path because Texas’ offense is ice-cold and Cody Bradford likely won’t work deep in his season debut. Carson Whisenhunt is risky, but the Giants bullpen gives them coverage, while the Rangers relief corps has been volatile enough for San Francisco to win the finale.
TB
@
COL
Wed, Aug 5 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Walls o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Taylor Walls's launch angle this season (19.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.9° angle last season.
Total Bases
Kyle Karros o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
LAA
@
BAL
Wed, Aug 5 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 ballpark in the league for overall righty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate today at 85%.. Jose Siri will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.. Jose Siri hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Christian Encarnacion-Strand's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 39.3% on the season to 28.6% over the past week.. In terms of plate discipline, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's talent is quite poor, putting up a 5.74 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 16th percentile.
NYM
@
CLE
Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-125)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under fits because both starters enter in strong form and New York’s bullpen has been sharp lately. Scott is limiting barrels and homers, while Bibee gives Cleveland stability. Even with the Guardians' bullpen showing risk, the Mets' offense has not been productive enough to score in bunches tonight.
Moneyline
NYM (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Christian Scott gives New York a strong run-prevention base after posting a 1.37 FIP over his last four starts without allowing a homer. Cleveland is swinging it better lately, but Tanner Bibee’s weaker home profile leaves room for the Mets to edge a tight matchup if Scott stays sharp tonight.
ATH
@
CIN
Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Matt McLain will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Lopez has a large platoon split.. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+106)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Sal Stewart ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart will have the handedness advantage against Jacob Lopez today... and the cherry on top, Lopez has a large platoon split.
WAS
@
PHI
Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.. Over the last 14 days, Dylan Crews's 32% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.9%.
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.. Placing in the 21st percentile, J.T. Realmuto has posted a .356 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.
STL
@
NYY
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Will Warren’s Achilles heel is conceding power, and that shouldn’t be much of an issue against the St. Louis Cardinals.
They own a putrid .090 ISO and sit 29th in HR/FB against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days.
While the Yankees have hit for some power, Andre Pallante’s 96th percentile ground ball rate will help take that out of the equation.
Bet to -130.
Moneyline
NYY (-155)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Will Warren's indicators (3.58 xFIP, 4.06 SIERA) suggest he has pitched better than his results (6.05 ERA) over the last month, and this is a good spot for the tide to turn.
The St. Louis Cardinals have struggled mightily to produce against righties, ranking dead last in wOBA and OPS during that span.
Bet New York to -160.
CHW
@
BOS
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total Home Runs (+250)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Muketaka Murakami continues to be the engine of the White Sox lineup and draws another excellent matchup Wednesday against Sonny Gray. The rookie has been scorching hot against right handed pitching, pairing elite production with outstanding quality of contact, including a 70.6% hard hit rate and nearly a 30% barrel rate over his last 30 plate appearances. Gray has shown signs of vulnerability lately, allowing plenty of hard contact to left handed hitters. Murakami also enters with an elite Batters-Box rating and strong arsenal coverage, while his elite rated road trends make this one of the strongest home run values on the board.
Spread
BOS -1.5 (+158)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
The Red Sox offense has been one of baseball's best over the last month, thanks in large part to Willson Contreras' elite bat speed and barrel rate. He hasn't been the only contributor, though, and the hitter-friendly conditions at Fenway tonight will only bolster their opportunities against extreme fly-ball pitcher Sean Burke. Plus, the White Sox have had a Bottom-5 offense in that same time that the Red Sox have surged.
MIA
@
ATL
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Jakob Marsee o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 5th-most humidity of the day at 78%.. Jakob Marsee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 park in baseball for overall lefty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.
MIN
@
KC
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The #7 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.
PIT
@
MIL
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:40 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-131)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 7.5 fits because both offenses enter cold, with Milwaukee at 90 wRC+ over its last six games and Pittsburgh at 61 over the last week. Harrison’s shorter leash brings a reliable Brewers bullpen in early, while Pittsburgh’s relief corps has also been sharp enough to keep scoring contained.
Moneyline
MIL (-126)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Milwaukee has a path behind its home offense and Pittsburgh’s struggles against left-handed pitching. Paul Skenes is still dangerous, but his recent hard-contact issues give the Brewers a chance to strike early. Kyle Harrison may be limited, yet the Pirates’ weak lefty split gives him a manageable starting matchup tonight.
DET
@
SEA
Wed, Aug 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 83°.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
SD
@
AZ
Wed, Aug 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
James McCann o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 4th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. James McCann will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Since the start of last season, James McCann has an average exit velocity of 91.1 mph, which ranks among the best in the league at the 88th percentile.. Grading out in the 88th percentile, James McCann has posted a .330 BABIP since the start of last season.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 4th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Bratt throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the upper hand today.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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