New York @ Milwaukee picks
American Family Field
NYM vs MIL Picks
MLB PicksSean Manaea won’t be giving the Mets the edge in the pitching matchup today. The Brewers are throwing Quinn Priester, who is 11-2 with a 3.15 ERA on the season. Milwaukee has won the last nine times he has started a game for them, and he’s been able to go seven full innings in two of his last three outings.
Strikeouts Thrown

Quinn Priester u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Projection 4.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 90%.. With 7 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Quinn Priester meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.. Given the 0.17 disparity between Quinn Priester's 7.32 K/9 and his 7.15 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see worse results in the future.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 87%.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 86%.
Total RBIs

Blake Perkins o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Blake Perkins is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 90%.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Blake Perkins will get to bat from his good side against Sean Manaea today.
Total RBIs

Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 86%.. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today's matchup.. Bats such as Cedric Mullins with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Quinn Priester who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 86%.
Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 88%.
Total RBIs

Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 88%.
Total RBIs

Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 88%.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge today.. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 6th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions on the slate today at 88%.