Atlanta @ Texas picks
Globe Life Field
ATL vs TEX Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst
The Rangers are heating up throughout July. After losing three of their last four games in June to fall to 41-44, the Rangers are now up to 55-50 thanks to a 14-6 stretch in their last 20 games. That includes victories in five straight games and eight of their last nine. On the flip side, the Atlanta Braves' disappointing season has continued. They've lost four straight and six of their last seven to fall to 44-59.
Total RBIs

Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Jurickson Profar has notched a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile.. Posting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jurickson Profar has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 96th percentile.
Total RBIs

Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the game.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 19.2% this year.. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (17°) is significantly higher than his 8.8° angle last year.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter in today's matchup.. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph average.
Total RBIs

Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Total RBIs

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage over Jack Leiter in today's matchup.. Drake Baldwin has posted a .347 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder.. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total Bases (-149)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Total Bases

Evan Carter o0.5 Total Bases (-149)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Evan Carter will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's game.. Posting a 2 K/BB rate this year, Evan Carter has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 76th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the game.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 19.2% this year.. Ronald Acuna Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (17°) is significantly higher than his 8.8° angle last year.