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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 7, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+197 
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -107
|
|
4.94 |
-210 
|
u8.0 -110 
|
-1.5 -102
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Phillies are 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+172)
o1.5 +172
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+125
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.81 |
-131
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +158
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0 in Mlodzinskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Mlodzinskis last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
5.16 |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Over is 9-0-1 in Cavallis last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cavallis last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+143
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.89 |
-148
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +135
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5 +140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.85 |
+230
|
o8.5 -116
|
+2.0 -120 
|
|
5.13 |
-252
|
u9.0 -110
|
-2.0 -108
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
o0.5 +216
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+150
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.75 |
-160
|
u9.5 -126
|
-1.5 +126
|
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games.
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Jose Siri o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5 +330
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.77 |
+158
|
o7.5 -117
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.32 |
-160
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +145
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0-1 in Matthews' last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Matthews' last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5 +190
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-135
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
4.28 |
+129
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -131
|
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Messicks last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 7-0 in White Sox last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Schultzs last 5 home starts.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.69 |
-157
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.65 |
+147
|
u9.5 -102 
|
+1.5 -118
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lynch IVs last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Lynch IVs last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
o1.5 -110
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+135
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.31 |
-142
|
u8.5 -128
|
-1.5 +155
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Eovaldis last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+150
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
4.99 |
-158
|
u9.0 -125
|
-1.5 +136
|
Colorado
- Over is 5-0 in Feltners last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Feltners last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 8-0 in Leahys last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.77 |
-166
|
o9.0 -120
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
4.88 |
+165
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -110
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts.
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+243)
o0.5 +248
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.84 |
+110
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
4.67 |
-120
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +173
|
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Taylor Trammell o0.5 Total RBIs (+400)
o0.5 +400
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+105
|
o6.5 -126
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.45 |
-112
|
u7.0 -108
|
-1.5 +170
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Seattle
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gilberts last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+275)
o1.5 +280
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
-120
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
4.33 |
+114
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Miami
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+180
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-229
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-4-2 in last 27 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 10-1 in Phillies last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mets last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 games as a favorite.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Burns' last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Washington
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 20-7-1 in Nationals last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Under is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Cubs are 11-1 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Under is 10-1 in Royals last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in White Sox last 8 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Tigers last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Tigers last 10 on grass.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-191
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 11-2 in Rangers last 13 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 15-3 in Rangers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
TOR
@
PHI
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Jose Soriano today.
Total Hits
Brandon Marsh u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brandon Marsh is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #21 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense.
NYM
@
PIT
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Carson Benge is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 82%.. Carson Benge will hold the platoon advantage against Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 82%.
ATL
@
NYY
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle today.. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Yankee Stadium has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team today.
ATH
@
BOS
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 88°.. Tyler Soderstrom has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 88°.. Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.
LAA
@
MIA
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst park in the league for lefty batting average.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Today, Kyle Stowers is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (83rd percentile).
Total Bases
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jose Siri ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Siri has big-time HR ability (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (32.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tyler Phillips struggles to strike batters out (4th percentile K%) — great news for Siri.. Jose Siri hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
MIN
@
MIL
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Yelich o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Garrett Mitchell o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
CLE
@
CHW
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as Major League Baseball's 15th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 8th-best park in baseball for left-handed batting average.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
CHC
@
KC
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Hits
John Rave u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
John Rave's batting average ability is projected to be in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. John Rave is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.. John Rave pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's deepest RF fences today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for hitting on the slate.
BAL
@
TEX
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Projection 0.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 3rd-lowest fences in MLB.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 3rd-lowest fences in MLB.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge in today's game.. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
COL
@
STL
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-115)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
I don't have any faith in these respective pitching staffs on Friday night. Kyle Leahy carries a 5.19 xERA into this one, well above his actual ERA of 3.44. The Rockies are 11th in OPS since the All-Star break. Ryan Feltner owns a 5.75 ERA and has struggled just to stay in the majors over his brief career. The bullpens are both Bottom 5 by ERA over the last 30 days. I'd play this at -125, or to +100 if the line rises to 9.
Total RBIs
Kyle Karros o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Kyle Karros has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 5th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
LAD
@
AZ
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage today.
Total Bases
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #4 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
HOU
@
SD
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
FirstInning Total
FirstInning o0.5 (+105)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
There's a good chance that both Ronel Blanco and Robbie Ray get sent to the showers early on Friday night, so I'm loving the plus odds on the YRFI line. Blanco has allowed 3+ runs in each of his first three starts since recovering from Tommy John surgery. Ray's xERA (4.47) is over a full point higher than his actual one (3.08), with tons of blue ink on his Baseball Savant page. With both offenses in the Top 6 in OPS since the break, YRFI is playable to -115.
Total Bases
Yainer Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game.. Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Yainer Diaz usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
TB
@
SEA
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. T-Mobile Park has the 6th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the 6th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for long-balls.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today.
DET
@
SF
Fri, Aug 7 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's game.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
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