Final Aug 28
BOS 3 -193 o8.0
BAL 2 +176 u8.0
Final Aug 28
COL 3 +214 o8.5
HOU 4 -238 u8.5
Final Aug 28
AZ 6 +135 o9.0
MIL 4 -147 u9.0
Final Aug 28
PIT 1 +107 o8.5
STL 4 -115 u8.5
Final Aug 28
CHC 3 -103 o7.5
SF 4 -105 u7.5
Final Aug 28
ATL 4 +149 o10.0
PHI 19 -163 u10.0
Final Aug 28
MIA 7 +229 o9.0
NYM 4 -256 u9.0
Final Aug 28
NYY 10 -170 o9.0
CHW 4 +156 u9.0

New York @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Brad Lord today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (7.4° over the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 14.1° seasonal mark.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #1 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Brad Lord today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (7.4° over the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 14.1° seasonal mark.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Bats such as Cedric Mullins with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brad Lord who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Bats such as Cedric Mullins with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brad Lord who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Robert Hassell III will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Robert Hassell III in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Robert Hassell III will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dylan Crews ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Dylan Crews has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Dylan Crews will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dylan Crews ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Dylan Crews has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Dylan Crews will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Drew Millas Total Hits Props • Washington

Drew Millas
D. Millas
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. The switch-hitting Drew Millas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kodai Senga. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Drew Millas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Drew Millas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. The switch-hitting Drew Millas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kodai Senga. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Drew Millas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Brad Lord in today's game.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Brad Lord in today's game.

Brady House Total Hits Props • Washington

Brady House
B. House
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Brady House has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brady House

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Brady House has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today. Brett Baty has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today. Brett Baty has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 96-mph over the last 7 days.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today. Brett Baty has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today. Brett Baty has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 96-mph over the last 7 days.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Nationals Park's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. In MLB, Nationals Park's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.

Daylen Lile Total Hits Props • Washington

Daylen Lile
D. Lile
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage against Kodai Senga today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Daylen Lile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage against Kodai Senga today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Luis Torrens
L. Torrens
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Luis Torrens has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today. Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .214 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .286 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 79th percentile this year.

Luis Torrens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Luis Torrens has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today. Luis Torrens has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .214 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .286 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luis Torrens's 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 79th percentile this year.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Washington

Paul DeJong
P. DeJong
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Paul DeJong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Paul DeJong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kodai Senga. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kodai Senga. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage today. Jeff McNeil pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage today. Jeff McNeil pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.

Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington

Luis Garcia Jr.
L. Garcia Jr.
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Luis Garcia Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. Luis Garcia Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Luis Garcia Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Luis Garcia Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. Luis Garcia Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

Riley Adams
R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Riley Adams is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Riley Adams is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Mark Vientos
M. Vientos
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

In MLB, Nationals Park's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, putting up a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .032 gap.

Mark Vientos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In MLB, Nationals Park's LF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. The Washington Nationals infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today. Mark Vientos has been unlucky this year, putting up a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .032 gap.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

// Scripts for MLB A/B test