All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 23, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.63 |
+154 
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -139 
|
|
3.87 |
-175 
|
u8.5 -125 
|
-1.5 +130
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
Detroit
- Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 home games.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
u0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+105
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -225
|
|
4.33 |
-120
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +175
|
Toronto
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 8-2 in Blue Jays last 10 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Scherzers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Bassitts last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
-148 
|
o7.5 -113
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.21 |
+128
|
u8.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -136
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-2 in Twins last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Connor Prielipp o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
o4.5-159
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-138
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +128
|
|
4.16 |
+120
|
u7.5 -113
|
+1.5 -144
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Hendersons last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Nolas last 7 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
o0.5+207
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+100
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.15 |
-113
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Liberatores last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Cardinals are 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+135
|
o6.5 -139
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.03 |
-150
|
u7.5 -140
|
-1.5 +156
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Coles last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Coles last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.88 |
+117
|
o7.0 -117
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
3.85 |
-130
|
u7.5 -117
|
-1.5 +168
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Grays last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
o0.5+208
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+210
|
o7.5 +103
|
+1.5 -103
|
|
4.96 |
-245
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 -105
|
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Reds last 7 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-2 in Reds last 10 road games.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Sales last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Sales last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+170)
o1.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
-110
|
o8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.99 |
+100
|
u9.0 -134
|
+1.5 -170
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 7-0 in Feddes last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Royals last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+150
|
o6.5 -132
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.77 |
-170
|
u7.0 -113
|
-1.5 +135
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Gustos last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cubs last 7 overall.
Top Projection
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
-107
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +159
|
|
3.88 |
+100
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -166
|
NY Mets
- Under is 3-0-2 in McLeans last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in McLeans last 4 starts vs. American League West.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rangers last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
o0.5+208
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.42 |
-155
|
o10.5 -140
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
5.30 |
+135
|
u11.5 -132
|
+1.5 -112
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Kellys last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kellys last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Rockies last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5+176
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.38 |
-129
|
o9.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.74 |
+116
|
u9.5 -109
|
+1.5 -140
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-2 in Urenas last 9 starts as a road underdog.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Urenas last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Urenas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Athletics
- Over is 8-0 in Springs' last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Springs' last 8 home starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Springs' last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
o1.5+105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.77 |
+185
|
o7.0 -200
|
+3.5 -286
|
|
5.08 |
-210
|
u8.5 -120
|
-3.5 +225
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 during game 2 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
+128
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.43 |
-145
|
u8.5 -127
|
-1.5 +145
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0-2 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a favorite.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Kirbys last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 overall.
WAS
@
DET
Wed, Sep 23 • 1:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Dylan Crews will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez today.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.1% to 19.1%.
Total Hits
Riley Greene u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Comerica Park projects as the #21 park in MLB for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Comerica Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams in action today.
TOR
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 23 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
What's wrong with a little double-dip on Springer tonight? Not only does he have strong numbers against Bassitt (2 HR, .631 xSLG), but six of his 15 homers this year have come off breaking balls - and we all know the veteran righty loves to throw the kitchen sink at hitters. If someone is going yard tonight, Springer is the most likely candidate, and at +850, we can't turn down that price.
Total
o7.5 (+100)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
I'd price this closer to -110, so we're going to take advantage of this value. The Blue Jays see a familiar face on the bump in Chris Bassitt tonight, and while he's been fine over his last two starts, his 4.96 xERA suggests Toronto should be able to get to him. I'm expecting the Blue Jays to manufacture runs, with Bassitt posting a career-high xBA (.279) and career-low K rate (16.4%) this season. On the other side is Max Scherzer, who Baltimore just tagged for six earned runs 11 days ago. No matter how you slice it, tonight looks like we'll see some offensive fireworks.
MIN
@
SF
Wed, Sep 23 • 3:45 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Connor Prielipp o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-165)
Projection 6.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Connor Prielipp in the 81st percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.. The San Francisco Giants have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jonah Cox, Grant McCray, Shay Whitcomb, Drew Cavanaugh).. Dillon Wilson profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.. Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Out of all starting pitchers, Connor Prielipp's fastball velocity of 94.9 mph grades out in the 76th percentile this year.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This game is expected to have the 4th-most humidity on the schedule today (78%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Cesar Perdomo throws from, Royce Lewis will have the upper hand in today's game.. Royce Lewis's launch angle this year (20.6°) is a considerable increase over his 17.5° figure last year.. Royce Lewis has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 26.81 ft/sec to 27.67 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. Despite posting a .292 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Royce Lewis has had bad variance on his side given the .015 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
MIL
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 23 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
PHI (+121)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Philadelphia Phillies are trading as a 45% underdog on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to a 49% underdog against the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday. The edge really comes down to the sense of urgency for both teams. The Phillies are locked in a three-way battle for seeding in the NL Wild Card race, while the Brewers are in the driver's seat for the top seed in the NL and have already clinched a bye into the NLDS. I'd expect the Brewers to prioritize pitch-count preservation for Logan Henderson and their high-leverage bullpen arms, while the Phillies will be managing this game with a greater sense of urgency.
Moneyline
MIL (-136)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Milwaukee has won eight of its last 10, and I like the pitching advantage with Logan Henderson. The right-hander owns a 2.51 ERA and 0.81 WHIP and has allowed just eight earned runs over his last five starts. Philadelphia counters with Aaron Nola and a bullpen carrying a 4.34 ERA. With the Brewers owning MLB's best record and getting the better starter and relief corps, -136 is a price I'm willing to lay.
TB
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole today.
CLE
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-120)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Sonny Gray has been excellent down the stretch, posting a 2.61 ERA over his last five starts while averaging six innings per outing. Four of those five games finished with seven runs or fewer. Foster Griffin has a 3.06 ERA of his own and held Boston to one run over five innings earlier this season. With two starters capable of working deep, I'm backing Under 7.5.
Total RBIs
Jahmai Jones o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jahmai Jones in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jahmai Jones is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 field in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage against Foster Griffin in today's game.. Jahmai Jones pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
CIN
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Sean Murphy u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sean Murphy is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today's game.. Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.. Sean Murphy has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 13.1% rate last year has dropped off to 7.9% this year.. Sean Murphy's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89-mph EV last season has dropped off to 86.7-mph.
CHW
@
KC
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #7 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year, compiling a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .037 disparity.
Total Home Runs
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This season, Miguel Vargas has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.4 mph compared to last year's 91.8 mph mark.. Compared to last season, Miguel Vargas has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.3% to 20.9% this season.
MIA
@
CHC
Wed, Sep 23 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Conforto has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Gusto in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
NYM
@
TEX
Wed, Sep 23 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the league.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.2% to 17.6%.
AZ
@
COL
Wed, Sep 23 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Merrill Kelly in today's game.. Mickey Moniak may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 2.02
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.
LAA
@
ATH
Wed, Sep 23 • 9:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Mike Trout o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-155)
Projection 2.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best stadium in MLB for RHB home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Zack Gelof o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Zack Gelof ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best stadium in MLB for RHB home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.
SD
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 23 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Will Smith o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 16th-best batter in the game.. Will Smith is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Will Smith will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Tucker is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Kyle Tucker meets a tough challenge in today's game.. Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-deepest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Tucker usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
HOU
@
SEA
Wed, Sep 23 • 10:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 5.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Throwing 93.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, George Kirby places in the 85th percentile.. Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park ranks as the #2 venue in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. George Kirby will hold the platoon advantage against 7 opposing bats in this matchup.
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby today.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
