Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Jeremiah Jackson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.9-mph. In notching a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jeremiah Jackson is positioned in the 84th percentile. Jeremiah Jackson has posted a .283 batting average this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Coby Mayo's 21.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in baseball: 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Gil today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Colton Cowser has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.7% seasonal rate to 31.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Ryan Mountcastle's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Ryan Mountcastle has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Ryan Mountcastle has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Tyler O'Neill has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 85.5-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Gil in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Jackson Holliday tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 86.1-mph average to last season's 83.5-mph average. Compared to last year, Jose Caballero has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 49.3% this season. Placing in the 82nd percentile, Jose Caballero sports a .324 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Jordan Westburg has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 95.2-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's game. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Anthony Volpe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.3% up to 20%. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23° mark in the past 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Volpe's true offensive talent to be a .310, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .023 disparity between that mark and his actual .287 wOBA.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Dylan Beavers's launch angle lately (27° over the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 21.5° seasonal figure. Dylan Beavers is remarkably quick, checking in at the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.94 ft/sec this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Giancarlo Stanton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.8% to 19.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Aaron Judge's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 21.4% on the season to 30.8% over the past 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in action today. Despite posting a .299 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adley Rutschman has had bad variance on his side given the .034 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's game. Ryan McMahon will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Ryan McMahon's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 83°. Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wells has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 106.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.9-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 20.5° this season.