T-Mobile Park
HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Placing in the 83rd percentile, Blake Perkins sits with a .317 BABIP since the start of last season.
Brice Turang's BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Brice Turang will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Brice Turang with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Castillo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Isaac Collins is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Isaac Collins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Collins has shown strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 80th percentile with a 1.7 K/BB rate. Posting a .337 BABIP this year, Isaac Collins is positioned in the 88th percentile.
Jackson Chourio's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Jackson Chourio has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 92.6-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. William Contreras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like William Contreras tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Castillo. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates William Contreras's true offensive skill to be a .347, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .039 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .308 wOBA.
Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past week, Caleb Durbin's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.5% up to 11.1%. Caleb Durbin has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 84.5-mph to 87.2-mph in the past two weeks. Over the last two weeks, Caleb Durbin's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.6%. With a 1.28 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, placing in the 94th percentile.
The switch-hitting Anthony Seigler will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Anthony Seigler pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
As it relates to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Christian Yelich tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Castillo.
Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Mitch Garver usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mitch Garver has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last year's 94.6-mph EV. Mitch Garver has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17° angle is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (88th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Quinn Priester. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Cole Young will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester today. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Cole Young's 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.
Tyler Black will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Tyler Black has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Tyler Black and his 25% rank in the 98th percentile since the start of last season. In notching a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyler Black has performed in the 84th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge today. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's game. J.P. Crawford has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .313 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has had some very poor luck given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .357.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Quinn Priester. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Andrew Vaughn has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.5-mph figure. Andrew Vaughn has been unlucky this year, compiling a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .073 disparity.
Benjamin Williamson's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Benjamin Williamson will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Sporting a .348 BABIP this year, Benjamin Williamson is ranked in the 94th percentile.
HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in the league. Batting from the opposite that Quinn Priester throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today's game. Dominic Canzone will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.1% rate last season to 17.3% this season. Over the last 14 days, Dominic Canzone's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 106.4-mph recently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Randy Arozarena has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.6% seasonal rate to 20.8% over the past two weeks.
Donovan Solano has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
