New York @ San Diego props

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today. This season, Elias Diaz has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.7 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark. Elias Diaz's launch angle this season (18.2°) is significantly higher than his 7.3° mark last year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Juan Soto has been unlucky this year. His .252 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .280.

Petco Park ranks as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.9-mph average last season has dropped off to 85.6-mph. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 85.6 mph to 82.3 mph.

Hitting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) suggests that Gavin Sheets has had bad variance on his side this year with his .315 actual wOBA.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph average. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.3-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.1°, Francisco Alvarez has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.5° mark over the last week.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Over the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor's 35.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Francisco Lindor's true offensive skill to be a .344, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .020 gap between that mark and his actual .324 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Iglesias's true offensive talent to be a .279, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .022 gap between that figure and his actual .257 wOBA.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Frankie Montas today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Brett Baty's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.3-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph of late. When it comes to his batting average, Brett Baty has been unlucky this year. His .235 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .270.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Dylan Cease in today's matchup.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Pete Alonso has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 19.8% this year. Pete Alonso's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.7-mph now compared to just 89.7-mph then.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.2-mph figure. Mark Vientos's launch angle of late (22.4° over the past 14 days) is a significant increase over his 11.7° seasonal mark. Despite posting a .279 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has suffered from bad luck given the .032 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 94.4-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Petco Park. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today. Bryce Johnson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Bryce Johnson has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 28.13 ft/sec to 28.6 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage today. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst among all the teams in action today.

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 19% on the season to 33.3% in the past two weeks. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 46%. Based on Statcast data, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .343.

Luis Torrens has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.