New York @ Atlanta picks

Even though Wentz will likely only see two or three innings of work, it should be enough time for this Yankees team to exploit his issues and build a multi-run lead. Adding to my confidence is Will Warren on the mound. We've faded the right-hander a few times this season, but against the Braves, he should be an ideal antidote. His strikeout-heavy approach (80th percentile in the majors) presents a tough matchup for Atlanta. They come into this game averaging just over eight strikeouts per game — a number that has climbed especially lately.

Atlanta sends Joey Wentz to the hill for his first start since 2023, when he logged a 6.90 ERA across 19 starts. He has a 6.32 ERA with a 1.70 WHIP in 37 innings as a reliever this year. He'll face a Yankees lineup that leads the majors in OPS (.790) and ranks second in run first inning rate (34%). The Yankees have a mediocre starter of their own in Will Warren (4.63 ERA). Warren has been brutal in the first inning where he has a 7.20 ERA with an OBA of .309. The Braves have underperformed on offense but have been unlucky at the dish. They are eighth in the majors in barrel rate and sixth in exit velocity which indicates positive regression on the horizon.

According to THE BAT X projection system, Truist Park has the third-highest elevation in the MLB at 981 feet above sea level. Couple that with an expected temperature of 88 degrees at game time, and we should see balls flying out of the park this evening. The Yankees slugger has hit this prop in nine of his last 13 contests and should have the upper hand against Braves starter Joey Wentz. The left-handed reliever is making an emergency start for Atlanta tonight and carries a massive 6.32 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Judge carries an .853 slugging percentage against southpaws and has hit 11 of his 35 home runs vs. lefties (31%), despite just 23% of his at-bats coming against them.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.. Trent Grisham hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits.. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.. Hitters such as Ozzie Albies with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Will Warren who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.

When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits.. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Michael Harris II will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°.

Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Truist Park projects as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits.. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.

Truist Park projects as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.. Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage against Joey Wentz in today's matchup.. Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.