MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 24, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Jul 24 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. The #10 venue in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+266)
Projection 1.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #10 venue in baseball for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Among all major league stadiums, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have the upper hand in today's game.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Jul 24 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Seiya Suzuki has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past week.. Seiya Suzuki has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 92.9-mph in the past week's worth of games.. Over the past 7 days, Seiya Suzuki's 72.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.1%.
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Seiya Suzuki has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past week.. Seiya Suzuki has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 92.9-mph in the past week's worth of games.. Over the past 7 days, Seiya Suzuki's 72.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.1%.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Fri, Jul 24 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have an edge in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Total Home Runs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Salvador Perez will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Fri, Jul 24 • 6:45 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 2nd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #8 park in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the league — generally good for homers.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Will Warren in today's matchup... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split.
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #9 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the driest conditions of the day at 38%.. In the last 7 days, Kyle Schwarber's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.1% down to 11.1%.. Kyle Schwarber's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 98.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 95.3-mph over the past two weeks.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Jul 24 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°.. James Wood has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Ryan Waldschmidt logo
Ryan Waldschmidt o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Waldschmidt in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°.. Considering Carson Palmquist's huge platoon split, Ryan Waldschmidt will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Jul 24 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the league.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of the day.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of the day.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Jonny DeLuca logo
Jonny DeLuca o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
Projection 0.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jonny DeLuca has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tropicana Field has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.. Jonny DeLuca will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Cantillo in today's matchup.. Jonny DeLuca will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Strikeouts Thrown
Shane McClanahan logo
Shane McClanahan o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+114)
Projection 5.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shane McClanahan in the 75th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.. Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 27% underlying K%.. Projected catcher Hunter Feduccia projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Shane McClanahan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today.. Over the last 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.8% to 21.7%.. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.4-mph figure.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today.. Over the last 14 days, Heriberto Hernandez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 12.8% to 21.7%.. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.4-mph figure.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Fri, Jul 24 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bo Bichette's true offensive talent to be a .334, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .296 wOBA.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mookie Betts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Mookie Betts will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Over the past week, Mookie Betts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 15.4%.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Jul 24 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1000)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Hits
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Jul 24 • 7:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the league.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in the league.. This game is projected to have the 11th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Andrew Benintendi logo
Andrew Benintendi u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. When starting against a righty hurler this year, Andrew Benintendi has been pinch hit for 27% of the time.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Andrew Benintendi's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.. Andrew Benintendi has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 86.9-mph in the last two weeks.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Jul 24 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jake Burger is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's game.. Jake Burger has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Jul 24 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°.. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Kody Clemens has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.7° mark over the past two weeks.
Total Home Runs
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Projection 0.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°.. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Using Statcast metrics, Josh Bell grades out in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .349.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Jul 24 • 8:15 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Lars Nootbaar will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Jul 24 • 10:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Power-wise, Casey Schmitt grades out in the 89th percentile, having paced 32 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best hitter in MLB.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 20.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Bats such as Mike Trout with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Mike Trout ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .358.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.