New York @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
NYM vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
So far in this month, Juan Soto has hit six homers while posting a .982 OPS, the kind of numbers that make him one of the league’s highest-paid players. Soto has shown that his power plays at Citi Field as well, with his 30 homers fueling his total of 71 RBIs. And to close out this combination category, we should point out that he’s compiled 109 hits. All this makes Soto one of the best hits + runs + RBI bets in the majors.Against Brad Lord and the Washington Nationals, I like the Over.
Total RBIs

Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dylan Crews ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest humidity of all games today at 75%.. Dylan Crews has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Dylan Crews will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 85%.. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Paul DeJong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Riley Adams o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Riley Adams is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Riley Adams has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Brad Lord in today's game.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest humidity of all games today at 75%.. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's game.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.. Luis Garcia Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today.. Luis Garcia Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Kodai Senga.. Josh Bell has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest humidity of all games today at 75%.. Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's game.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Paul DeJong o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Paul DeJong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest humidity of all games today at 75%.. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.. Paul DeJong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.