Seattle @ Houston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. By putting up a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena grades out in the 77th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Cal Raleigh has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.9-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph mark. Cal Raleigh's launch angle this season (24.7°) is significantly higher than his 21° mark last year. Grading out in the 99th percentile, Cal Raleigh has put up a .406 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has experienced some negative variance given the .019 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .361. Julio Rodriguez has compiled a .274 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Grading out in the 87th percentile, Julio Rodriguez has posted a .357 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Victor Robles's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (21.9° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 12.9° seasonal mark. With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Victor Robles has performed in the 89th percentile. Victor Robles has compiled a .309 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 89.7-mph. Over the past 7 days, J.P. Crawford's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.1%.

Victor Caratini is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Logan Gilbert. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Victor Caratini will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Victor Caratini has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's game. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 12.1% to 18.6%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Mauricio Dubon has been unlucky this year with his .247 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Josh Naylor is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage today. Over the last week, Josh Naylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph of late. Josh Naylor has compiled a .352 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 92.6-mph figure. Last season, Eugenio Suarez had an average launch angle of 18.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 21.9°. Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (26.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 21.9° seasonal figure.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Christian Walker will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Christian Walker has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 94.5-mph in the past two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Jesus Sanchez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. In comparison to his 88.3-mph average last year, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.7 mph. Jorge Polanco has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 92.9-mph over the last 14 days. Jorge Polanco has posted a .359 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 87th percentile.

Jose Altuve's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (47% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Isaac Paredes has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.3-mph average to last season's 85-mph mark.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Yainer Diaz is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage today. Yainer Diaz has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz's true offensive ability to be a .330, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .028 disparity between that mark and his actual .302 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today. Jake Meyers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jake Meyers has compiled a .366 BABIP this year, ranking in the 99th percentile.

Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Hitting from the opposite that Jason Alexander throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage today. Dominic Canzone has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.7% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Dominic Canzone's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 106.3-mph in recent games. Over the last two weeks, Dominic Canzone's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.