San Diego @ Miami props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Martin Maldonado in the 0th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Martin Maldonado is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Martin Maldonado has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 43% of the time. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

LoanDepot Park ranks as the #24 ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Otto Lopez encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Otto Lopez usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. This season, Elias Diaz has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.1 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark. Elias Diaz's launch angle this season (18.2°) is a considerable increase over his 7.3° figure last season. Elias Diaz has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 24.41 ft/sec to 24.9 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Xavier Edwards usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #24 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today.

Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Graham Pauley will have an advantage today. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Graham Pauley will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Graham Pauley has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .183 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .218.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Eric Wagaman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eric Wagaman's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .026 gap between that mark and his actual .275 wOBA. Eric Wagaman's maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to measure power) has been 113.5 mph this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.9°, Gavin Sheets has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-35°) in the past 14 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Gavin Sheets has been unlucky this year. His .322 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .344.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage today. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 16.2% on the season to 28.6% over the past two weeks. Sporting a 1.58 K/BB rate this year, Jake Cronenworth has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, placing in the 84th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Manny Machado has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13.7% to 23.1%. Manny Machado has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph to 97.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Liam Hicks will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Liam Hicks has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.33 K/BB rate. Liam Hicks has recorded a .276 batting average this year, placing in the 79th percentile.

Dane Myers's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Dane Myers's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.6%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 96.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera today. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Merrill has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 19% in the past 14 days. Jackson Merrill has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the past two weeks. In the last two weeks, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.6-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.59 ft/sec this year, Heriberto Hernandez is notably athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Xander Bogaerts has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) implies that Xander Bogaerts has had some very poor luck this year with his .318 actual wOBA.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an edge in today's matchup. Trenton Brooks's speed has increased this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.76 ft/sec now.