Final Aug 30
MIL 4 +121 o8.5
TOR 1 -131 u8.5
Final Aug 30
TB 4 -149 o8.5
WAS 1 +137 u8.5
Final Aug 30
PIT 10 +169 o9.0
BOS 3 -185 u9.0
Final Aug 30
MIA 11 +158 o7.5
NYM 8 -173 u7.5
Final (10) Aug 30
ATL 2 +125 o7.0
PHI 3 -135 u7.0
Final Aug 30
STL 4 +128 o8.0
CIN 2 -139 u8.0
Final Aug 30
LAA 4 +142 o9.5
HOU 1 -154 u9.5
Final Aug 30
SD 12 -144 o8.5
MIN 3 +132 u8.5
Final (11) Aug 30
NYY 5 -193 o8.5
CHW 3 +175 u8.5
Final Aug 30
SEA 3 -149 o7.5
CLE 4 +137 u7.5
Final Aug 30
DET 1 -114 o9.0
KC 3 +105 u9.0
Final Aug 30
BAL 11 -110 o8.0
SF 1 +102 u8.0
Final Aug 30
CHC 4 -196 o11.0
COL 3 +178 u11.0
Final Aug 30
AZ 6 +193 o9.0
LAD 1 -213 u9.0
Final Aug 30
TEX 9 -130 o10.0
ATH 3 +120 u10.0

Atlanta @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Globe Life Field projects as the #29 venue in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21.5% to 15.7%. Corey Seager has been unlucky this year, posting a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .007 disparity.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Globe Life Field projects as the #29 venue in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21.5% to 15.7%. Corey Seager has been unlucky this year, posting a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .379 — a .007 disparity.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge today. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph average. Over the past 7 days, Michael Harris II's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.3%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck this year. His .247 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .293.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge today. Michael Harris II has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph average. Over the past 7 days, Michael Harris II's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.3%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Harris II has suffered from bad luck this year. His .247 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .293.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Jurickson Profar has compiled a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 96th percentile.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Jurickson Profar has compiled a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's ability is quite good, sporting a 1.38 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 96th percentile.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

Evan Carter
E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Evan Carter is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Evan Carter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 39.3° angle in the past week's worth of games. Evan Carter has shown good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Evan Carter is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Evan Carter will have the handedness advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Evan Carter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 39.3° angle in the past week's worth of games. Evan Carter has shown good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 76th percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today. Matt Olson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph mark. Matt Olson's launch angle recently (21.8° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.2° seasonal angle.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today. Matt Olson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 91.3-mph mark. Matt Olson's launch angle recently (21.8° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.2° seasonal angle.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25.1° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 11° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, Drake Baldwin grades out in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .347.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25.1° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 11° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, Drake Baldwin grades out in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .347.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Last year, Ozzie Albies had an average launch angle of 14.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.2°.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Last year, Ozzie Albies had an average launch angle of 14.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.2°.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle this season (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16.7° figure last season. Marcus Semien's launch angle lately (31.6° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 20.4° seasonal mark.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle this season (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 16.7° figure last season. Marcus Semien's launch angle lately (31.6° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 20.4° seasonal mark.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. In notching a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 79th percentile for offensive ability. Posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Marcell Ozuna has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. In notching a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 79th percentile for offensive ability. Posting a 1.37 K/BB rate this year, Marcell Ozuna has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Riley has had some very poor luck this year. His .327 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351. Austin Riley's 15.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile this year. Austin Riley's 92.5-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball this year: 91st percentile.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Riley has had some very poor luck this year. His .327 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .351. Austin Riley's 15.4% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile this year. Austin Riley's 92.5-mph average exit velocity is among the best in baseball this year: 91st percentile.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (18.3°) is considerably better than his 14.8° angle last year.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (18.3°) is considerably better than his 14.8° angle last year.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr.
R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the majors. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 19.2% this year. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 19.2% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last week's worth of games, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the majors. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 9.5% rate last season to 19.2% this year. Ronald Acuna Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 19.2% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last week's worth of games, Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%.

Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today. Josh Smith has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate. Josh Smith has notched a .278 batting average this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Josh Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Josh Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage today. Josh Smith has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 78th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate. Josh Smith has notched a .278 batting average this year, placing in the 82nd percentile.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.2%.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 11.1% to 15.2%.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. With a .357 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 85th percentile.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. With a .357 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Sean Murphy finds himself in the 85th percentile.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Texas

Rowdy Tellez
R. Tellez
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Rowdy Tellez has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.1% last year to 15.5% this season. Rowdy Tellez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 92.1-mph EV. Compared to last year, Rowdy Tellez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12% to 17.6% this season.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Rowdy Tellez has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.1% last year to 15.5% this season. Rowdy Tellez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 92.1-mph EV. Compared to last year, Rowdy Tellez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12% to 17.6% this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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