New York @ Toronto picks

Addison Barger clobbers the baseball, ranking in the 94th percentile in exit velocity and 95th percentile in hard-hit rate. Yankees SP Cam Schlittler, who touches up on 98 mph on the radar, gives up hard contact and has already allowed two homers in just 5 1/3 innings. 

Stanton is 7-for-27 lifetime against Scherzer, and four of those hits have been bombs. Four of his five homers this year are off right-handed hurlers, and Scherzer has allowed five home runs in just five outings this season. He gave up two long balls in his last outing against the lowly Athletics, too. 

Cam Schlittler makes his second career MLB start tonight. He relies on a heater that averages 98 mph but that elite velocity also means he gets hit hard by batters who can make contact. That's bad news on the road against the Blue Jays who lead the majors in BA (.274) and runs per game (5.74) over the last 30 days. Toronto is starting washed-up Max Scherzer who has pitched to a 7.20 ERA with an OBA of .350 in the opening frame. He'll be in trouble against a Yankees lineup that leads the majors in OPS (.790) and ranks second in run first inning rate (34%).

I’m playing this to +120. Max Scherzer is getting up for this game. The Jays have won a franchise-record 11 straight games at home, and his offense is facing Cam Schlittler while the New York offense might be going more defensive and less pop after a bad game in the field last night. The 40-year-old starter went 18 outs in his last start and has had 11 days off to recover. He threw 90 pitches in that July 11 outing and seems to have pushed past the five-inning limitation that might have been in place. The Jays have also ridden their bullpen hard this season, and anything more than 15 outs will go a long way for these relievers. 
THE BAT is projecting 15.5 outs on 89 pitches, so the plus-money is the deciding factor here. He is also a solid +235 to record the win. 

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Over the past week, Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 99.8-mph over the course of the season to 110.2-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in baseball when estimating his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

When assessing his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand today.. Trent Grisham hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When estimating his home run ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today.. Over the last 7 days, Austin Wells's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. George Springer is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

When estimating his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Max Scherzer in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 10th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge in today's matchup.. Ben Rice has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 90-mph figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Over the past week, Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 99.8-mph over the course of the season to 110.2-mph in recent games.

When estimating his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Max Scherzer in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Over the past week, Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 99.8-mph over the course of the season to 110.2-mph in recent games.