Houston @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
HOU vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Carlos Correa has now recorded 2+ total bases in five of his last six contests, as well as multiple hits in four of those games, and I don’t see the Yankees putting out his hot streak just yet. The New York Yankees are set to send Luis Gil to the mound for just his second start of the season this afternoon. Gil obviously has a ton of rust to shake off and he’ll be backed up by the fifth-worst bullpen in the AL by ERA (4.26). Correa should have the upper hand in this matchup.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Trent Grisham has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark.
Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cody Bellinger's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Cody Bellinger are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.
Total RBIs

Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. Notching 3 home runs in the last week's worth of games, Christian Walker has been on fire recently.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Aaron Judge will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez today.. Batters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Framber Valdez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Luis Gil today.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total RBIs

Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ben Rice will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Outs Recorded

Framber Valdez u17.5 Outs Recorded (+140)
Projection 16.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The New York Yankees projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros's expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Framber Valdez has a large reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged being matched up with 6 same-handed bats today.. Given that groundball pitchers struggle the most against flyball hitters, Framber Valdez (59.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 FB hitters in New York's projected lineup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Trent Grisham has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.3°, Trent Grisham has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 19.7° angle in the past two weeks.