Houston @ New York props

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage today. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 95.8-mph.

Extreme groundball hitters like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Wells has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 37.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.1°. As it relates to his batting average, Austin Wells has had some very poor luck this year. His .209 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Amed Rosario is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Amed Rosario will have an edge in today's game. Amed Rosario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Amed Rosario has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last season to 18.6% this year.

Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage against Luis Gil in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.1-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph average. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 50.3%. Jose Caballero has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .287 rate is a good deal lower than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chas McCormick has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Chas McCormick has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph figure. Last season, Chas McCormick had an average launch angle of 15.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 24°. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Chas McCormick has suffered from bad luck this year. His .247 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .317.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 17th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jeremy Pena has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 92.8-mph in the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.5°, Jeremy Pena has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.8° figure over the last 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Luis Gil today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jesus Sanchez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.4-mph figure.

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jasson Dominguez has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jasson Dominguez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Placing in the 94th percentile, Jasson Dominguez sits with a .346 BABIP this year.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ben Rice will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ben Rice has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 90-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Trent Grisham has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.3°, Trent Grisham has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 19.7° angle in the past two weeks. Compared to last season, Trent Grisham has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 34.5% to 40.6% this season.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Ramon Urias has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the past 14 days. In the last two weeks, Ramon Urias's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.3%. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 38.1% to 46%.

Cody Bellinger's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Cody Bellinger are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Cody Bellinger will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jose Altuve's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Jose Altuve's launch angle this season (17°) is a considerable increase over his 14° figure last year. With a .352 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Altuve has performed in the 82nd percentile.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Yainer Diaz is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Yainer Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph in recent games. Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yainer Diaz has experienced some negative variance given the .028 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Aaron Judge will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez today. Batters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Framber Valdez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.

Paul Goldschmidt's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Paul Goldschmidt will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week, Paul Goldschmidt's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.6% up to 27.3%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle this year (21.3°) is considerably higher than his 14.3° figure last year.

Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Christian Walker has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 99.7-mph over the last week. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, putting up a .302 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .026 discrepancy.

Anthony Volpe will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. In the last 14 days, Carlos Correa's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.6%. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Carlos Correa ranks in the 76th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .270.

Victor Caratini has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.