Colorado @ St. Louis Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Ivan Herrera will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.3% to 8.9%. Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 8.9% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days. Despite posting a .368 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ivan Herrera has been very fortunate given the .036 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

Warming Bernabel is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in Major League Baseball. Miles Mikolas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Warming Bernabel in today's game. Warming Bernabel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Warming Bernabel has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst among all the teams today. In the past week's worth of games, Kyle Karros's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 100% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Brenton Doyle hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst among all the teams today. Brenton Doyle has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 93.4-mph over the last two weeks.

Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Freeman today. Tyler Freeman has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Tyler Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 88.8 mph to 86.3 mph. Tyler Freeman's launch angle this year (8.6°) is considerably lower than his 12.9° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been unlucky given the .029 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 14 days, Thomas Saggese's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.1-mph over the course of the season to 95.5-mph of late.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. The switch-hitting Adael Amador will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Miles Mikolas. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst among all the teams today. Adael Amador has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .183 figure is deflated compared to his .205 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Very few of Adael Amador's contacted balls have a "too-high" (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid making lazy pop fly outs. His 23.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season ranks in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst among all the teams today. Jordan Beck's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 16.2% on the season to 43.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Dollander throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Alec Burleson will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Dollander in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nolan Gorman has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst among all the teams today. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 43% to 54.4%.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Hunter Goodman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst among all the teams today. Hunter Goodman's launch angle recently (26.7° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 17° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Dollander in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Mickey Moniak is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Mickey Moniak is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Masyn Winn is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Masyn Winn will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Masyn Winn has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 89.3-mph.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Dollander in today's matchup. Victor Scott II may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage today. Victor Scott II's launch angle lately (26.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 14.6° seasonal angle.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Pedro Pages will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Pedro Pages has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 95-mph in the last 7 days. Pedro Pages has been unlucky this year, posting a .260 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .021 difference.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 89°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willson Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.1% to 18.3%.

Brendan Donovan has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.