Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
TOR
@
MIN
Sun, May 3 • 12:45 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
With another fastball thrower on the mound today, I’m inclined to keep riding the Okamoto train from my official home run pick today. He already has three home runs in this series, and owns a .600 slug-rate against the four-seamer with five of his team leading eight home runs this season coming off the fastball.
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Kazuma Okamoto should see a healthy dose of four-seam fastballs today as it’s Joe Ryan’s most utilized pitch. The Jays slugger has had a lot of success against the four-seamer this year, sporting a .320 average with a .600 slug-rate against the pitch.
BAL
@
NYY
Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
There’s something about the air in New York for Pete Alonso. The former Met has been one of the bright spots for the Baltimore Orioles in a tough series against the Yankees, and I’m backing him to do more damage today.
Alonso has thumped a solo homer in both outings at Yankee Stadium this weekend, and he’s cashed this combo Over in four of his last five contests, despite a batting average of just .205 this year.
He’s also seen plenty of New York starter Max Fried, racking up seven RBIs, with two homers, against the lefty, and he’ll get scoring opportunities hitting behind a talented Baltimore top order.
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+205)
Aaron Judge is coming off a vintage month of April, where he hit 10 dingers with a .659 slugging percentage.
The Yankees star will square up against Orioles starter Trey Gibson, who is making his MLB debut. Baltimore's bullpen has also been pretty shaky, giving up 17 home runs - tied for seventh most in the MLB.
MIL
@
WAS
Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
William Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
William Contreras only has three homers this year (including one on Thursday), but he'll be able to pick on a brutal Nationals pitching staff today.
Starter Zack Littell has already allowed 13 homers, including 2+ in four straight outings, while the Nats have surrendered an MLB-worst 51 dingers.
HOU
@
BOS
Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
CIN
@
PIT
Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
SF
@
TB
Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET
PHI
@
MIA
Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET
LAD
@
STL
Sun, May 3 • 2:15 PM ET
AZ
@
CHC
Sun, May 3 • 2:20 PM ET
Matthew Boyd o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+102)
It’s been an injury-hit start to 2026 for Matthew Boyd, but he’s still going to be a key piece for the Chicago Cubs in an NL Central race that’s already looking tight.
I like this strikeouts prop for the Chicago lefty today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he’s nailed the Over on this number in three of his four starts this season, including 10 Ks in a win over the L.A. Angels on April 1.
Boyd is also boosted by a solid record against some of Arizona’s top hitters. He’s limited Nolan Arenado, Corbin Carroll and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to a combined 2-for-20 mark in prior matchups. Plus, the D-Backs only managed four hits in last night’s 2-0 loss.
ATL
@
COL
Sun, May 3 • 3:10 PM ET
Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+310)
Matt Olson has gone yard in two straight games, and four of his last six outings. He'll be batting out of Coors Field today, one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors.
The Rockies have allowed 46 dingers already - the third most among all clubs - while starter Kyle Freeland has surrendered a homer in two straight games.
CLE
@
ATH
Sun, May 3 • 4:05 PM ET
NYM
@
LAA
Sun, May 3 • 4:07 PM ET
KC
@
SEA
Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET
o7.5 (-128)
Both of these teams are swinging with power of late. Each ranks in the Top 10 in ISO over the past two weeks, and in the Top 5 in wRC+.
While yesterday’s pitching matchup was conducive to a lower score, this one isn’t. Castillo’s issues were already noted.
Bubic isn’t immune to issues however, given his 0.80 HR/9 rate and a barrel rate of 9.5% which has led to a .408 xSLG.
As long as this number stays below a flat 8.0 I like the Over, which is 14-8 in Seattle’s last 22 home games.
KC (+105)
Luis Castillo has been getting rocked this season, ranking in the Bottom 10% in average exit velocity.
That’s going to happen when your sinker loses 1.4” of both vertical break and vertical drop from last year. Add in command issues, and opponents posting an xBA of .299 and a .423 xwOBAcon.
The Royals rank eighth in ISO and fourth in wRC+ over the past two weeks. I expect them to get some early runs against Castillo.
Kris Bubic is doing a good job of avoiding hard contact and should do enough to help the Royals win their seventh game in nine outings.
CHW
@
SD
Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET
TEX
@
DET
Sun, May 3 • 7:20 PM ET
Josh Jung o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-165)
Josh Jung carries an 11-game hitting streak into the series finale, and he’s reached base safely in 22 of his last 23 games. There aren’t many hitters in finer form, so here’s looking to take advantage in the prop market during Sunday Night Baseball.
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total Doubles (+538)
Kerry Carpenter is a well-known righty-masher who has a career 136 wRC+ against them while hitting for a ton of power (.261 ISO).
Jack Leiter throws one of his three fastball varieties (four-seamer, sinker, cutter) 59% of the time against lefties. Carpenter demolishes all three and likes to sit on heaters, making it a strong matchup.
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