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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 30, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 |
-108 
|
o8.5 -124 
|
-1.5 +150 
|
|
4.34 |
+102
|
u9.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -160
|
Miami
- Under is 2-0-2 in Marlins last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Junks last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Junks last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Washington
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Abimelec Ortiz u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
u0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
+201
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
5.30 |
-210
|
u8.5 -104
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.62 |
-110
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.16 |
+107
|
u8.0 -108 
|
+1.5 -165
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Suarezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+150)
o1.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.29 |
-130
|
o7.5 -135
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
4.11 |
+125
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -140
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Toronto
- Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
-157
|
o7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
4.20 |
+154
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -120
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Detroit
- Under is 9-0 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.92 |
+155
|
o7.0 -112
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.36 |
-156
|
u7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +140
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+148)
o0.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+180
|
o7.5 +100 
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.83 |
-175
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +120
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Lugos last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Guardians are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+151
|
o8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.14 |
-154
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Rockers last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.15 |
+108
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.59 |
-112
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 overall.
Minnesota
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Twins are 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
-113
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.07 |
+106
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts as a favorite.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.03 |
+111
|
o8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -194
|
|
5.22 |
-115
|
u9.0 -106
|
-1.5 +165
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Thorntons last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.95 |
-145
|
o10.0 -112
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
5.34 |
+140
|
u10.5 -110
|
+1.5 -118
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135)
o1.5-135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
-175
|
o7.5 -130
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
3.47 |
+165
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -105
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts on grass.
- Phillies are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Wheelers last 6 starts overall.
LA Angels
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Kikuchis last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.62 |
+125
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.81 |
-135
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 7-0 in Burns' last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+110
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.03 |
-143
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -235
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Roupps last 5 road starts.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
MIA
@
WAS
Sun, Aug 30 • 12:15 PM ET
Moneyline
WAS (+100)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I’m grabbing the Nationals at plus-money behind Andrew Alvarez. Washington holds the offensive edge over Miami (98 wRC+, .178 ISO vs. 87 wRC+, .106 ISO). Miami’s bullpen is laboring with a 4.72 SIERA and a weak 5.9% K-BB%, giving the Nats the late-game hammer at home.
Total Hits
Abimelec Ortiz u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abimelec Ortiz in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Abimelec Ortiz has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time.. The #4 ballpark in the majors for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to worse offense.. In the last 7 days, Abimelec Ortiz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.
COL
@
ATL
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as MLB's 13th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The #4 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the majors.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #4 field in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
BOS
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Willson Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Willson Contreras has done damage vs. right-handed pitching this season with 19 dingers and a .513 SLG – placing him in the top 25 in both categories across the majors.
Nine of Contreras’ 23 home runs have come against the sinker, which Will Warren throws about 27% of the time.
Total
u8.5 (-126)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
SEA
@
TOR
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Naylor o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Naylor's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 venue in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. In the league, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+266)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Rogers Centre grades out as the #6 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Taylor Ward hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last week, Taylor Ward's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph of late.. Taylor Ward has been unlucky this year, posting a .316 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .022 disparity.
LAD
@
DET
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Shohei Ohtani has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 96.6-mph.. Posting a .403 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Shohei Ohtani is ranked in the 99th percentile for hitting ability.
Total RBIs
HL
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hao Yu Lee's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Hao Yu Lee will hold that advantage today.. Hao Yu Lee has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past week.
SD
@
TB
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Freddy Fermin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1500)
Projection 0.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for righty home runs.. Freddy Fermin's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 10.8% to 16%.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's game.. Jackson Merrill has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
KC
@
CLE
Sun, Aug 30 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+248)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 stadium in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Salvador Perez will have the upper hand today.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+248)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 stadium in the game for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
TEX
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.
Total Home Runs
Evan Carter o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best field in MLB for lefty home runs.. American Family Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 10th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today's matchup... and moreover, May has a large platoon split.
CHW
@
MIN
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I’m taking Chicago at plus-money. The Pale Hose offense is surging at the top of the league over the past week (141 wRC+, .372 wOBA, 13.3% BB%). Zebby Matthews faces a tough assignment, especially with Minnesota’s bullpen in shambles (4.56 SIERA, 2.16 WHIP, 10.26 ERA). There is value on the road dog today.
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kody Clemens is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Considering Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Kody Clemens will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's game.. Kody Clemens has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94-mph.
PIT
@
STL
Sun, Aug 30 • 2:15 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Matthew Liberatore u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106)
Projection 5.18
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Matthew Liberatore is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers on the slate.. Willie Traynor profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The #1 field in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 91°.. With 8 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Matthew Liberatore faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 12th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 91°.. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
HOU
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 30 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Jeremy Pena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Thornton in today's game.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last week, Jeremy Pena's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 22.2%.
Total RBIs
Carson Benge o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Carson Benge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ethan Pecko in today's matchup.. Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
BAL
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 30 • 4:05 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-210)
Projection 3.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the best venue in the majors for righty home runs.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Leody Taveras o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the best venue in the majors for righty home runs.. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 3rd-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 18.8-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Athletics.
PHI
@
LAA
Sun, Aug 30 • 4:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.8-mph in this match-up, the 6th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today.
CIN
@
CHC
Sun, Aug 30 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Dane Myers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Dane Myers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
