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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 5, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+157 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
3.93 |
-166 
|
u8.5 -116 
|
-1.5 +130
|
Toronto
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Houston
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
Top Projection
Christian Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
o0.5 +650
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.00 |
+106
|
o9.5 -103
|
+1.5 -186 
|
|
5.57 |
-113
|
u9.5 -112
|
-1.5 +164
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Lauers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Lauers last 8 starts.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
o1.5 +144
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.33 |
+160
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
4.23 |
-172
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +119
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 8-1 in Rangers last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 games as a favorite.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.89 |
-154
|
o11.5 -107
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
6.00 |
+147
|
u11.5 -103
|
+1.5 -107
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 interleague starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Rays are 4-0 in Martinezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-0 in Suganos last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
o1.5 +100
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
+125
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.49 |
-131
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +160
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Detmers' last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Detmers' last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Detmers' last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Rogers' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Jose Siri o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5 +330
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.65 |
-107
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.62 |
+101
|
u8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -166
|
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cecconis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.31 |
+120
|
o9.5 -112
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.76 |
-130
|
u10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
o0.5 +153
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
+152
|
o9.5 -107
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.65 |
-160
|
u10.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +120 
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+135
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.13 |
-145
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +136
|
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Pallantes last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Pallantes last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Pallantes last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5 +165
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
+108
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.90 |
-118
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.33 |
+115
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.22 |
-125
|
u8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +168
|
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Owen Caissie o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5 +215
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
+101
|
o9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +158
|
|
4.75 |
-111
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -183
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Camerons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Camerons last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 9-0 in Camerons last 9 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Camerons last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.89 |
+120
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
3.83 |
-130
|
u7.5 -116
|
-1.5 +176
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Esmerlyn Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5 +217
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
+134
|
o7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.64 |
-140
|
u8.0 -112
|
-1.5 +146
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Woos last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Woos last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Woos last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Josh Naylor o0.5 Total Home Runs (+990)
o0.5 +990
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.12 |
-112
|
o9.0 -122
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
5.00 |
+105
|
u9.5 -116
|
+1.5 -155
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0 in Angels last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Angels last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Under is 8-0 in Angels last 8 on grass.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+152
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-200
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in Reds last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 on grass.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.48 |
+109
|
o5.5 -220
|
+1.5 -245
|
|
|
4.32 |
-105
|
u7.5 -252
|
-1.5 +210
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-3 in Mariners last 9 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+226
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-279
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Braves last 8 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Braves last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as an underdog.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 on grass.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
TOR
@
HOU
Wed, Aug 5 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Minute Maid Park.. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Projection 0.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #8 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s true offensive talent to be a .367, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .060 gap between that mark and his actual .307 wOBA.. By putting up a .406 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is ranked in the 99th percentile for hitting ability.
LAD
@
CHC
Wed, Aug 5 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Over the past week, Shohei Ohtani's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.8% up to 27.3%.. In the last week's worth of games, Shohei Ohtani's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 110.6-mph of late.. With a .403 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Shohei Ohtani has performed in the 99th percentile for offensive skills.
Total Bases
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.. With a .376 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Michael Busch grades out in the 95th percentile for hitting ability.. Michael Busch has performed at a clip of 35.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
TB
@
COL
Wed, Aug 5 • 3:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Nick Martinez.. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Among all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Cole Carrigg will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
LAA
@
BAL
Wed, Aug 5 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #10 ballpark in the league for overall righty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 82°.
Total RBIs
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 82°.. Zach Neto will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.
NYM
@
CLE
Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Travis Bazzana o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Travis Bazzana is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for lefty base hits.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This contest is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Travis Bazzana will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Scott in today's game.
Total RBIs
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This contest is expected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
ATH
@
CIN
Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Elly De La Cruz has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Elly De La Cruz generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jacob Lopez.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Sacramento's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for JJ Bleday, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
WAS
@
PHI
Wed, Aug 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the league's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humidity on the schedule today at 85%.. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.
STL
@
NYY
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+108)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alec Burleson's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Alec Burleson will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage in today's game.
CHW
@
BOS
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Nick Sogard o0.5 Total RBIs (+310)
Projection 0.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nick Sogard has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today.
MIA
@
ATL
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Owen Caissie's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Owen Caissie is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.. Owen Caissie will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder today.. Owen Caissie hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Eury Perez u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Projection 4.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Clint Vondrak grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 82°.. The Atlanta Braves have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in this game.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eury Perez in today's game.
MIN
@
KC
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
John Rave u1.5 Total Bases (-270)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Rave in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. John Rave is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. In today's game, John Rave is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (83rd percentile).
PIT
@
MIL
Wed, Aug 5 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's game.. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.. William Contreras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
DET
@
SEA
Wed, Aug 5 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 84°.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
Total Bases
Gleyber Torres o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate at 84°.. Gleyber Torres has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
