Milwaukee @ San Diego Picks & Props

MIL vs SD Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The primary reason I’m on the Milwaukee side is the Brewers send a better lineup to the plate against right-handed arms and have been the better offense since the calendar flipped to September.

Earned Runs Allowed
Freddy Peralta logo Freddy Peralta u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Brewers right-hander Freddy Peralta is 17-6 with a 2.65 ERA, striking out 195 in 169 2/3 innings of work. He’s posted five scoreless starts in his last seven, and also cashed the Under last week, holding the Los Angeles Angels to one run in six frames while striking out 10. 

Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo San Diego Padres logo u7.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Freddy Peralta vs Nick Pivetta is a great pitching matchup, and both teams have something left to play for. The Brewers can still clinch homefield throughout the playoffs and are the only team remaining with a chance at 100 wins. Meanwhile, the Padres haven't officially secured their spot in October. Expect a tight game from a pitching perspective.

Total RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.8) implies that Andrew Vaughn has experienced some negative variance this year with his 19.6 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs
Ramon Laureano logo
Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
Projection 0.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
Projection 0.58 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Elias Diaz logo
Elias Diaz o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.37 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Elias Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game.. Elias Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph EV.
Outs Recorded
Nick Pivetta logo
Nick Pivetta u17.5 Outs Recorded (+110)
Projection 16.11 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Milwaukee Brewers projected lineup ranks as the worst of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill.. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Nick Pivetta (39.9% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 4 GB hitters in Milwaukee's projected offense.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.86 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. The weather forecast predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
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MIL vs SD Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

MIL vs SD Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • San Diego

Elias Diaz
E. Diaz
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.65
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elias Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game. Elias Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph EV. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (18.2°) is a significant increase over his 7.3° mark last year.

Elias Diaz logo

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.65
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.65

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elias Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game. Elias Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph EV. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (18.2°) is a significant increase over his 7.3° mark last year.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • San Diego

Ryan O'Hearn
R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.

Ryan O'Hearn logo

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Fernando Tatis Jr. logo

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.89
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Andrew Vaughn has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .310 rate is quite a bit lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew Vaughn logo

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.89
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.89

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Andrew Vaughn has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .310 rate is quite a bit lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage today. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Brice Turang logo

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.92
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.92

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage today. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

William Contreras logo

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Sal Frelick logo

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. This season, Xander Bogaerts has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92 mph compared to last year's 89.6 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.329) suggests that Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year with his .313 actual wOBA. Xander Bogaerts has posted a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Xander Bogaerts logo

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. This season, Xander Bogaerts has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92 mph compared to last year's 89.6 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.329) suggests that Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year with his .313 actual wOBA. Xander Bogaerts has posted a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • San Diego

Ramon Laureano
R. Laureano
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ramon Laureano logo

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.2% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last 14 days. Caleb Durbin has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Sporting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 87th percentile.

Caleb Durbin logo

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.82

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.2% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the last 14 days. Caleb Durbin has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Sporting a 1.55 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 87th percentile.

Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jose Iglesias
J. Iglesias
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

Jose Iglesias's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Iglesias has been unlucky this year, compiling a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .027 deviation.

Jose Iglesias logo

Jose Iglesias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

Jose Iglesias's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Iglesias has been unlucky this year, compiling a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .027 deviation.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.04
Best Odds

Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. There has been a significant improvement in Jackson Chourio's launch angle from last season's 7.5° to 10.5° this year.

Jackson Chourio logo

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.04
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.04

Jackson Chourio's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. There has been a significant improvement in Jackson Chourio's launch angle from last season's 7.5° to 10.5° this year.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.95
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Manny Machado logo

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.95
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.95

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jackson Merrill
J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jackson Merrill logo

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.92
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.92

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jackson Merrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.95
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge in today's game.

Christian Yelich logo

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.95
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.95

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge in today's game.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jake Cronenworth logo

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.09
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 5th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Arraez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Luis Arraez logo

Luis Arraez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.09
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.09

As it relates to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 5th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Arraez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • San Diego

Freddy Fermin
F. Fermin
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Freddy Fermin has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.3° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Freddy Fermin logo

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.69

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Freddy Fermin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Freddy Fermin has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Freddy Fermin has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.3° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Isaac Collins has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Isaac Collins has posted a .325 BABIP this year.

Isaac Collins logo

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Isaac Collins has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate. Ranking in the 82nd percentile, Isaac Collins has posted a .325 BABIP this year.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's game. Using Statcast data, Gavin Sheets ranks in the 76th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .339.

Gavin Sheets logo

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's game. Using Statcast data, Gavin Sheets ranks in the 76th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .339.

Bryce Johnson Total Hits Props • San Diego

Bryce Johnson
B. Johnson
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.64
Best Odds

Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Johnson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Bryce Johnson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .288 BA is deflated compared to his .309 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Bryce Johnson is notably athletic, grading out in the 82nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.57 ft/sec this year.

Bryce Johnson logo

Bryce Johnson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.64
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.64

Among all parks, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Johnson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Bryce Johnson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .288 BA is deflated compared to his .309 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Bryce Johnson is notably athletic, grading out in the 82nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.57 ft/sec this year.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers
J. Bauers
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.54
Best Odds

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake Bauers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#1-best of the day). Jake Bauers has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.8% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the last two weeks. Jake Bauers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph mark.

Jake Bauers logo

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.54
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.54

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake Bauers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of San Diego (#1-best of the day). Jake Bauers has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.8% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the last two weeks. Jake Bauers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph mark.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Milwaukee Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 9-1-0 +27055
2 LuckyGuy 3-7-0 +21010
3 Ollywood 4-6-0 +19651
4 luke44 2-7-1 +18810
5 declin005 5-5-0 +18675
6 ronebme 7-3-0 +18055
7 joe pockets 7-3-0 +17000
8 peede 5-5-0 +16645
9 longball44 7-3-0 +16480
10 djgarcia 7-3-0 +16030
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San Diego Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sabster611 9-1-0 +23405
2 Infinite-H 8-2-0 +22730
3 Bigboys9 6-4-0 +20690
4 CJONES1068 8-2-0 +14925
5 Enelra18 5-5-0 +13770
6 Ollywood 8-2-0 +13087
7 dude18555 5-5-0 +13040
8 vlkvlk2012 2-8-0 +12910
9 Moneyman00 6-4-0 +12810
10 dawoodman 9-1-0 +12745
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