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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
+116 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.18 |
-125 
|
u8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +160 
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Monteros last 9 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.01 |
-184
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
4.41 |
+165
|
u9.5 -127
|
+1.5 -105
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 on grass.
Top Projection
Brady Basso o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-122
|
o7.5 -132
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.84 |
+110
|
u8.5 -117
|
+1.5 -160 
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+165 
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
4.94 |
-182
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+140
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.26 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
o1.5-105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
-110
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.18 |
-104
|
u9.0 -119
|
+1.5 -160
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+105
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -198
|
|
5.03 |
-120
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Junks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+138
|
o7.5 -128
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.91 |
-155
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+180
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.59 |
-210
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +104
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+210
|
o8.5 -150
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
6.44 |
-240
|
u9.5 -135
|
-1.5 -109
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Warrens last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
o1.5-120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.44 |
+105
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.79 |
-120
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +168
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+219
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+135
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.66 |
-148
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-1 in Martins last 9 interleague starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
-112
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.44 |
-103
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -170
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-2 in Royals last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
+117
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.48 |
-130
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+242)
o0.5+242
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.66 |
+250
|
o8.5 -115
|
+2.0 -114
|
|
5.71 |
-278
|
u9.0 -125
|
-2.0 -104
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)
o0.5+246
MIN
@
DET
Wed, Sep 9 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 85th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Royce Lewis has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+113)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the 3rd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
TOR
@
ATH
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:05 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-200)
Projection 3.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 field in the league for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In Major League Baseball, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.
Strikeouts Thrown
Brady Basso o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 2.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
STL
@
SF
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:45 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+106)
Projection 4.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andre Pallante has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Drew Cavanaugh, Shay Whitcomb, Jonah Cox, Bryce Eldridge).. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 37%.. Given that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 4 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Jordan Walker has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 96-mph in the past week's worth of games.. With a .502 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Jordan Walker has performed in the 94th percentile.
WAS
@
SD
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 89°.
TEX
@
SEA
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Kade Anderson throws from, Jake Burger will have the upper hand in today's game.. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-104)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I like the Guardians at this price, starting with Foster Griffin, who owns a 3.26 ERA across his full season and draws an Orioles lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching. Griffin also has the starting-pitching edge over Shane Baz, who enters 5-15 with a 3.91 ERA. Cleveland has another advantage once the starters leave: since August 4, the Guardians rank fourth in defense and fifth in bullpen ERA. With three different run-prevention edges working in Cleveland's favor, I'll back the Guardians on the moneyline.
Strikeouts Thrown
Shane Baz o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 4.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tallying 96.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Shane Baz places in the 97th percentile.. David Rackley projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in today's game.. Shane Baz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.
NYM
@
MIA
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 7th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the past week, Bo Bichette's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 25%.. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 12.4% to 18.4%.. In the last week's worth of games, Bo Bichette's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.4%.
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 8th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Sporting a .282 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Otto Lopez is ranked in the 88th percentile.. Otto Lopez has posted a .298 batting average this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.
HOU
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's game.
LAA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+121)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
COL
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has strong power (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano doesn't generate many whiffs (20th percentile K%) — great news for Chisholm Jr..
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Atlanta Braves are trading as a 55% favorite on Polymarket in their matchup against the Tampa Bay Rays, and I think there's an edge to exploit at that number because I price the Braves closer to a 57% favorite. There are two things I particularly like about this matchup for Atlanta, and both should help neutralize Tampa Bay's speed and running game. First, Reynaldo López isn't afraid to challenge hitters with velocity at the top of the zone, which makes it more difficult for the Rays' slap hitters to put the ball on the ground and beat out plays at first base. Second, Sean Murphy has a quick transfer and an elite pop time, giving him the ability to slow down Tampa Bay's running game once the Rays get runners on base.
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Davis Martin in today's matchup.. Bryan Reynolds has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
AZ
@
KC
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daniel Lynch today.
Total Hits
Kyle Isbel u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 6th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. This year, Kyle Isbel has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The deepest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Kauffman Stadium.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
Total RBIs
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 12th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for LHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
