The Los Angeles Dodgers were stunned on Friday by the Arizona Diamondbacks in the opening game of this series, and now their lead in the division has shrunk to one.
We’ll explain in our Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers predictions why this critical game should feature enough support from the two respective pitchers to get under the total.
Let’s hand out some MLB picks for Saturday, August 30.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers prediction
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers best bet: Under 8.5 (+100)
I wouldn’t say I’ve been a big Eduardo Rodriguez guy in the past, but it’s about time we take note of how the lefty has transformed himself since joining the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The lefty has begun to tailor his game around fly balls, and the results this season have come in the form of a .262 Expected Batting Average, which at least is a big improvement over last year’s abbreviated season.
He’s still running a pedestrian 21.1% strikeout rate, but his .435 Expected Slugging is also a significant improvement, one that has fallen to .388 this month.
Rodriguez won’t have his home park to help him out here, but it hasn’t seemed like it’s held much of an edge in Arizona with very similar numbers in the road split – and he’s actually been more of a strikeout guy on the road, perhaps as a tactic to avoid costly fly balls.
Now, the Los Angeles Dodgers do own one of the best home run-to-fly ball ratios in the game both for the season and the last two weeks, sitting comfortably inside the top 10. They’ve also pushed their Isolated Power up over .200 over that span and would seem to pose a huge threat to Rodriguez.
I’m just not sure how destructive they’ll be here against a pitcher who has continued to improve with each passing month as a newfound fly-baller. In the same vein, the Diamondbacks are going to be in for a long night against Tyler Glasnow, whose strikeout rate continues to glisten at 29.6%.
Arizona is all about its contact right now, running a solid .254 average and a meek .158 ISO in the last 14 days, but it’s also struck out in 26.1% of plate appearances to just a 7% walk rate. This poor discipline should continue to cost the Diamondbacks, and it should bring both pitchers to the forefront of this one.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers same-game parlay (SGP)
Glasnow’s in a glorious spot for strikeouts as we’ve hit on before, and he’s had a great run in that column with seven or more punchouts in three of his four starts this August. He’s had some of these outings cut short due to walks, but I’m not worried in the slightest about that with Arizona swinging at anything. With that, I think he should be in the clear to rack these up.
This is also the moment we’ve got to get behind Teoscar Hernandez. He has a hit in three of his last four, and his upward trajectory should continue in a great matchup. The veteran is slugging .584 against lefties – the highest mark on the team – and he’s gone 3-for-10 against Rodriguez in his career with three homers.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers odds
- Moneyline: Arizona +180 | Los Angeles -222
- Run line: Arizona +1.5 (-110) | Los Angeles -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers trend
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Diamondbacks vs Dodgers and game info
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Saturday, August 30, 2025 |
| First pitch | 9:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | DBACKS.tv, SNLA |
| Diamondbacks starting pitcher | Eduardo Rodriguez (5-8, 5.67 ERA) |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Tyler Glasnow (1-2, 3.36 ERA) |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers latest injuries
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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