Nacho Alvarez Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. In the last week's worth of games, Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s 60% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.