MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 7, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.18 @ 4.79

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Blue Jays vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.18

+187

o7.5 -107

+1.5 -118

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.79

-198

u8.0 -125

-1.5 +109

Cincinnati @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.55 @ 4.79

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Reds vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.55

+111

o8.5 -116

+1.5 -190

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.79

-118

u9.0 -115

-1.5 +165

Atlanta @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.46 @ 5.24

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Braves vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.46

+114

o7.5 -121

+1.5 -183

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

5.24

-122

u8.5 -122

-1.5 +158

Top Projection Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
o1.5 +185
Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.78 @ 5.33

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Twins vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.78

+158

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -131

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.33

-170

u8.5 -116

-1.5 +125

Top Projection Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+211)
o1.5 +211
Cleveland @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.93 @ 4.23

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Guardians vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.93

-135

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +124

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.23

+129

u8.0 -125

+1.5 -137

Top Projection Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5 +240
Chi. Cubs @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.74 @ 4.64

KC
KC logo
KC

Cubs vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.74

-164

o9.0 -115

-1.5 -103

KC logo
KC
KC

4.64

+153

u9.5 -120

+1.5 -107

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
o0.5 +177
Baltimore @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.90 @ 4.37

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Orioles vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.90

+129

o7.5 +101

+1.5 -168

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.37

-138

u7.5 -112

-1.5 +154

Colorado @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.54 @ 5.21

STL
STL logo
STL

Rockies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.54

+153

o8.5 -116

+1.5 -137

STL logo
STL
STL

5.21

-161

u9.0 -125

-1.5 +124

Top Projection Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5 +169
LA Dodgers @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.75 @ 4.85

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.75

-168

o8.5 -124

-1.5 -107

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.85

+158

u9.0 -115

+1.5 -103

Houston @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.95 @ 4.67

SD
SD logo
SD

Astros vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.95

+102

o8.5 -107

-1.5 +165

SD logo
SD
SD

4.67

-108

u8.5 -103

+1.5 -183

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+168)
o0.5 +168
Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.96 @ 4.40

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Rays vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.96

+105

o6.5 -126

+1.5 -228

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.40

-112

u7.0 -115

-1.5 +171

Detroit @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

5.10 @ 4.45

SF
SF logo
SF

Tigers vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

5.10

-131

o8.5 -102

-1.5 +125

SF logo
SF
SF

4.45

+125

u8.5 -107

+1.5 -137

Atlanta @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.33 @ 3.92

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Braves vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.33

-130

o7.5 -112

-1.5 +134

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.92

+114

u7.5 -103

+1.5 -148

LA Angels @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.22 @ 4.20

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Angels vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

4.22

+137

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -160

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.20

-155

u8.5 -121

-1.5 +146

Athletics @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.15 @ 5.22

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Athletics vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.15

+190

o9.0 -120

+1.5 -107

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.22

-215

u9.5 -116

-1.5 -103

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

5.11 @ 6.17

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Blue Jays vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

5.11

+140

o9.5 -110

+1.5 -148

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

6.17

-152

u10.0 -115

-1.5 +136

NY Mets @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.85 @ 5.77

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Mets vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.85

+124

o8.5 -115

+1.5 -175

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

5.77

-137

u8.5 +100

-1.5 +162

Cincinnati @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.74 @ 4.30

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Reds vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.74

-131

o8.5 -112

-1.5 +119

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.30

+130

u8.5 +102

+1.5 -132

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.71 @ 4.58

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Twins vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.71

+134

o7.5 -125

+1.5 -161

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.58

-147

u8.5 -126

-1.5 +146

Chi. Cubs @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.93 @ 4.67

KC
KC logo
KC

Cubs vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.93

-164

o9.5 -110

-1.5 -104

KC logo
KC
KC

4.67

+141

u9.5 -105

+1.5 -110

Cleveland @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.59 @ 4.12

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Guardians vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.59

-121

o7.5 -121

-1.5 +134

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.12

+110

u8.0 -108

+1.5 -152

Houston @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Astros vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

+109

o7.5 -116

+1.5 -191

SD logo
SD
SD

--

-116

u8.5 -124

-1.5 +173

Detroit @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats
Colorado @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rockies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

--

+135

o8.5 -121

+1.5 -155

STL logo
STL
STL

--

-152

u9.0 -118

-1.5 +146

Baltimore @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.58 @ 4.18

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Orioles vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.58

+124

o7.5 -103

+1.5 -175

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.18

-137

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +152

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

-165

o8.5 -115

-1.5 +101

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

+152

u8.5 +102

+1.5 -115

Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Matchup Stats
Cincinnati @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Reds vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

-121

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

-116

--

--

Atlanta @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Braves vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

+109

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

-148

--

--

Athletics @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

+165

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

-229

--

--

Toronto @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Blue Jays vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

+146

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

-183

--

--

NY Mets @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Mets vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

+109

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

-148

--

--

LA Angels @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Angels vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

+114

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

-148

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cubs vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

-161

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

+119

--

--

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Twins vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

+197

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

-252

--

--

Cleveland @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Guardians vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

+101

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

-137

--

--

Colorado @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rockies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

--

+124

--

--

STL logo
STL
STL

--

-161

--

--

Baltimore @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Orioles vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

+105

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

-142

--

--

Detroit @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

-116

--

--

SF logo
SF
SF

--

-103

--

--

Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rays vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

--

--

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

-112

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

-137

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

+109

--

--

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Brice Turang is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Kody Clemens is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
View 10 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jo Adell logo Jo Adell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Jo Adell draws a strong matchup against Chicago White Sox left hander Noah Schultz, who has struggled since being called up, particularly against right handed hitters. The last 60 righties Schultz has faced own a .339 xBA, .573 xSLG and .374 xwOBA, while producing a 75% elevation rate. Adell owns the third highest matchup rating on Batters-Box today and has homered 25.7% of the time across 35 elite ratings. He has also been excellent against left handed pitching recently, posting a .893 SLG, 1.326 OPS and .554 wOBA over his last 30 at-bats. I would play his home run prop to +300.

Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Chicago enters tonight in a difficult spot after being swept in Boston and playing 13 innings yesterday. The White Sox used seven relievers in that game and now turn to Noah Schultz, who owns a 5.82 ERA and rarely works deep into games. Chicago is 1-7 in his last eight appearances. Meanwhile, Parker Messick owns a 2.20 road ERA and has limited White Sox hitters to a .174 average in two matchups this season.

View 15 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Fri, Aug 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Kansas City Royals logo u9.0 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Kevin Gausman hasn't allowed a homer in the past month, and his ability to limit walks should also help him keep traffic off the basepaths against a Kansas City Royals team that can really run.

I do project the Cubs for 5.2 runs against Lynch and a struggling batch of relievers, but my model still sees value backing this game to go Under the number.

Bet to -114.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-170)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Kevin Gausman’s 2.27 FIP the past 30 days indicates he has pitched much better than the 4.71 ERA, and the tide will start to turn in his Chicago Cubs debut.

The Cubs are a distant first in OPS and wOBA vs. lefties the last month, and should cause problems for Daniel Lynch in his first start of the season.

Bet to -182.

 

View 12 Picks
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo Texas Rangers logo u7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Baz is coming off his best outing of the season against a potent Phillies offense (6.1 IP, 1 ER), and should be able to stifle the bats of the Rangers, a team he’s found tremendous success against. 

When looking at the MLB trends, it’s easy to see why the Under is a must-bet today - it’s hit in all six games when the Orioles play AL West opponents, and is 6-1 in Baltimore’s last seven road games. 

Spread
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL +1.5 (-168)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Eovaldi has regressed this year, and it won’t get any easier against the Orioles, who own a .316 xBA (.447 AVG) and .386 xwOBA against him across 43 plate appearances. If you’re looking for damage, Pete Alonso is a good place to start - he’s a career 3-for-4 against the righty with a .852 xSLG.

View 13 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alec Burleson logo Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Alec Burleson finds himself in an excellent spot to go deep against Colorado Rockies right hander Ryan Feltner. Over the last 60 left handed hitters Feltner has faced, he owns a 10.64 ERA while allowing a 13.6% barrel rate, .379 xBA, .763 xSLG and .412 xwOBA. Burleson has also been swinging a hot bat against right handed pitching, posting a .423 BA, .731 SLG and 1.231 OPS over his last 30 plate appearances. During that stretch, he is producing a 60% hard hit rate and 15% barrel rate. I like the big fella to leave the yard again tonight. 

Total
Colorado Rockies logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

I don't have any faith in these respective pitching staffs on Friday night. Kyle Leahy carries a 5.19 xERA into this one, well above his actual ERA of 3.44. The Rockies are 11th in OPS since the All-Star break. Ryan Feltner owns a 5.75 ERA and has struggled just to stay in the majors over his brief career. The bullpens are both Bottom 5 by ERA over the last 30 days. I'd play this at -125, or to +100 if the line rises to 9.

View 13 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-168)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Merrill Kelly has been one of the worst starters in the majors, ranking in the bottom percentile in xERA and xBA.

The Dodgers have feasted on the four-seamer vs. righties, ranking fourth in team average and fifth in SLG against that pitch this season.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Arizona Diamondbacks logo u9.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Roki Sasaki has a stingy 2.25 ERA over his last four starts, and the Diamondbacks are batting just .225 against his favored four-seamer this season.

The Under has cashed in four straight starts for Sasaki, while the Under is 3-1-1 in Merrill Kelly's last five outings.

View 14 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ San Diego Padres logo SD Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
FirstInning Total
Houston Astros logo San Diego Padres logo FirstInning o0.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

There's a good chance that both Ronel Blanco and Robbie Ray get sent to the showers early on Friday night, so I'm loving the plus odds on the YRFI line. Blanco has allowed 3+ runs in each of his first three starts since recovering from Tommy John surgery. Ray's xERA (4.47) is over a full point higher than his actual one (3.08), with tons of blue ink on his Baseball Savant page. With both offenses in the Top 6 in OPS since the break, YRFI is playable to -115.

Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup.
View 12 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Fri, Aug 7 • 9:45 PM ET
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Drew Rasmussen of the Tampa Bay Rays has been incredible this year, sporting a career-low 4.3% walk rate and 3.14 xERA across 117 innings pitched. Truly outstanding stuff. We’re catching him during the best stint of his campaign tonight, too, having thrown 13 frames of shutout baseball across his last two starts.

Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Seattle Mariners logo u6.5 (+109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

One of the biggest reasons I love the Rays in this spot is because of Mr. Rasmussen, so it’s no surprise we’re rocking with the plus-money Under in this situation. Looking at the MLB trends, the Under is 8-1 in the Rays’ last nine road games against a team with a winning record - that’ll play tonight.

View 12 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Fri, Aug 7 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Rafael Devers logo Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Rafael Devers immediately stands out as one of my favorite hitter looks on Friday. The Giants slugger enters the matchup with an elite Batters-Box rating and covers over 76% of Keider Montero’s arsenal. Devers has been seeing the ball extremely well, posting a .320 BA, 10% strikeout rate and .913 OPS while making 89% contact. Meanwhile, Montero has struggled to limit quality contact against left-handed hitters on the road, allowing a 64% elevation rate and 37.7% hard-hit rate. With Devers owning the hottest bat in San Francisco’s lineup, I am trusting him at home. Take this down to +350.

Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+156)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero today.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Gavin Williams faces Anthony Kay in an evenly priced pick 'em spot. In their past 14 days, Cleveland holds a decisive edge in overall run prevention, boasting a 3.78 bullpen SIERA and a 25.8% strikeout rate compared to Chicago's 4.33 SIERA. With identical moneyline odds, trust the stronger pitching staff to pull it out.

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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Detroit enters as the hottest offense in this split, leading the majors across the past 14 days with a scorching 146 wRC+ and a .380 wOBA. Youngster Jackson Jobe opposes Landen Roupp. Given Detroit’s massive offensive baseline compared to San Francisco’s average 101 wRC+, laying a short -113 on the Tigers is a great spot.

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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sat, Aug 8 • 9:50 PM ET
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

George Kirby takes the hill for Seattle, anchoring a pitching staff that paces MLB with a 2.56 SIERA and a 31.3% strikeout rate. Griffin Jax gets the nod for Tampa, but Seattle’s elite run prevention at home gives them the upper hand at a very manageable price tag.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

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This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

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The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

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Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

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