It’s a quiet slate tonight, but we’ve found home run value across the Majors.
Today’s MLB player props analysis for September 4 will focus on Kyle Schwarber, William Contreras, and Giancarlo Stanton.
Best MLB home run props today
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Schwarber (+250) -
Contreras (+475) -
Stanton (+280) - 💲 +7120 parlay💲
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HR Prop #1: Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber has been one of the best power hitters in the sport for years, and 2025 is no exception. The slugger has gone deep 49 times, and there’s potential for No. 50 this afternoon.
The Philadelphia Phillies face the Milwaukee Brewers, who send ace Freddy Peralta to the bump. He barely allows homers, but if there’s someone who can change that, it’s Schwarber. He’s 3-for-13 lifetime with a pair of round trippers.
Schwarber has also cracked 30 homers off righties as well.
HR Prop #2: William Contreras
We’re shifting to the other side with Brewers catcher William Contreras, who is batting .261 with 17 home runs this season. Contreras has three long balls in his last eight games, and he’ll be up against Ranger Suarez today. The catcher has raked vs. the lefty, going 9-for-22 with three bombs in his career.
Contreras has only three homers off southpaws, but this matchup is clearly an exception, as you can see from his impressive track record. Contreras also has three hits already in this series, which means he’s coming into the rubber match with confidence.
That confidence will be at an all-time high as he faces a starter he’s dominated in the past.
HR Prop #3: Giancarlo Stanton
Giancarlo Stanton may have been injured for a lot of the campaign, but he’s provided the New York Yankees’ offense with a boost, giving Aaron Judge support in the heart of the lineup. Stanton is batting .287 with 18 home runs and 47 RBI in just 181 at bats.
Stanton smacked a bomb on Wednesday against the Houston Astros, and he’ll be looking to make it back-to-back contests today. The Astros hand Cristian Javier the ball, and although Stanton is just 2-for-11 lifetime, one of those hits is a home run.
The slugger has also cracked 15 round-trippers against right-handed hurlers.
Today’s HR parlay
Kyle Schwarber
William Contreras
Giancarlo Stanton
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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