Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 13, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
STL
@
MIN
Sat, Jun 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Alec Burleson enters this matchup red-hot after homering in three straight games while carrying a .560 ISO, 52.2% hard-hit rate, and 26.1% barrel rate over his last six contests. He'll face Connor Prielipp, who has allowed more than half of his contact against left-handed hitters in the air.
NYY
@
TOR
Sat, Jun 13 • 3:07 PM ET
Cam Schlittler o5.5 Hits Allowed (+120)
Toronto’s current lineup owns a .339 batting average, earning 28 hits against the Yankee starter through four games, profiling well against his aggressive strike-throwing style and pitch mix. Schlittler has a high zone rate and uses a mix of four-seamers, cutters, and sinkers. As a team, the Blue Jays own a .272 average (8th) with a 41% hard-hit rate (5th) against these pitches. Schlittler has eclipsed this hit total in 3-of-4 career starts against Toronto, with the lone other start only lasting 1 2/3 innings, where he still gave up five hits.
Ernie Clement has 18 hits over his last 12 games, eclipsing this total in 10 of them. He profiles well against Schlittler as a contact hitter, and it has led him to being 4-for-9 against the Yankee starter in his career. For the last leg of the SGP, I’ll bet on Guerrero Jr. Over. 0.5 singles. Vlad has been a singles machine this season, with 79% of his hits being for one base.
SEA
@
WAS
Sat, Jun 13 • 4:05 PM ET
CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-134)
SD
@
BAL
Sat, Jun 13 • 4:05 PM ET
Vasquez has allowed a .276 average, .359 xwOBA, and ranks in the 19th percentile in xSLG against left-handed bats.
Rutschman has averaged 2.5 H+R+R in games against righties who rank 50th percentile or worse in xwOBA vs. left-handed hitters.
Meanwhile, Basallo has cleared 1.5 H+R+R in 71.4% of such matchups – including all eight when the pre-game total was 9.0 or higher.
Samuel Basallo o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-131)
Randy Vasquez has allowed a .276 average, .359 xwOBA, and ranks in the 19th percentile in xSLG against left-handed bats.
That sets up well for Samuel Basallo. The talented lefty has hit .270 against right-handed pitching and is a 95th percentile hitter in xSLG.
Play to -145.
MIA
@
PIT
Sat, Jun 13 • 4:05 PM ET
TEX
@
BOS
Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
LAD
@
CHW
Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
Burke relies on his four-seam fastball and curveball, throwing them a combined 59% of the time. Los Angeles only pulls those pitches in the air 17.2% of the time against righties, which will limit the damage their lineup can do. Meanwhile, Yamamoto has allowed just three total runs over his last four starts. I’m taking the Under today at -120 or better.
Los Angeles Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto getting batters to chase on 34.3% of their swings while maintaining a walk rate of just 5.1%. He’s also generating a 47.3% ground ball rate, which plays well against a Chicago White Sox lineup that hits grounders 44.2% of the time. The Dodgers are the pick to cover the run line, and I’d take them to do so at -130 or better.
ATL
@
NYM
Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
o8.5 (+101)
Recent games between these teams have produced plenty of offense, and both pitching staffs enter Saturday under pressure. The Mets' bullpen has been heavily used and owns a 5.49 ERA over its last three games, while Martin Perez has historically struggled when his routine is disrupted. If plus money is available, the Over offers value.
ATL -1.5 (+167)
Atlanta has avoided extended losing streaks all season and continues to produce offensively despite Ronald Acuña Jr.'s absence. The Braves have scored at least five runs in four of their last six games, while Sean Manaea enters his first start of the season with a 5.02 ERA. If the run line stays above +150, Atlanta -1.5 is the play.
AZ
@
CIN
Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
Corbin Carroll recorded multiple total bases in eight of his last 11 when facing righties ranking 30th percentile or worse in xwOBA vs. lefties.
Ketel Marte’s expected stats are strong against righties and the hitting conditions are favorable at Great American Ballpark.
This is a great spot for the Arizona Diamondbacks to score runs in bulk, putting them in good position to get a win.
YRFI/NRFI (No: -111)
Michael Soroka owns a 9-4 NRFI record and a 3.00 xERA across his last two appearances. Cincinnati is batting just .222 in the first inning and hasn't scored in six straight games, while Arizona has also failed to score in the opening frame in three consecutive contests.
DET
@
CLE
Sat, Jun 13 • 4:10 PM ET
HOU
@
KC
Sat, Jun 13 • 7:10 PM ET
o9.5 (+100)
Would play to 10 at even money. Although I expect Kansas City to eventually get the win, it won't come without any trouble. Cameron has allowed a 41.0% hard-hit rate and 9.3% barrel rate, which is dangerous against an Astros lineup with plenty of power, particularly considering the level of Yordan. Burrows is the bigger trigger for a variety of reasons, but the most pressing being the bottom 20th percentile hard-hit metrics paired with looming negative regression.
KC (-125)
PHI
@
MIL
Sat, Jun 13 • 7:10 PM ET
o8.0 (-115)
MIL (-140)
COL
@
ATH
Sat, Jun 13 • 10:05 PM ET
CHC
@
SF
Sat, Jun 13 • 10:05 PM ET
u7.5 (+102)
Despite the lower total, the Under still offers value. San Francisco has struggled offensively, while Trevor McDonald continues to generate swings and misses and weak contact. Chicago may score enough to win after seeing him recently, but a high-scoring game appears unlikely.
CHC -1.5 (+138)
The Chicago moneyline is too lopsided to earn. If it gets down to -110, it might be worth taking back those 1.5 runs. However, lately the Giants have only won when they score 10+ runs, and you'll lose either way if that happens.
It's not likely to happen against Brown, who has led Chicago to wins in four of his six starts and posted an ERA on par with Ohtani, the Miz, and Cristopher Sanchez. His underlying metrics are even better. Brown's breaking stuff is in the 100th percentile in MLB, thanks to a knuckle curve with a 44.8 whiff rate.
TB
@
LAA
Sat, Jun 13 • 10:07 PM ET
Mike Trout o0.5 Walks (+135)
Trout has walked a remarkable 20.3% of the time against right-handed pitching. Tampa Bay Rays starter Griffin Jax has struggled with his control, walking 11.9% of right-handed batters.
Isolating matchups against starters ranking 50th percentile or worse in walk rate vs. righties, Trout has walked at least once in 21 of 28 games.
Play to -125.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
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