MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

MIN @

CLE Mon, Jul 20 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+131)

Projection 1.76

Best Odds

o1.5 +131

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +131

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Chase DeLauter will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Chase DeLauter has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Chase DeLauter will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+131 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+191)

Projection 1.53

Best Odds

o1.5 +191

Pick made: 23 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +191

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +175

When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

+191 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

PIT @

NYY Mon, Jul 20 • 7:05 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

PIT (+110)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-101

-104

+110

+100

The Yankees aren't scoring runs with enough consistency for me to be confident in them, even at home, against the Pirates. Braxton Ashcraft has emerged as a solid No. 2 behind Paul Skenes and gives Pittsburgh the SP edge over Ryan Weathers.

Total Bases

Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Projection 1.54

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +177

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +185

When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 82nd percentile this year.. Brandon Lowe's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 88th percentile this year.

+185 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 11 Picks

TB @

TOR Mon, Jul 20 • 7:07 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

u7.5 (-104)

Best Odds

u7.5 -104

Pick made: 7 hours ago

u7.5 -115

u7.5 -122

u7.5 -104

u7.5 -115

Dylan Cease has been the most competent Blue Jays hurler this season, and Toronto's offense has been beyond putrid. I can't favor the Jays on the moneyline at the current number, especially with Nick Martinez starting for the Rays. Martinez may very well be fool's gold, but he hasn't turned into a pumpkin yet, and this is not the offense to expose him.

Total Bases

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Projection 1.81

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. George Springer will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

+130 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

LAD @

PHI Mon, Jul 20 • 7:10 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+127)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +127

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +115

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Bryce Harper will have an advantage today.. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's game.

+127 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.77

Best Odds

o1.5 +134

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Andy Pages is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Andy Pages will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Andy Pages generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

+134 at DraftKings

View 9 Picks

BAL @

BOS Mon, Jul 20 • 7:10 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Caleb Durbin o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)

Projection 0.53

Best Odds

o0.5 +192

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +192

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +176

o0.5 +175

Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Caleb Durbin pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+192 at DraftKings

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-113)

Projection 2.19

Best Odds

o1.5 -113

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -113

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -120

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

-113 at DraftKings

View 5 Picks

SD @

ATL Mon, Jul 20 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+124)

Projection 2.04

Best Odds

o1.5 +124

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game.. Jackson Merrill's 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 82nd percentile this year.

+124 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Miguel Andujar o1.5 Total Bases (+151)

Projection 1.62

Best Odds

o1.5 +151

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +151

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +142

o1.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Miguel Andujar hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Miguel Andujar sports a .270 batting average this year.

+151 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

NYM @

MIL Mon, Jul 20 • 7:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Spread

MIL -1.5 (+112)

Best Odds

-1.5 +106

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-1.5 +100

-1.5 -104

-1.5 +106

-1.5 +100

-1.5 -105

-1.5 +100

Unless Freddy Peralta suddenly taps into how he pitched for Milwaukee, he's going to get lit up by Milwaukee. With Jacob Misiorowski starting for the Brewers, this is a great spot to target the run line over the moneyline.

Total Bases

Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.66

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +135

When assessing his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report expects the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bo Bichette's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 114.9 mph this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

+155 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

SF @

KC Mon, Jul 20 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+103)

Projection 2.03

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +103

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -102

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. This year, Bryce Eldridge's 12.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers.

+105 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Projection 2.24

Best Odds

o1.5 -115

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -119

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -124

o1.5 -115

As it relates to his home run ability, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kansas City's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Casey Schmitt, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.. Casey Schmitt's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.

-115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

DET @

CHC Mon, Jul 20 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 2.35

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Seiya Suzuki will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+110 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 2.04

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 29 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +146

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dansby Swanson has hit 37.2% of his balls in the air 100 mph or harder this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

CHW @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Mon, Jul 20 • 8:05 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.6

Best Odds

o0.5 +199

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +199

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +190

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Miguel Vargas ranks as the 19th-best batter in the league.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

+199 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.55

Best Odds

o0.5 +203

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +203

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +190

Munetaka Murakami projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an advantage in today's game.

+203 at DraftKings

View 4 Picks

MIA @

HOU Mon, Jul 20 • 8:10 PM ET

5 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+141)

Projection 1.81

Best Odds

o1.5 +141

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +141

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +130

When estimating his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Placing in the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Otto Lopez has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.8 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.. Ranking in the 100th percentile, Otto Lopez has posted a .330 batting average this year.

+141 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+170)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +170

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +169

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +170

When assessing his home run ability, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. This season, Heriberto Hernandez has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year's 93.6 mph mark.

+170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 5 Picks

WAS @

COL Mon, Jul 20 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+103)

Projection 2.12

Best Odds

o1.5 +103

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +103

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -109

o1.5 +100

Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daylen Lile stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team playing today.

+103 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-107)

Projection 2.2

Best Odds

o1.5 -107

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -107

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -117

o1.5 -110

Hunter Goodman projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Hunter Goodman will have an advantage in today's game.. Hunter Goodman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

-107 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

ATH @

AZ Mon, Jul 20 • 9:40 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+100)

Projection 2.07

Best Odds

o1.5 +105

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -103

o1.5 +105

o1.5 -103

o1.5 +100

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as the game's 18th-best home run batter.. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Shea Langeliers will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Bratt in today's game.. Shea Langeliers's 15% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) is in the 92nd percentile this year.. Shea Langeliers's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 114.4 mph this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.

+105 at bet365

Total Hits

Jonah Heim u0.5 Total Hits (+179)

Projection 0.88

Best Odds

u0.5 +179

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +179

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Jonah Heim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences today.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

+179 at DraftKings

View 3 Picks

CIN @

SEA Mon, Jul 20 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Spencer Steer o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.51

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 15 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +165

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team today.. Spencer Steer has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.8% rate last year to 13.3% this year.

+165 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+154)

Projection 1.85

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +154

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball's 9th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Cincinnati (#2-worst of all teams on the slate).

+160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

STL @

LAA Mon, Jul 20 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jorge Soler o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.51

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +133

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage in today's game.. Jorge Soler's 11.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 79th percentile this year.. This year, the hardest ball Jorge Soler has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.7 mph (an advanced standard to evaluate power), checking in at the 79th percentile.

+160 at bet365

Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +108

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +104

o1.5 +110

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in the league.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Mike Trout's 19.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) ranks in the 99th percentile this year.. Mike Trout's 96.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 95th percentile this year.

+110 at bet365

View 10 Picks

AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 24 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 24 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

View 16 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 28 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 28 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: one month ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: one month ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: one month ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: one month ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: one month ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: one month ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

Covers Betting Team

Meet our team of experts

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Learn more

Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups

Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more

MLB

07/19/2026 07:42 ET

2026 World Series Odds: Yankees Remain Favored AL Squad

Is the AL's All-Star win an omen?Read more

MLB

07/19/2026 04:27 ET

Dodgers vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sunday Night Baseball

L.A. completes the sweep in the Bronx.Read more

MLB

07/19/2026 01:52 ET

Dodgers vs Yankees Prop Picks for Sunday Night Baseball

Betts, Rice take the spotlight in Sunday Night Baseball.Read more

MLB

07/19/2026 12:38 ET

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Crafty E-Rod casts his magic spell.Read more

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.