Cleveland @ New York picks

Both offenses will face tough opposition tonight. The Mets are throwing Sean Manaea, who has given up exactly one run in each of his first four starts this year since returning from multiple injuries. Guardians starter Slade Cecconi hasn’t been quite as outstanding, but he's allowed three runs or fewer in nine of his last 10 starts. Throw all these elements into the low-run scoring environment of Citi Field, and I’m expecting both offenses to struggle again tonight. 

Sean Manaea has cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in every single start. He tossed five innings of one-run baseball last time out against the Padres. Tonight, the southpaw will face the Guardians, who own the worst team batting average in baseball at .229 with the fifth-fewest runs scored.  

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Sean Manaea.. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

When assessing his home run ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball's 12th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Sean Manaea.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Sean Manaea.. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. David Fry is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. David Fry will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.