Milwaukee @ New York Picks & Props

MIL vs NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo New York Mets logo u8.0 (-105)
Pick made: 5 months ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

The New York Mets might be able to scrape out a win tonight even if they only put up a couple runs. But with two good starting pitchers on the mound and at least one team that’s struggling to score at all right now, I’m not expecting a lot of runs. The total for tonight’s game has been set at eight runs, and in a vacuum, that’s reasonable given how prolific these offenses have been all year long. But in this matchup, and with the Mets struggling to put anything together right now, the Under is the play for tonight.

Game Prop
Milwaukee Brewers logo New York Mets logo Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (Yes: +105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

On the surface this seems like a game where you wouldn't expect many runs. After all, both starting pitchers have an ERA below 3.00 and the Brewers are 27th in run first inning rate. That said, Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta has an xERA of 3.74 while Mets starter Clay Holmes has an xERA of 4.12. The Brewers also hit significantly better on the road where they are fifth in the majors in OPS (.747). The Mets are seventh in the majors in OPS (.740) with that number ticking up to .761 against righties like Peralta.

MoneyLine
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (+108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

The Mets were obliterated over the weekend, scoring just four runs while giving up 30.  A day off won't do them any good as they come up against Freddy Peralta on Tuesday. Peralta owns an 8-4 record with a 2.90 ERA, and he's not given up more than three runs in eight straight starts. With the Mets struggling at the plate, I like Freddy to deal and deliver a win for the Brew Crew. 

Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.
Total RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Jake Bauers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball's 10th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich logo
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 13th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill.. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today.. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Mark Vientos logo
Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .030 disparity.
Total RBIs
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like Rhys Hoskins are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Rhys Hoskins has paced 23.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball's 10th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today.. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Batters such as Brett Baty with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Freddy Peralta who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.
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MIL vs NYM Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

63% picking Milwaukee vs NY Mets to go Under

37%
63%

Total PicksMIL 174, NYM 294

Total
Over
Under

MIL vs NYM Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Seigler Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Anthony Seigler
A. Seigler
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Anthony Seigler will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Clay Holmes. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Anthony Seigler logo

Anthony Seigler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Anthony Seigler will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Clay Holmes. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Batters such as Brett Baty with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Freddy Peralta who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brett Baty logo

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Batters such as Brett Baty with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Freddy Peralta who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Jackson Chourio logo

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Isaac Collins has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.6-mph mark. Isaac Collins has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 80th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

Isaac Collins logo

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Isaac Collins has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 89.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.6-mph mark. Isaac Collins has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 80th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Juan Soto logo

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Rhys Hoskins
R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Rhys Hoskins are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Rhys Hoskins logo

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Rhys Hoskins are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .030 disparity.

Mark Vientos logo

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, posting a .283 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .030 disparity.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers
J. Bauers
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jake Bauers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Jake Bauers logo

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jake Bauers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso logo

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in the majors. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Sal Frelick logo

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Caleb Durbin has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 85th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Caleb Durbin logo

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Caleb Durbin has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 85th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Ronny Mauricio
R. Mauricio
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Freddy Peralta. Ronny Mauricio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ronny Mauricio logo

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Freddy Peralta. Ronny Mauricio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16.3% to 19.7%.

Jeff McNeil logo

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16.3% to 19.7%.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.359) suggests that Luis Torrens has suffered from bad luck this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

Luis Torrens logo

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Luis Torrens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.359) suggests that Luis Torrens has suffered from bad luck this year with his .283 actual wOBA.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brice Turang logo

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage in today's matchup. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 13th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Christian Yelich logo

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 13th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Starling Marte are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Freddy Peralta.

Starling Marte logo

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Starling Marte are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Freddy Peralta.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor logo

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo logo

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

William Contreras logo

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Milwaukee Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 9-1-0 +27055
2 LuckyGuy 3-7-0 +21010
3 Ollywood 4-6-0 +19651
4 luke44 2-7-1 +18810
5 declin005 5-5-0 +18675
6 ronebme 7-3-0 +18055
7 joe pockets 7-3-0 +17000
8 peede 5-5-0 +16645
9 longball44 7-3-0 +16480
10 djgarcia 7-3-0 +16030
All Brewers Money Leaders

NY Mets Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 jessestars 5-4-1 +19870
2 F-Orrell 4-5-1 +17629
3 tjansen70 7-2-1 +17280
4 FRANKYFUGAZI1 6-4-0 +15550
5 billdo 3-5-2 +15170
6 BundiniBrown 5-5-0 +14785
7 CigarSt22 4-6-0 +14368
8 salgundy 5-4-1 +14235
9 dashow69 3-7-0 +13880
10 braustin1 5-5-0 +13475
All Mets Money Leaders
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