New York @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-largest outfield among all major league parks — generally bad for homers. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Paul Goldschmidt has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 12.7% on the season to 0% over the past week. Paul Goldschmidt has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .310 BA is a good deal higher than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kris Bubic.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Posting a .359 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trent Grisham is positioned in the 86th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough challenge in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's deepest RF fences today. Typically, batters like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Clarke Schmidt. Bobby Witt Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (2.3° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 9.8° seasonal mark.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in the league for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°.

In today's game, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today's matchup. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 100.5-mph mark last season has decreased to 98.4-mph. In terms of his batting average, Aaron Judge has been lucky this year. His .396 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .298.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in the league for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in the league for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in the league for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #9 stadium in the league for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. DJ LeMahieu will hold the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic in today's matchup.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Jac Caglianone will have an edge in today's matchup.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #9 stadium in the league for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the hottest weather on the slate today at 87°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats. John Rave will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's matchup.