MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, May 17 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 23-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+158)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 22.9-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, May 17 • 4:07 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

After the L.A. Dodgers exploded for 15 runs yesterday against the cross-city Angels, I’m buying into a key piece of that offense tonight. Mookie Betts served up a homer and a single in last night’s rout, and that’s the surest sign yet that his oblique strain is behind him.

It was Betts’ second dinger of the week, and I like these odds for 2+ bases here, especially with Angels starter Grayson Rodriguez just returning from the 15-day IL. Though Betts has struggled to post elite numbers this year, there’s been no dip in his exit velocity and he’s done his best work against righties on the road. Look for that trend to continue tonight.

Total Home Runs
Max Muncy logo Max Muncy o0.5 Total Home Runs (+361)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Max Muncy has been crushing the baseball, ranking 11th in the majors in hard hit percentage and eighth in barrels per plate appearance percentage. Angels starter Grayson Rodriguez is set to make his first appearance in the majors since July 2024, while their bullpen ranks third last in ERA with 22 homers allowed.

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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, May 17 • 7:20 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
San Diego Padres logo Seattle Mariners logo u7.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Seattle is swing-happy, ranking third-worst in whiff rate (27.7%). That plays directly into the hands of San Diego's relievers, who rank second in K/9 innings (10.91) this month. The Mariners' bullpen shouldn't be taxed too heavily behind Kirby, but this a strong relief corps. Seattle relievers are eighth by ERA in May (2.38).

Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-157)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Kirby doesn't rack up Ks (38th percentile), but he gets batters to chase (92nd percentile), and doesn't issue many free passes (17th in BB/9 innings among qualified starters). The Padres lineup has been absolutely awful in May, ranking dead-last in OPS (.593).

View 15 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 2 Computer Picks
Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo St. Louis Cardinals logo u8.0 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.

Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-110)
Pick made: 12 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.

Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.

View 4 Picks

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