MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park ranks as the #30 stadium in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-highest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground among all parks — generally bad for homers.
Strikeouts Thrown
Shane McClanahan logo
Shane McClanahan u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
Projection 4.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane McClanahan is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least on the slate.. PNC Park grades out as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 7 bats in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in this matchup.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Willy Adames logo Willy Adames o0.5 Total Home Runs (+420)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Willy Adames has two homers in his last eight games and will have the upper hand vs. a brutal Nationals pitching staff.

Miles Mikolas has already given up six homers in four outings, while the Nats bullpen has been hammered for 22 dingers - tied for the most in the majors.

Total Hits
Keibert Ruiz logo
Keibert Ruiz u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Keibert Ruiz's BABIP talent is projected in the 0th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Robbie Ray
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+165)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Ryan Weathers doesn’t need to be perfect today — he just needs to be better than Cole Ragans, and that bar isn’t especially high. Ragans walks nearly 15% of the batters he faces, and the Kansas City Royals bullpen has been leaking runs, posting a 6.08 ERA with 1.55 home runs allowed per nine innings. The New York Yankees’ lineup is deep enough to capitalize. Ben Rice and Aaron Judge are barreling the ball at elite rates, while Trent Grisham works counts as well as anyone in the lineup. The moneyline price is solid, but the run line is where the real value lies.

 

Total Hits
Giancarlo Stanton logo
Giancarlo Stanton u0.5 Total Hits (+126)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst venue in baseball for righty base hits.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. In today's matchup, Giancarlo Stanton is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (85th percentile).
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 19 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+520)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Gunnar Henderson is already up to seven home runs this season, and he added to that total with another dinger against the Guardians yesterday.

Henderson will be able to take advantage of Cleveland's bullpen, which has given up 13 homers - the fifth most in the majors.

Total Hits
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-coldest weather of the day at 46°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Apr 19 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Xavier Edwards logo
Xavier Edwards u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today.. Xavier Edwards's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89.7-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.. Xavier Edwards has been lucky this year, notching a .395 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .087 discrepancy.
Total Bases
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-worst stadium in MLB for left-handed home runs.. In the majors, LoanDepot Park's right field fences are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams in action today.. Jakob Marsee has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last season has dropped to 1.9% this season.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Apr 19 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, Target Field's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-deepest.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 42°.. Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Singer's huge platoon split.. With a 3.63 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Byron Buxton has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 21st percentile.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart as the 15th-best batter in the league when estimating his batting average skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Target Field profiles as the #5 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Apr 19 • 2:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #9 field in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Michael Burrows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today's matchup.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Walker in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The league's 3rd-tallest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Apr 19 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 4th-worst field in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. In the league, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.. The weather report expects the 3rd-best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. In today's game, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (81st percentile).. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 4th-worst field in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all stadiums.. In the league, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.. The weather report expects the 3rd-best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, Apr 19 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+186)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Rockies starter Michael Lorenzen is carrying an 8.10 ERA over five starts while allowing four dingers this season. The Rockies bullpen has also been susceptible to the long ball, allowing 11 homers.

All five of Shohei Ohtani's home runs have come in the last 13 games, and he'll enjoy a homer-friendly ballpark at Coors Field.

Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Apr 19 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Munetaka Murakami in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Batting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Munetaka Murakami encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Batting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Munetaka Murakami encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Apr 19 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yoan Moncada logo
Yoan Moncada o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs.. In the majors, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Angel Stadium projects as the #7 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, Apr 19 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. This contest is expected to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This contest is expected to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sun, Apr 19 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ildemaro Vargas logo
Ildemaro Vargas u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. Chase Field has the 10th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Kevin Gausman in this game.. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Geraldo Perdomo u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 17th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Chase Field has the 10th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Out of every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.. Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 87.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 71.9-mph over the last 7 days.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Apr 19 • 4:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Isiah Kiner-Falefa u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been pinch hit for 12% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the coldest weather of all games today at 48°.
Total Hits
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the coldest weather of all games today at 48°.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Apr 19 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Painter in today's matchup.. In the past week, Mike Yastrzemski's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.5%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.6) may lead us to conclude that Mike Yastrzemski has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 16.2 actual HR/600.. As it relates to plate discipline, Mike Yastrzemski's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 87th percentile.
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