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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 2, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.10 |
+110 
|
o8.5 -112 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
5.36 |
-120
|
u9.0 -112 
|
-1.5 +160 
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 4 of a series.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.06 |
-128
|
o7.5 -116
|
-1.5 +129
|
|
4.47 |
+120
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -142
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.29 |
+102
|
o9.0 -109
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.77 |
-112
|
u9.5 -131
|
-1.5 +160
|
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Under is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Scherzers last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.08 |
-116
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140 
|
|
5.02 |
+108
|
u8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -161
|
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 8-0 in Mets last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
o0.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+134
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
5.77 |
-142
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +140
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Pirates are 4-0 in Kellers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+173)
o1.5 +173
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+130
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.14 |
-138
|
u8.0 -117
|
-1.5 +146
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 5-0 in Jaxs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5 +160
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+134
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.76 |
-138
|
u8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +152
|
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Guardians last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5 +182
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+112
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.78 |
-121
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
Texas
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Peter Lambert u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
u5.5 +122
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-126
|
o6.5 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
3.93 |
+116
|
u6.5 -103
|
+1.5 -165
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-2 in Reas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Reas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.94 |
+101
|
o12.0 -115
|
-1.5 +154
|
|
7.08 |
-110
|
u12.5 -110
|
+1.5 -161
|
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-1 in Lugos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Royals are 6-0 in Lugos last 6 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Lugos last 5 interleague starts.
Colorado
- Over is 6-0 in Freelands last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
-215
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 -131
|
|
3.57 |
+206
|
u8.0 -120
|
+1.5 +119
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Misiorowskis last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.06 |
-106
|
o11.0 -105
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
6.29 |
+101
|
u11.5 -122
|
+1.5 -156
|
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5 +195
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+124
|
o7.0 -125
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
3.86 |
-131
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +158
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts on grass.
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts overall.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-2 in Kirbys last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+134
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.21 |
-138
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +152
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
o1.5 +105
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
+142
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.29 |
-154
|
u9.0 -105
|
-1.5 +128
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
o1.5 +142
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+152
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 9-1 in Rangers last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 overall.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League East.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
- Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
WAS
@
ATL
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
PHI
@
BAL
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Taylor Ward has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Holliday's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and moreover, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jackson Holliday will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jackson Holliday's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 46.9% on the season to 72.2% over the last week.
STL
@
TOR
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all stadiums, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 10th-shallowest.. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team today.
Total Home Runs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Projection 0.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre profiles as the #6 park in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge in today's game.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
MIA
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (+114)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Although Miami’s relief corps has been shaky, former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara serves as the ultimate equalizer. Alcantara consistently pitches deep into games, protecting his bullpen from heavy exposure. Getting a proven ace against an unannounced Mets starting option makes the Marlins an irresistible value play.
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today.. Brett Baty has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Brett Baty will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
PIT
@
CIN
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+229)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Sal Stewart ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Sal Stewart has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
CHW
@
TB
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Munetaka Murakami hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. Junior Caminero will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony Kay in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kay has a large platoon split.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
AZ
@
CLE
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Progressive Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today at 85%.
Total Bases
Max Kepler u1.5 Total Bases (-245)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. In the league, the 4th-tallest fences are at Progressive Field.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Kepler in today's game.. Max Kepler has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 7 days.
TEX
@
HOU
Sun, Aug 2 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has suffered from bad luck given the .076 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .367.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has suffered from bad luck given the .076 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .367.
NYY
@
CHC
Sun, Aug 2 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a ton of pop (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr... Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's game.. Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.
KC
@
COL
Sun, Aug 2 • 3:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Kyle Freeland o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 4.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Freeland will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Kyle Freeland has relied on his secondary pitches 8.2% more often this season (68.5%) than he did last season (60.3%).
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 99°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
MIL
@
LAA
Sun, Aug 2 • 3:15 PM ET
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
William Contreras's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
William Contreras o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.27
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
William Contreras's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.
DET
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-108)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Both bullpens have surrendered plenty of traffic over the last two weeks, shifting the edge directly to the starting rotation and offensive consistency. Detroit holds a firm advantage in contact metrics and run-creation stats, giving Tigers starter Keider Montero enough early padding to edge out the A's on the road.
Total Bases
Henry Bolte o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Bolte as the best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP skill.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 107°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.6-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.
SF
@
SD
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jung Hoo Lee o1.5 Total Bases (+151)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
BOS
@
LAD
Sun, Aug 2 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Dodger Stadium profiles as the #1 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Enrique Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Dodger Stadium profiles as the #1 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
