Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 5, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
ATH
@
HOU
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:10 PM ET
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total Home Runs (+496)
Soderstrom has generated plenty of loud contact lately, posting a 52.6% hard-hit rate and xSLG north of .500 over the last week. He'll face Peter Lambert, who has surrendered a 46.7% fly-ball rate, 46.7% hard-hit rate, and 22.7 launch angle across his last two outings.
CIN
@
STL
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:15 PM ET
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (-104)
Alec Burleson is one of my favorite props on the board tonight against Brady Singer. The Reds right-hander has struggled mightily against left-handed hitters, allowing plenty of hard contact, barrels, and elevated batted balls. Those issues have only worsened recently, with lefties posting massive expected numbers against him. Burleson grades out as the lone elite rated hitter in this matchup on Batters-Box, carrying outstanding arsenal coverage against Singer's pitch mix. He has also been swinging a hot bat against right-handed pitching, producing consistent hard contact and extra-base power. I'm backing Burleson tonight and will also sprinkle some exposure on his home run market.
With the wind blowing out at Busch Stadium, and a pair of struggling starters hitting the hill, I’m anticipating this total going Over the number. Additionally, I’m confident in the Cardinals offense outscoring the Reds without star Elly De La Cruz (hamstring). Cincy ranks 27th in xwOBA over the past two weeks, and the Reds also sit 30th in bullpen ERA and 26th in xFIP over the past 30 days, after all. The Brady Singer leg of this SGP provides a nice boost to the odds because it’s uncorrelated, and the Cards strikeout against righties at the eighth-highest clip.
CLE
@
TEX
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:15 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: -130)
With Rangers righty Kumar Rocker pitching a scoreless first in three of his past four starts and holding hitters to an overall .159 batting average, I’m anticipating him taking care of a Cleveland lineup ranked 26th in wOBA against righties in the opening frame. The Guardians have only scored in the first in 27% of their games, too. It’s a similar matchup in the bottom half, too. Cleveland southpaw Parker Messick hasn’t allowed a first-inning run all season while holding opposing hitters to a miniscule .371 OPS. The Rangers rank 28th in wOBA against lefties, too.
u7.5 (-115)
The Guardians rank 26th in wOBA against right-handed pitching and are known for suppressing runs better than generating them.
The Rangers rank 28th in wOBA against lefties this season, and have hit .198 vs. left-handed pitching at home. They’ll provide little threat to an in-form Messick.
Playable to -125
KC
@
MIN
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:15 PM ET
KC (+100)
The Kansas City Royals are trading at even money on the moneyline, but I make them closer to -115 favorites, so I’m hitting the button on Kansas City Friday. Zebby Matthews is a command-oriented starter who attacks the strike zone and relies heavily on his four-seam fastball. That sets up well for left-handed hitters like Vinnie Pasquantino and Jac Caglianone, both of whom can do damage against right-handed pitchers who live in the zone. The matchup becomes even more favorable if Bobby Witt Jr. is getting on base ahead of them and creating pressure on the bases. That can disrupt Matthews’ rhythm as he works through the heart of the order. The Royals’ offense has struggled for much of the season, but this looks like a favorable spot for their left-handed bats to support Witt and generate enough offense to get the job done.
YRFI/NRFI (No: -110)
Kansas City and Minnesota both rank below-average in wOBA against right-handed pitchers, and Royals starter Michael Wacha has fired a scoreless first in 10 of 12 starts while holding opposing hitters to a pedestrian .234 on-base percentage. This is also a soft matchup for Twins righty Zebby Matthews. The Royals have only scored in the first in 25% of their games while struggling to the tune of a 26th in wOBA over the past 30 days. Matthews also sports a smooth 3.01 xERA through four starts, which slides in well below his front-facing 4.63 ERA, so this is a spot for him to sail through the opening frame.
MIL
@
COL
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:40 PM ET
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+288)
Chourio is red-hot, posting a .765 xSLG, .524 ISO, and 44.4% hard-hit rate over the last week. The Brewers outfielder faces Ryan Feltner, who owns a 6.35 xERA and has allowed a 46.9% hard-hit rate. Coors Field only strengthens an already appealing matchup.
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+288)
Chourio is red-hot, posting a .765 xSLG, .524 ISO, and 44.4% hard-hit rate over the last week. The Brewers outfielder faces Ryan Feltner, who owns a 6.35 xERA and has allowed a 46.9% hard-hit rate. Coors Field only strengthens an already appealing matchup.
NYM
@
SD
Fri, Jun 5 • 9:40 PM ET
o7.5 (+105)
Scott owns a 2.63 ERA over the past 30 days despite a 3.75 SIERA and 3.88 xFIP. He is not pitching as well as the results suggest, and a correction is coming. Meanwhile, King has benefited from some batted ball luck. Opponents have hit .247 on balls put in play the last month, noticeably below his career average of .285. Playable to -105.
SD (-130)
Michael King ranks in the 91st percentile in pitching run value and has the league’s No. 1 bullpen by xFIP backing him up. New York Mets starter Christian Scott sits in the 54th percentile in Pitching Run Value, the 43rd in xERA, and has struggled with walks — something the Padres excel at drawing. Look for the pitching edge to shine through. Play the Padres to -140.
WAS
@
AZ
Fri, Jun 5 • 9:40 PM ET
WAS (+118)
Corbin Carroll leads the National League in fWAR, so if you’re going to have any chance of slowing down the Arizona Diamondbacks, you need to disrupt their offensive engine at the top of the lineup. Foster Griffin, a left-handed pitcher, is well-positioned to do that against the left-handed-hitting Carroll. Left-handed batters are hitting just .178 with a .624 OPS against Griffin this season, and there’s also a lack of familiarity working in his favor. Griffin has never faced any hitter in this Diamondbacks lineup before, which is typically an advantage for the pitcher. The Washington Nationals are trading as +118 underdogs in this spot, but I make them closer to even money to pull off the win in the desert. That’s why I’m willing to back James Wood and company on the moneyline.
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
James Wood finds himself back on the card tonight in a favorable matchup against Merrill Kelly. The Diamondbacks right-hander has struggled to keep left-handed hitters on the ground at home, allowing plenty of elevated contact and loud exit velocities. That sets up well for Wood, who has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball against right-handed pitching. Over his recent sample, the Nationals star has produced elite power metrics, including a massive hard-hit rate and barrel percentage. Wood also grades out as one of the top arsenal matches on the slate, making this a prime spot to target his stolen base prop at anything up to -115.
LAA
@
LAD
Fri, Jun 5 • 10:10 PM ET
The Dodgers have cashed the Under in 15 of their last 22 games. Shohei Ohtani and Max Muncy are banged up, Toescar Hernandez is hurt, and Mookie Betts is not effective at this current juncture. Both starters have an above-average Stuff+ (104) and are in fine form.
LAA has a starting pitching advantage with Reid Detmers, who is bound for positive regression given his league-low 60.8% left-on-base rate. His 2.92 xERA, 20.8% K-BB%, and 104 Stuff+ are clear indicators of an effective arm, whereas Roki Sasaki's .328 xBA and 11th percentile barrel rate are not.
Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.
We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.
Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.
Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.
Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.
Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.
Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.
Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.
There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.
Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.
If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.
Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
Established in 1995,
All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
