New York @ Texas picks

Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21.4°) is significantly better than his 16.9° angle last year. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.4°, Austin Wells has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 35.5° mark over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) implies that Austin Wells has had bad variance on his side this year with his .209 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 19.2% this year. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.3% to 23.1%.

Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren today... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split. Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Alejandro Osuna has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .248 figure is deflated compared to his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alejandro Osuna is remarkably toolsy, placing in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.59 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.2-mph EV. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Paul Goldschmidt has notched a .341 BABIP this year.

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's game. Trent Grisham has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days. Trent Grisham has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 99.6-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. In the last 7 days, Ben Rice's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 35.7%. Ben Rice has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year's 90-mph EV.

Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's game. In the past two weeks, Ryan McMahon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, Ryan McMahon has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30° mark in the past week. Compared to last season, Ryan McMahon has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.1% to 18.4% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. Last year, Aaron Judge had an average launch angle of 19.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.3°. Aaron Judge's 26.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 100th percentile this year.

In the past week, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 103.4-mph lately. Compared to his seasonal average of 12°, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.5° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge today. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. Over the last week, Cody Bellinger's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 93-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Josh Jung has notched a .320 BABIP this year.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle this year (19.9°) is considerably better than his 16.7° angle last season. Marcus Semien has been unlucky this year, notching a .292 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .034 disparity.

Josh Smith is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Josh Smith's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.8 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 77th percentile. Posting a .272 batting average this year, Josh Smith is positioned in the 78th percentile.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage today. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 18.6% on the season to 38.5% in the past week. Ranking in the 80th percentile, Kyle Higashioka sports a .274 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Nathan Eovaldi. Jasson Dominguez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 98.2-mph over the last 7 days. Posting a .350 BABIP this year, Jasson Dominguez has performed in the 95th percentile.

Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Corey Seager has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 16.2% to 23.7%.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days. Wyatt Langford has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph mark. In the past 14 days, Wyatt Langford's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this season (18.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.8° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .326, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .040 deviation between that figure and his actual .286 wOBA.

Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game. Rowdy Tellez has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.1% rate last year to 16.1% this year. In the past week, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.1% up to 30%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) may lead us to conclude that Rowdy Tellez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .221 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren today... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.196) suggests that Joc Pederson has suffered from bad luck this year with his .132 actual batting average.