New York @ St. Louis props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Bats such as Nolan Gorman with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Max Fried who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage today.

Home runs are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all parks. In the past 7 days, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%. Masyn Winn's launch angle recently (-1.2° over the past week) is significantly lower than his 16° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's game. Ryan McMahon has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP. Ryan McMahon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Last year, Ryan McMahon had an average launch angle of 10.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 14.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's game. Trent Grisham has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.6°, Aaron Judge has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 26.6° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 21.2° this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Wells's true offensive skill to be a .318, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .030 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .288 wOBA.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Victor Scott II will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Victor Scott II's launch angle recently (26.2° over the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 14.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jasson Dominguez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Sonny Gray in today's game. With a .345 BABIP this year, Jasson Dominguez has performed in the 95th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Giancarlo Stanton has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 17.2% seasonal rate to 31.6% in the past two weeks. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 94.5-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray today. Ben Rice is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 16.2% on the season to 35.7% in the last 7 days.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Pedro Pages's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 28.6%. In the last two weeks, Pedro Pages's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Jose Caballero has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86-mph average to last season's 83.5-mph mark. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 43.9% to 50.6%. With a .331 BABIP this year, Jose Caballero grades out in the 85th percentile.

Thomas Saggese's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Thomas Saggese will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's matchup. Thomas Saggese will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Thomas Saggese has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.4% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand today. Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.