Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 10, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
PIT
@
SF
Sun, May 10 • 4:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-115)
PIT (+102)
Pittsburgh’s 20-hit outburst on Saturday wasn’t a fluke. The Pirates rank fourth in xwOBA over the past two weeks, posting a .339 mark while ranking third in wRC+.
That’s bad news for Tyler Mahle. He’s sporting a 4.50 BB/9 ratio, and now must work without the best pitch framer in baseball.
NYM
@
AZ
Sun, May 10 • 4:10 PM ET
ATL
@
LAD
Sun, May 10 • 4:10 PM ET
u9.5 (-133)
The Braves will start Bryce Elder and his 2.02 ERA. His success has come from avoiding solid contact. His barrel rate, hard hit percentage, average exit velocity, and sweet spot percentage are all significantly down. The Dodgers start Justin Wrobleski, who has a 1.25 ERA and no homers allowed this season.
ATL (+115)
The Dodgers’ bullpen is running on fumes. L.A. starters haven’t completed five innings in each of the last three games, and twice failed to escape the second inning. That has forced 14 relievers to throw a combined 266 pitches over the last three days, prompting manager Dave Roberts to admit fresh arms may be needed for Sunday.
That’s a dangerous setup against an Atlanta lineup that appears to have rediscovered its rhythm. After a brief offensive dip following their Colorado series, the Braves erupted for seven runs on Saturday and continue to rank among MLB’s best offenses, sitting first in slugging and second in batting average.
STL
@
SD
Sun, May 10 • 4:10 PM ET
STL (+116)
DET
@
KC
Sun, May 10 • 7:20 PM ET
DET (+110)
Noah Cameron has an 6.32 expected ERA for a reason. The biggest reason is that he’s survived pretty much exclusively on his fastball, with several underlying metrics screaming that he’s overperforming even his already bad ERA. Given these factors, Detroit should punish him.
o8.0 (-118)
I projected this total at 9.4, would play it to 9, and I’m making this my fourth two-unit play of the year. Hanifee is likely an opener for a presumed bullpen game, but he’s already shown this season that he can go multiple innings. Either way, he’ll eventually turn things into a bullpen that isn’t the most rested. Circling back to Cameron, his pitching run value ranks in the 5th percentile, and his breaking ball sits in the 2nd.
MIL
@
STL
Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
u8.0 (-120)
If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.
Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.
MIL (-110)
Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.
Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.
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