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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 6, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.43 |
-155 
|
o8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +108
|
|
4.06 |
+149
|
u9.0 -105 
|
+1.5 -115 
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Harrisons last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Harrisons last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Singers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+163)
o0.5+163
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.94 |
-105
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.97 |
-105
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -184 
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Braves last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 14-2 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Nolas last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Nolas last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Nolas last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+188)
o0.5+188
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
-135
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +126
|
|
3.76 |
+125
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -143
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+170
|
o7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.64 |
-190
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +115
|
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0 in Angels last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+150
|
o7.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.52 |
-160
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +140
|
Detroit
- Under is 8-0 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Jobes last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 in Jobes last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Williams' last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
-140
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.95 |
+130
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -129
|
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 10-1-1 in Cubs last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+257)
o0.5+257
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+137
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.84 |
-145
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +142
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Mets are 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Mets are 8-0 in Scotts last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 6-0 in Scotts last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.28 |
-115
|
o9.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
5.05 |
+105
|
u10.0 -134
|
+1.5 -155
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dobnaks last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
-104
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.40 |
-105
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +175
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 8-0 in Rodriguezs last 8 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 8-0 in Rodriguezs last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Houston
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
-104
|
o7.0 -141
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.08 |
-105
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +188
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Seymours last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Seymours last 4 starts overall.
- Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 6-0 in Gores last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 home starts.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5+226
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.77 |
-130
|
o11.0 -112
|
-1.5 +115 
|
|
5.78 |
+120
|
u11.5 -125
|
+1.5 -130
|
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0-1 in Leahys last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gordons last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gordons last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Kyle Leahy o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-130)
o2.5-130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
-105
|
o7.0 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.19 |
-105
|
u7.5 -150
|
+1.5 -180
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+325
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.38 |
+175
|
o7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.09 |
-190
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 vs. American League West.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games as a road underdog.
Seattle
- Over is 7-0 in Mariners last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Carlos Cortes o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
o0.5+1050
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+130
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
5.21 |
-140
|
u8.5 -108
|
-1.5 +145
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Obers last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Hudsons last 6 starts on grass.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
o0.5+163
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.20 |
+186
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -123
|
|
4.73 |
-203
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Alvarezs last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Wrobleskis last 6 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+248
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.92 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Braves last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 home games.
- Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-2 in Marlins last 11 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.03 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Angels last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 23-7-1 in Angels last 31 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.16 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 overall.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. American League Central.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.59 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Nationals last 9 road games.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Nationals last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-1-2 in Giants last 9 overall.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Giants last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Giants last 9 on grass.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.56 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.25 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2 in Reds last 8 games as a road favorite.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
MIL
@
CIN
Sun, Sep 6 • 12:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+301)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Jake Bauers looks good to hit a home run today. Singer’s sinker-heavy approach surrenders a vulnerable 42.6% hard-hit rate and a .342 xwOBA, while Bauers crushes right-handed pitching with elite power metrics. He leads Milwaukee with a 13.4% barrel rate, a massive 53.1% hard-hit rate, and a .469 xSLG. In Great American Ball Park’s short porch, expect Bauers to launch Singer’s sinker over the right-field wall.
Total
o8.5 (-129)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
The Over is the right look. While Kyle Harrison suppresses contact early, both bullpens enter this game primed to bleed late runs. Over the last 14 days, Cincinnati’s relief corps has been hammered for a 5.76 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, and 1.39 HR/9. Meanwhile, Milwaukee’s 2.68 bullpen ERA is living on borrowed time against an ugly 4.62 FIP, 4.40 xFIP, and 1.34 HR/9. In a launch pad like Great American Ball Park, expect both pens to cough up late traffic and push this past 8.5.
ATL
@
PHI
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Alec Bohm o1.5 Total Bases (+162)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alec Bohm's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for long-balls.. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for long-balls.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.
BOS
@
BAL
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:35 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-105)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
BOS (-129)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
LAA
@
PIT
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park profiles as the #3 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vaughn Grissom has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last two weeks.. Over the last 7 days, Vaughn Grissom's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph in recent games.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 8th-best batter in the league.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. PNC Park profiles as the #3 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Mike Trout's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 44.2% on the season to 66.7% in the past week's worth of games.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mike Trout's true offensive ability to be a .366, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .020 deviation between that figure and his actual .346 wOBA.
DET
@
CLE
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Travis Bazzana o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Travis Bazzana appears to be just fine after getting drilled in the hand by the Blue Jays a few days ago. He has since made two starts, putting together multi-hit performances in each.
Detroit starter Jackson Jobe is a fastball-first pitcher, and Bazzana is sporting a .312 average, .271 ISO, and near 50% hard hit rate against righty fastballs.
Total
u7.5 (-119)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Detroit's .111 ISO against righties the past month slots them dead last, and Gavin Williams’ home run suppression numbers are much better at home.
Jobe is not near the talent Williams is but the Cleveland Guardians sit 30th in barrel rate against righties the last 30 days. They aren’t hitting for much power, which significantly lowers their offensive ceiling.
Play to 54%.
CHC
@
MIA
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Seiya Suzuki's launch angle in recent games (26.6° in the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 18.6° seasonal angle.. With a .384 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Seiya Suzuki grades out in the 97th percentile for offensive ability.
Total Bases
Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Alex Bregman has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.9% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the past week's worth of games.. Alex Bregman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.2-mph.. Alex Bregman has put up a .344 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.
SF
@
NYM
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an edge today.. Bryce Eldridge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Bryce Eldridge's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 47.1% on the season to 65.4% over the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Carson Benge has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Carson Benge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
TOR
@
KC
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+156)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #6 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 94°.
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #6 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 94°.
AZ
@
HOU
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Yordan Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. By putting up a .384 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Yordan Alvarez finds himself in the 98th percentile for hitting ability.
Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
Projection 0.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 77th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 9th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Daulton Varsho has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30.3° figure in the last week's worth of games.
TB
@
TEX
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's game.. Corey Seager has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 15.1% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last week's worth of games.
Total Hits
Jorge Mateo u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Mateo in the 25th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jorge Mateo is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Jorge Mateo has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 55% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.. The #2 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
STL
@
COL
Sun, Sep 6 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 2.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game.. Nolan Gorman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 95.5-mph over the past 7 days.
NYY
@
SD
Sun, Sep 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 85°.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.
Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 85°.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
ATH
@
SEA
Sun, Sep 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Carlos Cortes o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
Projection 0.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. T-Mobile Park ranks as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Carlos Cortes will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Carlos Cortes has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Lawrence Butler has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
MIN
@
CHW
Sun, Sep 6 • 6:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the league's 2nd-best home run hitter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 ballpark in the league for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an edge today.. Munetaka Murakami has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (34.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Ober doesn't generate many whiffs (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Murakami.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as the majors's 18th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 ballpark in the league for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober today.. Colson Montgomery has big-time power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Ober doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Montgomery.
WAS
@
LAD
Sun, Sep 6 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
James Wood o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
While James Wood is more productive facing righties, the power numbers vs. southpaws (17.3% barrel rate, 53.8% hard hit rate) are still outstanding.
He has faced Justin Wrobleski three times in his young career. He walked in one of them, and homered in the two at-bats.
Total
o8.5 (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Andrew Alvarez has posted a 4.41 xERA over 10 starts in hitter-friendly conditions this season, and favorable weather is projected tonight.
Justin Wrobleski pitches well in stretches but is vulnerable to power. He has allowed 1.45 HR/9 this year, and the Nationals have a lot more pop with the recent return of James Wood.
Target the Over to 52%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
