Colorado @ Arizona picks

In the league, Chase Field's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 24%. Over the past two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.8°. This year, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.1 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), placing in the 22nd percentile. Placing in the 25th percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has posted a .295 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. In the league, Chase Field's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 24%. In the past week, Geraldo Perdomo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%. Geraldo Perdomo has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 82.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 24%. Austin Gomber will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today's matchup. Today, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.1% rate (76th percentile). Corbin Carroll's average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 91.7-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.2-mph in the last 7 days.

In the league, Chase Field's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 24%. Ketel Marte's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 94-mph EV last year has dropped to 90.9-mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.3°, Ketel Marte's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-2.1° in the past 14 days). Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) suggests that Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side this year with his .284 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Adael Amador will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Zac Gallen. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.208) suggests that Adael Amador has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .176 actual batting average. Very few of Adael Amador's contacted balls have a "too-high" (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid making easy pop-up outs. His 24% "too-high" rate since the start of last season ranks in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In the last week's worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 28.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Brenton Doyle has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last week. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 45.1% on the season to 61.1% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jordan Beck's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 10.4% to 15.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In the last week, Kyle Farmer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6% up to 14.3%. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kyle Farmer has had bad variance on his side given the .022 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .287.

Dry weather has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-lowest humidity on the schedule today at 24%. Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Tyler Freeman will be in a tough position in today's game. Tyler Freeman has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the strongest among every team today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Freeman in today's matchup.

Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen today. In the past week, Mickey Moniak's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.4% up to 28.6%.

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hunter Goodman has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the past two weeks. In the past two weeks, Hunter Goodman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Blaze Alexander's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Blaze Alexander will have an advantage in today's game. Blaze Alexander will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Tyler Locklear is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Tyler Locklear will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jorge Barrosa will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Jorge Barrosa has posted a 26.8° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the game for lefty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Alek Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. James McCann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today's matchup. James McCann has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Connor Kaiser will have an advantage today. Connor Kaiser will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.