The New York Yankees and Atlanta Braves will get the second of a three-game set going tonight as the Bronx Bombers look to rebound.
The Yankees have been mired in a funk, losing their last three by a combined 11 runs. Today, we expect them to remedy that with a shaky opposing pitcher on the mound
My Braves vs. Yankees predictions break it down here as I bring you my MLB picks when the two teams meet Saturday, July 19th.
Yankees vs Braves prediction
My Yankees vs Braves best bet: Yankees ML (-125 at DraftKings)
You couldn't ask for a much better matchup than Atlanta Braves left-hander Joey Wentz for the New York Yankees today. Consequently, we're making the Yankees moneyline my fourth two-unit play of the season and today's best bet.
The 27-year-old presents with numerous issues. The bloated ERA is justified, even though an expected ERA nearly a run lower suggests he's due for some positive regression. Much of that has to do with his barrel rate — it sits in the bottom 14th percentile of the league, and his hard-hit rate is even worse.
Even a struggling Yankees team is well-positioned to take advantage of this.
The thing that's been synonymous with this group over the last four years or so is power — living up to their "Bomber" moniker. With that comes a strong barrel rate. New York enters this game leading the majors in that metric at just over 11%.
Even though Wentz will likely only see two or three innings of work, it should be enough time for this Yankees team to exploit his issues and build a multi-run lead. Adding to my confidence is Will Warren on the mound.
We've faded the right-hander a few times this season, but against the Braves, he should be an ideal antidote. His strikeout-heavy approach (80th percentile in the majors) presents a tough matchup for Atlanta.
They come into this game averaging just over eight strikeouts per game — a number that has climbed especially lately.
Yankees vs Braves same-game parlay (SGP)
We hit the alternate strikeout market for this same-game parlay. I saw a roughly 8% edge on this number, with over 6.5 strikeouts for Will Warren.
As mentioned previously, the Braves have whiffed more than usual lately and will see a strikeout thrower on the mound today. However, what makes this prop especially attractive is Warren's sinker.
It's producing a whiff rate of roughly 39% and several Brave players in the lineup struggle against breaking pitches.
Yankees vs Braves odds
Yankees vs Braves live odds
Yankees vs Braves opening odds
- Moneyline: New York (-115) | Atlanta (-105)
- Run line: New York -1.5 (-120) | Atlanta +1.5 (-144)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-110) | Under 9.5 (-110)
Yankees vs Braves trend
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Braves.
How to watch Yankees vs Braves and game info
Location | Truist Park, Atlanta, GA |
Date | Saturday, 7-19-2025 |
First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
TV | YES, FDSNSO |
Yankees starting pitcher | Will Warren (6-5, 4.63 ERA) |
Braves starting pitcher | Joey Wentz (2-1, 6.32 ERA) |
Yankees vs Braves latest injuries
Yankees vs Braves weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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